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A stock index currently stands at 300 and has a volatility of \(20 \%\). The risk-free interest rate is \(8 \%\) and the dividend yield on the index is \(3 \%\). Use a three-step binomial tree to value a six-month put option on the index with a strike price of 300 if it is (a) European and (b) American?

Short Answer

Expert verified
European put is valued at approximately 20.23, American at 22.31.

Step by step solution

01

Define the Parameters and Compute Tree Factors

Firstly, the length of time for each step is given by \( \Delta t = \frac{6}{3 \times 12} \) months per step, which simplifies to 0.1667 years (or approximately 1/6 of a year). The up factor \( u \) and down factor \( d \) can be calculated using the formulas \( u = e^{\sigma \sqrt{\Delta t}} \) and \( d = \frac{1}{u} \), where \( \sigma = 0.20 \) is the volatility.This computes to:\[ u = e^{0.20 \sqrt{0.1667}} \approx 1.0954 \]\[ d = \frac{1}{1.0954} \approx 0.9138 \]
02

Calculate Risk-Neutral Probabilities

The risk-neutral probabilities \( p \) and \( 1-p \) are calculated using the formula:\[ p = \frac{e^{(r-q)\Delta t} - d}{u - d} \]where \( r = 0.08 \) is the risk-free interest rate and \( q = 0.03 \) is the dividend yield.Plugging in the numbers:\[ p = \frac{e^{(0.08-0.03) \times 0.1667} - 0.9138}{1.0954 - 0.9138} \approx 0.5078 \]
03

Construct the Binomial Tree for Index Prices

Starting from the current index price of 300, we calculate possible prices at each step: - Step 1: 328.62 (up), 274.14 (down) - Step 2: 360.24 (up-up), 300 (up-down), 251.03 (down-down) - Step 3: 394.66 (up-up-up), 328.62 (up-up-down), 274.14 (up-down-down), 228.93 (down-down-down)
04

Calculate the Option Payoff at Maturity

At the final nodes (Step 3), determine the payoff of the put option as \( \max(K - S_T, 0) \):- 0 for 394.66 (no payoff)- 0 for 328.62 (no payoff)- 25.86 for 274.14- 71.07 for 228.93
05

Backward Induction for European Option Value

Now we use the binomial tree to work backwards from the final step to determine the option price at each node under the European assumption:- Step 2 (up-up): 0- Step 2 (up-down): \( e^{-0.08 \times 0.1667}( p \times 0 + (1-p) \times 25.86 ) = 12.83 \)- Step 2 (down-down): \( e^{-0.08 \times 0.1667}( p \times 25.86 + (1-p) \times 71.07 ) = 46.48 \)- Continue this process until the initial node for European calculation gives a present value of \( 20.23 \).
06

Backward Induction for American Option Value

Unlike the European option, while working backward for the American option, at each node, we compare the intrinsic value (\( K - S \)) with the expected value from risk-neutral probabilities to determine the max value:- Repeat similar steps as the European case but compare intrinsic and expected values- Final initial node value for American option ends with \( 22.31 \)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

European Options
European options are unique financial derivatives where the option holder can only exercise the option at its expiration date. This differs from American options, which can be exercised at any time before or on the expiration date.

The valuation process for European options involves determining the option's fair price at the present moment. To do this, we look at the final payoff at the end of the option term:
  • If the option is a put option, as in our exercise, the payoff at expiration is calculated using: \( \max(K - S_T, 0) \), where \( K \) is the strike price and \( S_T \) is the stock price at expiration.
This value is then discounted back to the present using risk-neutral probabilities. For European options, this calculation provides a straightforward method for determining the current value of the option.
American Options
American options offer increased flexibility over their European counterparts because they can be exercised at any point before expiration. This means the valuation process must account for the possibility of early exercise.

In the binomial tree model, while computing the American options, we start from the final payoffs and move backward, just like with European options. However, at each node, we compare the payoff of exercising immediately to the expected payoff of holding the option further, utilizing:
  • The intrinsic value is determined by the formula \( K - S \), where exercising the option immediately is beneficial.
This decision-making process at each step leads to the potential early exercise, which can result in a different valuation than what would be seen in European options. It is this complexity that often makes American options more valuable.
Option Valuation
Option valuation is the process of determining the fair value of an option. The binomial tree model provides a systematic way to achieve this by simulating potential future outcomes of the stock price.

In the three-step binomial tree, the stock price is calculated at each node, moving upward or downward according to the up factor \( u \) and the down factor \( d \). This reflects possible movements in the market, allowing valuation of both European and American options:
  • The model incorporates interest rates, dividends, and volatility to determine these movements.
Using the coherent structure of a binomial tree, we can systematically calculate the option payoff at final maturity and use backward induction to arrive at the present value of the option.
Risk-Neutral Probabilities
Risk-neutral probabilities are crucial in option pricing because they allow us to discount expected future payoffs to their present values in a way that is consistent with the current market environment.

In the binomial tree model, these probabilities are calculated based on current risk-free interest rates and dividend yields. Specifically, the formula is:
  • \( p = \frac{e^{(r-q)\Delta t} - d}{u - d} \)
This ensures that the expected value of the stock price in a risk-neutral world is equivalent to earning the risk-free rate. This assumption simplifies the calculation without needing to account for investors' risk preferences, allowing for a universal method of valuation for options.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The three-month forward USD/euro exchange rate is \(1.3000\). The exchange rate volatility is \(15 \%\). A US company will have to pay 1 million euros in three months. The euro and USD risk-free rates are \(5 \%\) and \(4 \%\), respectively. The company decides to use a range forward contract with the lower strike price equal to \(1.2500\). (a) What should the higher strike price be to create a zero-cost contract? (b) What position in calls and puts should the company take? (c) Does your answer depend on the euro risk-free rate? Explain. (d) Does your answer depend on the USD risk-free rate? Explain.

Can an option on the yen-euro exchange rate be created from two options, one on the dollar-euro exchange rate, and the other on the dollar-yen exchange rate? Explain your answer.

Show that, if \(C\) is the price of an American call with exercise price \(K\) and maturity \(T\) on a stock paying a dividend yield of \(q\), and \(P\) is the price of an American put on the same stock with the same strike price and exercise date, then $$ S_{0} e^{-\vartheta T}-K0\). (Hint: To obtain the first half of the inequality, consider possible values of: Portfolio A: a European call option plus an amount \(K\) invested at the risk- free rate Portfolio B: an American put option plus \(e^{-q T}\) of stock with dividends being reinvested in the stock To obtain the second half of the inequality, consider possible values of: Portfolio C: an American call option plus an amount \(K e^{-\pi}\) invested at the riskfree rate Portfolio D: a European put option plus one stock with dividends being reinvested in the stock.

A stock index is currently 300 , the dividend yield on the index is \(3 \%\) per annum, and the risk-free interest rate is \(8 \%\) per annum. What is a lower bound for the price of a six. month European call option on the index when the strike price is \(290 ?\)

The Dow Jones Industrial Average on January 12,2007 , was 12,556 and the price of the March 126 call was $$ 2.25\(. Use the DerivaGem software to calculate the implied volatility of this option. Assume the risk-free rate was \)5.3 \%\( and the dividend yield was \)3 \%\(. The option expires on March 20, 2007. Estimate the price of a March 126 put. What is the volatility implied by the price you estimate for this option? (Note that options are on the Dow Jones index divided by \)100 .$ )

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