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The LIBOR zero curve is flat at \(5 \%\) (continuously compounded) out to 1.5 years. Swap rates for 2 - and 3 -year semiannual pay swaps are \(5.4 \%\) and \(5.6 \%\), respectively. Estimate the LIBOR zero rates for maturities of \(2.0,2.5,\) and 3.0 years. (Assume that the 2.5 -year swap rate is the average of the 2 - and 3 -year swap rates.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The zero rates for 2.0, 2.5, and 3.0 years can be determined by solving linear equations derived from swap rates and applying continuous compounding assumptions.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the given data

We are given the following data: 1. LIBOR zero rate for 1.5 years is 5% (continuously compounded). 2. Swap rates for 2-year and 3-year semiannual pay swaps are 5.4% and 5.6% respectively. 3. Assume the 2.5-year swap rate is an average of the 2-year and 3-year swap rates. That is, the 2.5-year swap rate is 5.5% ((5.4% + 5.6%) / 2).
02

Calculate the values of fixed and floating legs

Since the problem involves swap rates, where we exchange fixed payments for floating payments, we interpret the swap rate as the rate at which fixed-rate payments are traded for a specific maturity. Here we consider the fixed-rate payments on the swap as equivalent to the accumulation of floating rate payments from the zero-coupon curve.
03

Set up the equations

For each swap, we have an equation for the present value of fixed payments equalling the present value of floating payments. Consider semiannual payments, so splits in payments accordingly (i.e., 2 years would have 4 payments if semiannual). The equation for the 2-year with the zero rate of \( R_{2} \) is:\[1 = \frac{0.054}{2} (P_{0.5} + P_{1.0} + P_{1.5} + P_{2.0}) + P_{2.0}\]Where each \( P \) is the respective discount factor based on the zero curve.Similarly, equations for 2.5-year (\( R_{2.5} \)) and 3-year (\( R_{3} \)) swaps.
04

Solve for discount factors and zero rates

Using the given flat zero rate of 5% for \( 1.5 \) years calculates discount factors for \( 0.5, 1.0, 1.5 \) years first. Thus, compute:- \( P_{0.5} = e^{-0.05 \times 0.5} \)- \( P_{1.0} = e^{-0.05 \times 1.0} \)- \( P_{1.5} = e^{-0.05 \times 1.5} \)Use these to find the subsequent rates by solving linear equations derived from swap calculations. This involves solving equations iteratively for unknowns by substituting known values from earlier periods.
05

Calculate zero rates for 2.0, 2.5, and 3.0 years

Simplify the set equations to obtain zero rates for 2.0, 2.5, and 3.0 years respectively. For 2-year maturity, using continuous compounding, solve:\[P_{2.0} = \left( 1 - \frac{0.054}{2}(P_{0.5} + P_{1.0} + P_{1.5}) \right)/\left(1+\frac{0.054}{2}\right)\]Find analogously for 2.5 years and 3.0 years using the same method: substitute existing known quantities for each targeted maturity.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

LIBOR Zero Curve
The LIBOR zero curve provides the foundation for interest rate derivatives and helps in defining the discount rates for cash flows. In simple terms, it represents the interest rates at which banks lend to each other for various maturities without any risk premium. This curve is pivotal as it directly influences the pricing and valuation of swaps and other financial products.

In this exercise, we start with a flat LIBOR zero rate of 5% for 1.5 years, continuously compounded. This means that any cash flow expected 1.5 years from now will be discounted back to present value using this rate. The zero curve is essential for determining the present value of expected future cash flows.
  • The zero curve gives us a snapshot of rates at different maturities.
  • Zero rates remove the coupon effect for a more straightforward comparison.
  • Used extensively in the derivatives market to model future interest rates.
Continuously Compounded Interest
Continuously compounded interest is a mathematical limit that gives a more accurate reflection of how interest accumulates over time. Instead of interest being calculated at discrete intervals, like annually or semiannually, it assumes that interest is added instantly and continuously.

In the context of our problem, the LIBOR zero rate is given as a continuously compounded rate, which simplifies the calculation of discount factors. The formula for calculating the continuously compounded amount is given by:
  • For discount factors, use the formula: \[ P_{t} = e^{-r \cdot t} \]where \( r \) is the continuously compounded rate and \( t \) is time in years.
  • This provides an exponential decay of cash flow over time, simplifying the way we look at present values.
This method is more precise and often used in finance due to its extrapolative power over small interest additions.
Discount Factors
In finance, discount factors are crucial for calculating the present value of future cash flows. They convert future cash flow amounts to present values under the assumption of a specific rate of interest. In this exercise, discount factors are used to estimate the present values at different periods based on the given LIBOR zero rate.

Here, the discount factor for a specific time, based on a 5% zero rate, can be calculated by the formula:
  • Calculate as: \[ P = e^{-0.05 \cdot t} \]
  • Example: for 1 year, discount factor is \[ e^{-0.05 \cdot 1} = e^{-0.05} \]
Discount factors are fundamental to swap valuation, as they enable one to compare the value of cash flows occurring at different times.
Fixed and Floating Payments in Swaps
Swaps involve the exchange of a series of cash flows from fixed rates against floating rates for a pre-specified period. They serve as a risk management tool to hedge against fluctuations in interest rates. Financial institutions typically engage in these contracts to manage exposure to interest rate changes.

In the given exercise, you deal with semiannual payment swaps. The swap rate you've been provided (for 2 years, 2.5 years, and 3 years) allows for the conversion of fixed payment schedules to a corresponding floating payment schedule.
  • Fixed payments remain constant, determined by the swap rate agreed upon initially.
  • Floating payments adjust with the market or LIBOR rates, based on the underlying interest rate terms.
This calculation involves ensuring that the present values of both sets of cash flows, fixed and floating, are equal. Thus, solving the linear equations derives reliable zero rates for the respective maturities.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Under the terms of an interest rate swap, a financial institution has agreed to pay \(10 \%\) per annum and to receive 3 -month LIBOR in return on a notional principal of \(\$ 100\) million with payments being exchanged every 3 months. The swap has a remaining life of 14 months. The average of the bid and offer fixed rates currently being swapped for 3-month LIBOR is \(12 \%\) per annum for all maturities. The 3 -month LIBOR rate I month ago was \(11.8 \%\) per annum. All rates are compounded quarterly. What is the value of the swap?

Suppose that the term structure of interest rates is flat in the United States and Australia. The USD interest rate is \(7 \%\) per annum and the AUD rate is \(9 \%\) per annum. The current value of the AUD is 0.62 USD. Under the terms of a swap agreement, a financial institution pays \(8 \%\) per annum in AUD and receives \(4 \%\) per annum in USD. The principals in the two currencies are \(\$ 12\) million USD and 20 million AUD. Payments are exchanged every year, with one exchange having just taken place. The swap will last 2 more years. What is the value of the swap to the financial institution? Assume all interest rates are continuously compounded.

"Companies with high credit risks are the ones that cannot access fixed-rate markets directly. They are the companies that are most likely to be paying fixed and receiving floating in an interest rate swap." Assume that this statement is true. Do you think it increases or decreases the risk of a financial institution's swap portfolio? Assume that companies are most likely to default when interest rates are high.

A corporate treasurer tells you that he has just negotiated a 5 -year loan at a competitive fixed rate of interest of \(5.2 \%\). The treasurer explains that he achieved the \(5.2 \%\) rate by borrowing at 6 -month LIBOR plus 150 basis points and swapping LIBOR for \(3.7 \% .\) He goes on to say that this was possible because his company has a comparative advantage in the floating-rate market. What has the treasurer overlooked?

The I-year LIBOR rate is \(10 \%\). A bank trades swaps where a fixed rate of interest is exchanged for 12 -month LIBOR with payments being exchanged annually. The 2 - and 3-year swap rates (expressed with annual compounding) are \(11 \%\) and \(12 \%\) per annum. Estimate the 2 - and 3 -year LIBOR zero rates.

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