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If \(A\) and \(B\) are independent events, show that \(A^{\prime}\) and \(B\) are also independent. [Hint: First establish a relationship among \(P\left(A^{\prime} \cap B\right), P(B)\), and \(P(A \cap B)\).]

Short Answer

Expert verified
\(A^{\prime}\) and \(B\) are independent because \(P(A^{\prime} \cap B) = P(A^{\prime}) \cdot P(B)\).

Step by step solution

01

Define Independence

Two events, \(A\) and \(B\), are said to be independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the occurrence of the other. Mathematically, this can be expressed as \(P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B)\).
02

Understand the Hint

We need to establish a relationship between \(P(A^{\prime} \cap B)\), \(P(B)\), and \(P(A \cap B)\). The goal is to demonstrate independence between \(A^{\prime}\) and \(B\).
03

Express \(A^{\prime} \cap B\) Using Set Operations

Given that \(A^{\prime}\) is the complement of \(A\), it means \(A^{\prime}\) consists of all outcomes not in \(A\). Thus, \(A^{\prime} \cap B\) corresponds to the outcomes that are in \(B\) but not in \(A\). This can be expressed as \(A^{\prime} \cap B = B - (A \cap B)\).
04

Calculate \(P(A^{\prime} \cap B)\)

We use the formula for the probability of a set difference, which tells us \(P(A^{\prime} \cap B) = P(B) - P(A \cap B)\).
05

Use Independence of \(A\) and \(B\)

Since \(A\) and \(B\) are independent, \(P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B)\). Substituting this into our expression from Step 4 gives \(P(A^{\prime} \cap B) = P(B) - P(A) \cdot P(B)\).
06

Factor Out \(P(B)\)

Factor \(P(B)\) out of the expression: \(P(A^{\prime} \cap B) = P(B)(1 - P(A))\). Notice that \(1 - P(A) = P(A^{\prime})\).
07

Show Independence of \(A^{\prime}\) and \(B\)

Since \(P(A^{\prime} \cap B) = P(A^{\prime}) \cdot P(B)\), by definition \(A^{\prime}\) and \(B\) are independent.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Complementary Events
In probability theory, complementary events are an essential concept to understand. When dealing with an event, say event \(A\), its complement, denoted as \(A'\), encompasses all the outcomes that are not part of \(A\). Essentially, if the probability of an event \(A\) happening is \(P(A)\), then the probability that \(A\) does not happen, or the probability of \(A'\), is \(1 - P(A)\).

Here’s a friendly reminder: the total probability of all possible outcomes in an experiment is always 1. This makes complementary events quite straightforward to work with as they together cover the whole sample space.

Why are complements important? They allow you to reason about the occurrence of an event by considering its non-occurrence, which is often easier to handle in calculations.
Set Operations
Understanding set operations is crucial when working with probabilities. The key operations include union, intersection, and complement. Here’s how they work in a probability context:

  • Union (\(A \cup B\)): This operation represents all outcomes that are in either event \(A\), event \(B\), or both.
  • Intersection (\(A \cap B\)): These are the outcomes that are common to both events \(A\) and \(B\).
  • Complement (\(A'\)): Covers all outcomes not in event \(A\).


In the exercise we discussed, we applied the difference operation derived from complement and intersection, such as \(A' \cap B = B - (A \cap B)\). This technique is particularly handy when calculating the probabilities involving complementary events and helps us understand how outcomes overlap within sets.
Probability of Intersection
The probability of intersection represents the likelihood that two events, \(A\) and \(B\), happen simultaneously and is denoted \(P(A \cap B)\). For independent events, the formula is straightforward: \(P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B)\). This formula holds due to the independence assumption, meaning one event happening does not alter the probability of the other event occurring.

In our exercise, we discovered that the intersection probability for events involving complements can be expressed using set difference. Specifically, \(P(A' \cap B) = P(B) - P(A \cap B)\). This relation stems from the concept of subtracting the probability of overlapping outcomes in sets, and helps ascertain the probability of \(A\) not happening while \(B\) still occurs.
Probability Theory
Probability theory is a branch of mathematics concerned with analyzing random phenomena. It gives us the tools to quantify how likely events are to occur and is foundational for fields such as statistics, finance, and science. Some fundamental principles include:

  • Probability Ranges: The probability of any event falls between 0 and 1.
  • Sum of Probabilities: The total probability of all mutually exclusive outcomes in an experiment is 1.
  • Complementary Rule: \(P(A') = 1 - P(A)\) provides a way to calculate the probability of an event not occurring.


By applying these principles, probability theory enables us to make informed decisions based on the likelihood of different outcomes. In our example, we showed how independence in probability theory means two events do not influence each other, using this to extend independence from events \(A\) and \(B\) to their complements, \(A'\) and \(B\). Understanding these concepts allows for a solid foundation in reasoning about real-world uncertainties.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

For any events \(A\) and \(B\) with \(P(B)>0\), show that \(P(A \mid B)+P\left(A^{\prime} \mid B\right)=1 .\)

Three molecules of type \(A\), three of type \(B\), three of type \(C\), and three of type \(D\) are to be linked together to form a chain molecule. One such chain molecule is \(A B C D A B C D A B C D\), and another is \(B C D D A A A B D B C C\). a. How many such chain molecules are there? [Hint: If the three A's were distinguishable from one another- \(A_{1}, A_{2}, A_{3}\)-and the \(B\) 's, \(C\) 's, and \(D\) 's were also, how many molecules would there be? How is this number reduced when the subscripts are removed from the \(A\) 's?] b. Suppose a chain molecule of the type described is randomly selected. What is the probability that all three molecules of each type end up next to each other (such as in \(B B B A A A D D D C C C\) )?

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Consider a woman whose brother is afflicted with hemophilia, which implies that the woman's mother has the hemophilia gene on one of her two X chromosomes (almost surely not both, since that is generally fatal). Thus there is a \(50-50\) chance that the woman's mother has passed on the bad gene to her. The woman has two sons, each of whom will independently inherit the gene from one of her two chromosomes. If the woman herself has a bad gene, there is a \(50-50\) chance she will pass this on to a son. Suppose that neither of her two sons is afflicted with hemophilia. What then is the probability that the woman is indeed the carrier of the hemophilia gene? What is this probability if she has a third son who is also not afflicted?

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