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The average temperature for Boston in January 2005 was 43 "F. In 2007 the average January temperature was \(44.5^{\circ} \mathrm{F}\). What is the rate of change of the temperature per year? If this trend continues, what is the expected average temperature in January \(2010 ?\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The rate of change is \(0.75^{\circ} \mathrm{F/year}\), and the expected average temperature in January 2010 is \(46.75^{\circ} \mathrm{F}\).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Rate of Change

The rate of change tells us how much the temperature changes per year. To find it, we'll calculate how much the temperature changed from 2005 to 2007, and then divide by the number of years in that period.
02

Calculating the Temperature Change

First, find the difference in temperatures between the two given years: \[ 44.5^{\circ} \mathrm{F} - 43^{\circ} \mathrm{F} = 1.5^{\circ} \mathrm{F} \]So, the temperature increased by \(1.5^{\circ} \mathrm{F}\) from 2005 to 2007.
03

Determining the Number of Years

Next, calculate the number of years between 2005 and 2007: \[ 2007 - 2005 = 2 \]Thus, there are 2 years between 2005 and 2007.
04

Calculating the Rate of Change

Now, divide the change in temperature by the number of years to find the rate of change:\[ \text{Rate of Change} = \frac{1.5^{\circ} \mathrm{F}}{2 \text{ years}} = 0.75^{\circ} \mathrm{F/year} \]This means the temperature increased by \(0.75^{\circ} \mathrm{F}\) per year.
05

Projecting Temperature for 2010

To find the temperature for 2010, calculate the number of years from 2007 to 2010:\[ 2010 - 2007 = 3 \]Multiply the number of years by the rate of change:\[ 3 \times 0.75^{\circ} \mathrm{F/year} = 2.25^{\circ} \mathrm{F} \]Add this increase to the 2007 temperature to find the 2010 temperature:\[ 44.5^{\circ} \mathrm{F} + 2.25^{\circ} \mathrm{F} = 46.75^{\circ} \mathrm{F} \]Thus, the expected average temperature in January 2010 is \(46.75^{\circ} \mathrm{F}\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Temperature Change
When discussing temperature change, especially over several years, it's important to know how to measure this variation accurately. Temperature change is simply the difference between two temperature readings taken at two different points in time.
For instance, in Boston, the average temperature in January 2005 was 43°F, and it rose to 44.5°F in 2007.
This means there was an increase in temperature by:
  • 44.5°F (in 2007) - 43°F (in 2005) = 1.5°F
This positive change signifies that the temperature is increasing. Temperature change can be a crucial indicator when examining climate patterns over time. It helps us see if a specific area is experiencing warming or cooling trends.
Calculating Average Temperature
Average temperature gives us a snapshot of overall climate conditions for a specific time and location.
It is calculated by taking several temperature readings over a period and finding their mean value. In this exercise, though, we deal with given averages for specific years, so no calculations of daily temperatures are needed.
Instead, we use the provided average for each year (2005 and 2007) to determine the trend, such as the rate of change. Understanding the average temperature is vital because:
  • It helps in assessing climate norms.
  • It offers a basis for comparing different years.
By examining these annual averages, we can detect if a warming or cooling trend is becoming evident, which is essential in making climate-related decisions and analyses.
Projecting Future Temperature
Projecting future temperature involves using past trends to estimate what might occur in the future. It's like forecasting the weather, but on a longer time scale.
To project the future temperature based on previous trends:
  • Start with identifying the rate of change, which is the average change per year.
  • This rate is then multiplied by the number of years into the future you are projecting.
  • Add this product to the temperature of the last known year to get the projected temperature.
In our case, the rate of change was found to be 0.75°F per year. To predict the temperature in 2010, calculate for the 3 years since 2007:
  • 0.75°F/year × 3 years = 2.25°F increase.
Adding this to the 2007 temperature (44.5°F) gives an estimated average of 46.75°F in January 2010.
This approach provides a valuable insight into how temperatures may change if current trends continue. However, keep in mind that actual future conditions can be influenced by various unforeseen factors.

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