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Suppose that \(X\) is uniformly distributed between 0 and 1. Given \(X=x, Y\) is uniformly distributed between 0 and \(x^{2}\) a. Determine \(E(Y \mid X=x)\) and then \(V(Y \mid X=x)\). Is \(E(Y \mid X=x)\) a linear function of \(x\) ? b. Determine \(f(x, y)\) using \(f_{X}(x)\) and \(f_{Y \mid X}(y \mid x)\). c. Determine \(f_{y}(y)\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. \(E(Y \mid X=x) = \frac{x^2}{2}, \ V(Y \mid X=x) = \frac{x^4}{12}\); not linear. b. \(f(x, y) = \frac{1}{x^2}\). c. \(f_Y(y) = 1 - \sqrt{y}\).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

We have a random variable \(X\) that is uniformly distributed between 0 and 1. Another random variable \(Y\) is dependent on \(X\), such that given \(X=x\), \(Y\) is uniformly distributed between 0 and \(x^2\). We need to find conditional expectations and variances and evaluate independence.
02

Find Conditional Expectation E(Y | X=x)

Given \(Y\) is uniformly distributed between 0 and \(x^2\), \(E(Y \,|\, X=x)\) can be calculated as the midpoint of this interval. Thus, \[ E(Y \,|\, X=x) = \frac{0 + x^2}{2} = \frac{x^2}{2}. \]
03

Determine if E(Y | X=x) is Linear in x

The expression for \(E(Y \,|\, X=x) = \frac{x^2}{2}\) suggests a quadratic relationship in terms of \(x\), since the term \(x^2\) involves squaring \(x\). Thus, it is not a linear function of \(x\).
04

Find Conditional Variance V(Y | X=x)

The variance of a uniformly distributed variable on an interval \([a, b]\) is \(\frac{(b-a)^2}{12}\). Here, the interval is \([0, x^2]\), so \[ V(Y \,|\, X=x) = \frac{(x^2 - 0)^2}{12} = \frac{x^4}{12}. \]
05

Determine Joint Density f(x, y)

The joint density \(f(x, y)\) is given by the product of the marginal density \(f_{X}(x)\) and the conditional density \(f_{Y|X}(y|x)\). Since \(X\) is uniformly distributed between 0 and 1, \(f_{X}(x) = 1\) for \(0 \leq x \leq 1\). Given \(X = x\), \(Y\) is uniformly distributed over \([0, x^2]\) with density \(f_{Y|X}(y|x) = \frac{1}{x^2}\) for \(0 \leq y \leq x^2\). Thus, \[ f(x, y) = f_{X}(x) \cdot f_{Y|X}(y|x) = 1 \cdot \frac{1}{x^2} = \frac{1}{x^2}. \]
06

Find Marginal Density f(y)

To find \(f_Y(y)\), integrate \(f(x, y)\) with respect to \(x\): \[ f_Y(y) = \int_{0}^{1} f(x, y) \, dx = \int_{\sqrt{y}}^{1} \frac{1}{x^2} \, dx, \] where \(x\) ranges from \(\sqrt{y}\) to 1 for a fixed \(y\) because \(y = x^2\). Evaluating this integral, \[ f_Y(y) = \left. -\frac{1}{x} \right|_{\sqrt{y}}^{1} = 1 - \sqrt{y}. \] for \(0 \leq y < 1\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Uniform Distribution
The concept of uniform distribution is straightforward yet powerful. A random variable follows a uniform distribution if any outcome in its range is equally likely to occur. In more technical terms, the uniform distribution is categorized by a constant probability density function over its interval. For example, if a variable is uniformly distributed between 0 and 1, this means that any number between 0 and 1 is equally probable.In our exercise, the variable \(X\) is uniformly distributed between 0 and 1. This is denoted by stating that \(f_X(x) = 1\) for \(0 \leq x \leq 1\). Because there is no preference for any particular value within this range, the probability density function (PDF) is constant. Similarly, given \(X = x\), the variable \(Y\) is uniformly distributed from 0 to \(x^2\), meaning each value in this range has equal probability.
  • Key takeaway: Uniform distributions assign equal probabilities to all intervals of the same length within the set range.
Joint Density Function
A joint density function details how two random variables interact with each other. When dealing with multiple random variables, the joint density function helps us understand the combined behavior of these variables.In our scenario, we needed to find the joint density function \(f(x, y)\) of \(X\) and \(Y\). To compute \(f(x, y)\), we used the formula \(f(x, y) = f_{X}(x) \times f_{Y|X}(y|x)\). Here, \(f_X(x)\) is the marginal density function for \(X\), representing the likelihood of \(X\) without regard to other variables. Then \(f_{Y|X}(y|x)\) is the conditional density function, representing the probability of \(Y\) given a specific \(X\).For our exercise, \(f_{X}(x) = 1\) for the interval \([0, 1]\), and \(f_{Y|X}(y|x) = \frac{1}{x^2}\) for \(0 \leq y \leq x^2\). This gives us the joint probability density function: \[ f(x, y) = \frac{1}{x^2} \] for values of \(y\) from 0 to \(x^2\) and \(x\) from 0 to 1.
  • Key takeaway: The joint density function captures the likelihood of two variables occurring simultaneously, considering their individual and conditional probabilities.
Marginal Density
Marginal density functions simplify our understanding of a multivariable scenario by focusing on a single variable. It's about isolating the probabilities related to one variable while integrating out the others.To find the marginal density \(f_Y(y)\) required in our exercise, we integrated the joint density function \(f(x, y)\) over all possible values of \(x\). The idea here is to consider all the ways \(Y\) can occur by itself, thus eliminating the dependency of \(Y\) on \(X\).For the exercise, we had: \[ f_Y(y) = \int_{0}^{1} f(x, y) \, dx = \int_{\sqrt{y}}^{1} \frac{1}{x^2} \, dx \] Evaluating this integral gives: \[ f_Y(y) = 1 - \sqrt{y} \] for \(0 \leq y < 1\).
  • Key takeaway: Marginal density lets us focus on a single variable's distribution while integrating out others, important for simplifying analyses in multivariable contexts.
Conditional Density
Conditional density is a crucial concept for analyzing relationships between random variables. It allows us to understand the distribution of one variable given the presence of another.In our problem scenario, after determining the joint density function, we examined \(Y\) given a value of \(X=x\). The conditional density function was defined as \(f_{Y|X}(y|x)\). This function illustrates the probability of \(Y\) occurring within the given condition imposed by a specific \(x\).In our case, since \(Y\) is uniformly distributed between 0 and \(x^2\), the conditional density function is written as: \[ f_{Y|X}(y|x) = \frac{1}{x^2} \] over the interval from 0 to \(x^2\).
  • Key takeaway: Conditional density allows us to focus on the behavior of one variable based on the fixed condition of another, aiding in deeper insights into dependent relationships.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Simulation studies are important in investigating various characteristics of a system or process. They are generally employed when the mathematical analysis necessary to answer important questions is too complicated to yield closed- form solutions. For example, in a system where the time between successive customer arrivals has a particular pdf and the service time of any particular customer has another pdf, simulation can provide information about the probability that the system is empty when a customer arrives, the expected number of customers in the system, and the expected waiting time in queue. Such studies depend on being able to generate observations from a specified probability distribution. The rejection method gives a way of generating an observation from a pdf \(f(\cdot)\) when we have a way of generating an observation from \(g(\cdot)\) and the ratio \(f(x) / g(x)\) is bounded, that is, \(\leq c\) for some finite \(c\). The steps are as follows: 1\. Use a software package's random number generator to obtain a value \(u\) from a uniform distribution on the interval from 0 to 1 . 2\. Generate a value \(y\) from the distribution with pdf \(g(y)\). 3\. If \(u \leq f(y) / \operatorname{cg}(y)\), set \(x=y(\) "accept" \(x)\); otherwise return to step 1. That is, the procedure is repeated until at some stage \(u \leq f(y) / \operatorname{cg}(y)\). a. Argue that \(c \geq 1\). [Hint: If \(c<1\), then \(f(y)<\) \(g(y)\) for all \(y\); why is this bad?] b. Show that this procedure does result in an observation from the pdf \(f(\cdot)\); that is, \(P(\) accepted value \(\leq x)=F(x)\). [Hint: This probability is \(P(\\{U \leq f(y) / \operatorname{cg}(y)\\} \cap\) \(\\{Y \leq x\\}\) ); to calculate, first integrate with respect to \(u\) for fixed \(y\) and then integrate with respect to \(y\).] c. Show that the probability of "accepting" at any particular stage is \(1 / c\). What does this imply about the expected number of stages necessary to obtain an acceptable value? What kind of value of \(c\) is desirable? d. Let \(f(x)=20 x(1-x)^{3}\) for \(0

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