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Give as much information as you can about the \(P\)-value of a \(t\) test in each of the following situations: a. Upper-tailed test, \(\mathrm{df}=8, t=2.0\) b. Lower-tailed test, \(\mathrm{df}=11, t=-2.4\) c. Two-tailed test, \(\mathrm{df}=15, t=-1.6\) d. Upper-tailed test, df \(=19, t=-.4\) e. Upper-tailed test, df \(=5, t=5.0\) f. Two-tailed test, df \(=40, t=-4.8\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) P < 0.05, b) P ≈ 0.015, c) P ≈ 0.13, d) P > 0.5, e) P < 0.005, f) P < 0.0001.

Step by step solution

01

Upper-Tailed Test Preparation

In scenario a, we're given an upper-tailed test with a degree of freedom (df) of 8 and a test statistic (t) of 2.0. This means we will be looking for the probability that the t-statistic is greater than 2.0 with df = 8.
02

Calculating P-Value for Upper-Tailed Test

To find the P-value, locate the t-value of 2.0 in the t-distribution table for df = 8. This corresponds to a probability a little less than 0.05, indicating the P-value is slightly smaller than 0.05.
03

Lower-Tailed Test Preparation

In scenario b, with a lower-tailed test, df = 11, and t = -2.4, you need to find the probability that the t-statistic is less than -2.4.
04

Calculating P-Value for Lower-Tailed Test

For df = 11, look at the t-distribution table to find the t-value of -2.4. The P-value here is approximately 0.015, as it represents the area to the left of -2.4.
05

Two-Tailed Test Preparation

In scenario c, with df = 15 and t = -1.6, the two-tailed test means that we look at both tails of the distribution. This requires checking the t-value for both 1.6 and -1.6.
06

Calculating P-Value for Two-Tailed Test

For df = 15, find the absolute value of the t-statistic, which is 1.6. The corresponding area for one tail is around 0.065, making the two-tailed P-value approximately 0.13 (double 0.065).
07

Incorrect Sign for Test Statistic

In scenario d, with an upper-tailed test, df = 19, and t = -0.4, since the test statistic is negative, the P-value is guaranteed to be greater than 0.5 as the upper tail considers positive values.
08

Extreme Upper-Tailed Test Statistic

In scenario e, an upper-tailed test with df = 5 and t = 5.0 is extreme. The P-value for such a high t-statistic is less than 0.005, indicating strong evidence against the null hypothesis.
09

Two-Tailed Extreme Test Statistic

In scenario f, a two-tailed test with df = 40 and t = -4.8 is extremely rare. The P-value will be less than 0.0001, suggesting very strong evidence against the null hypothesis.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

t-distribution
The t-distribution is a type of probability distribution that is symmetric and bell-shaped, similar to the normal distribution. However, it has heavier tails, which means it is more prone to producing values far from its mean. This distribution is most useful in estimating population parameters when the sample size is small or when the population standard deviation is unknown. For each different sample size, there is a different t-distribution, characterized by the degrees of freedom (df). It helps us to determine probabilities and critical values for various statistical analyses, such as the t-test.

T-distributions have several key characteristics:
  • It is centered at zero and extends indefinitely in both directions.
  • The exact shape depends on the degrees of freedom: as df increases, the t-distribution looks more like a normal distribution.
  • Used extensively in hypothesis testing, particularly in the calculation of confidence intervals and prediction intervals.
This distribution is especially crucial for smaller datasets where normal approximation does not hold true.
degrees of freedom
Degrees of freedom (df) refer to the number of independent values in a statistical calculation that have the freedom to vary. They are closely associated with the sample size of the data being analyzed. In the context of a t-test, the degrees of freedom often determine the shape of the t-distribution. Higher degrees of freedom bring the t-distribution closer to the normal distribution.

Typically calculated as the sample size minus one ( n-1 ), df play a significant role in determining the critical value for a statistical test, influencing the range of the confidence interval, and adjusting estimates of statistical importance.

Key takeaways about degrees of freedom include:
  • They adjust the expected accuracy of statistical estimates.
  • They affect the spread and height of the t-distribution curve: fewer df result in a wider spread.
  • Higher df values lead to more precise estimations like reduced variance.
Understanding df helps one compare results across different datasets and maintains validity in statistical conclusions.
one-tailed test
A one-tailed test focuses on determining whether a parameter, such as a mean or proportion, exceeds or falls below a specified value in a specific direction. This type of test is used when the research hypothesis suggests a direction of effect.

In practice, a one-tailed test evaluates only one end of the distribution:
  • An upper-tailed test examines whether the population parameter is greater than a specific value.
  • A lower-tailed test checks if the parameter is less than a specific value.
Consequently, a one-tailed test is more sensitive to detecting an effect in one direction, potentially resulting in a smaller P-value if the effect is in the hypothesized direction.

Important considerations include:
  • Using a one-tailed test is appropriate when prior evidence suggests the direction of the test.
  • This test is more powerful than a two-tailed test when the effect is in the specified direction.
  • Deciding on a one-tailed test affects the interpretation of the results and should be considered carefully during the study's design.
two-tailed test
A two-tailed test is utilized when examining the possibility of an effect in two different directions: either above or below a certain value. This test is appropriate when the research does not predict the direction of an effect or when differences on either side are of interest.

Here’s how a two-tailed test operates:
  • It evaluates the tails on both ends of the distribution; hence, it is more conservative than a one-tailed test.
  • It tests for differences in both directions, making it useful for general hypotheses where the direction is not specified.
By splitting the significance level equally between both extremes of the distribution, a two-tailed test is considered more stringent. However, it may require a larger sample size to achieve the same power as a one-tailed test.

Key aspects to remember include:
  • Appropriate for hypotheses where any deviation from the null hypothesis is of interest.
  • Ensures testing covers both possible directions of deviation.
  • A larger test statistic is required to declare significance compared to a one-tailed test.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

State DMV records indicate that of all vehicles undergoing emissions testing during the previous year, \(70 \%\) passed on the first try. A random sample of 200 cars tested in a particular county during the current year yields 124 that passed on the initial test. Does this suggest that the true proportion for this county during the current year differs from the previous statewide proportion? Test the relevant hypotheses using \(\alpha=.05\).

The recommended daily dietary allowance for zinc among males older than age 50 years is \(15 \mathrm{mg} /\) day. The article "Nutrient Intakes and Dietary Pattems of Older Americans: A National Study" (J. Gerontol., 1992: M145-150) reports the following summary data on intake for a sample of males age 65-74 years: \(n=115, \bar{x}=11.3\), and \(s=6.43\). Does this data indicate that average daily zinc intake in the population of all males age 65-74 falls below the recommended allowance?

For which of the given \(P\)-values would the null hypothesis be rejected when performing a level \(.05\) test? a. \(.001\) b. \(.021\) c. 078 d. \(.047\) e. 148

Suppose the population distribution is normal with known \(\sigma\). Let \(\gamma\) be such that \(0<\gamma<\alpha\). For testing \(H_{0}: \mu=\mu_{0}\) versus \(H_{\mathrm{a}}: \mu \neq \mu_{0}\), consider the test that rejects \(H_{0}\) if either \(z \geq z_{\gamma}\) or \(z \leq-z_{\alpha-\gamma}\), where the test statistic is \(Z=\left(\bar{X}-\mu_{0}\right) /(\sigma / \sqrt{n})\). a. Show that \(P\) (type I error) \(=\alpha\). b. Derive an expression for \(\beta\left(\mu^{\prime}\right)\). [Hint: Express the test in the form "reject \(H_{0}\) if either \(\bar{x} \geq c_{1}\) or \(\left.\leq \mathrm{c}_{2} . "\right]\) c. Let \(\Delta>0\). For what values of \(\gamma\) (relative to \(\alpha\) ) will \(\beta\left(\mu_{0}+\Delta\right)<\beta\left(\mu_{0}-\Delta\right)\) ?

For a random sample of \(n\) individuals taking a licensing exam, let \(X_{i}=1\) if the \(i\) th individual in the sample passes the exam and \(X_{i}=0\) otherwise \((i=1, \ldots, n)\). a. With \(p\) denoting the proportion of all examtakers who pass, show that the most powerful test of \(H_{0}: p=.5\) versus \(H_{\mathrm{a}}: p=.75\) rejects \(H_{0}\) when \(\Sigma x_{i} \geq c\). b. If \(n=20\) and you want \(\alpha \leq .05\) for the test of (a), would you reject \(H_{0}\) if 15 of the 20 individuals in the sample pass the exam? c. What is the power of the test you used in (b) when \(p=.75[\) i.e., what is \(\pi(.75)]\) ? d. Is the test derived in (a) UMP for testing the hypotheses \(H_{0}: p=.5\) versus \(H_{\mathrm{a}}: p>.5\) ? Explain your reasoning. e. Graph the power function \(\pi(p)\) of the test for the hypotheses of (d) when \(n=20\) and \(\alpha \leq .05\). f. Return to the scenario of (a), and suppose the test is based on a sample size of 50 . If the probability of a type II error is approximately \(.025\), what is the approximate significance level of the test (use a normal approximation)?

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