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Let \(Y_{1}, Y_{2}, \ldots, Y_{n}\) be independent, uniformly distributed random variables on the interval \([0, \theta] .\) Find the a. probability distribution function of \(Y_{(n)}=\max \left(Y_{1}, Y_{2}, \ldots, Y_{n}\right)\) b. density function of \(Y_{(n)}\) c. mean and variance of \(Y_{(n)}\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. CDF is \( (\frac{y}{\theta})^n \); b. PDF is \( n \frac{y^{n-1}}{\theta^n} \); c. Mean is \( \frac{n}{n+1}\theta \), variance is \( \frac{n\theta^2}{(n+1)^2(n+2)} \)."

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the maximum of uniform variables

Let us consider independent random variables \( Y_1, Y_2, \ldots, Y_n \) each uniformly distributed over the interval \([0, \theta]\). The maximum of these random variables is denoted as \( Y_{(n)} = \max(Y_1, Y_2, \ldots, Y_n) \). Our task is to find its probability distribution function (cumulative distribution function).
02

CDF of the maximum

The cumulative distribution function (CDF) of \( Y_{(n)} \) is given by \( F_{Y_{(n)}}(y) = P(Y_{(n)} \leq y) = P(Y_1 \leq y, Y_2 \leq y, \ldots, Y_n \leq y) \). Since they are independent uniform variables, \( P(Y_i \leq y) = \frac{y}{\theta} \) for \( 0 \leq y \leq \theta \). Consequently, \( F_{Y_{(n)}}(y) = \left(\frac{y}{\theta}\right)^n \) for \( 0 \leq y \leq \theta \), and \( F_{Y_{(n)}}(y) = 1 \) for \( y > \theta \).
03

PDF of the maximum

The probability density function (PDF) is the derivative of the CDF with respect to \( y \). Thus, \[ f_{Y_{(n)}}(y) = \frac{d}{dy} \left( \frac{y}{\theta} \right)^n = n \cdot \frac{y^{n-1}}{\theta^n}, \] valid for \( 0 \leq y \leq \theta \). For \( y > \theta \), \( f_{Y_{(n)}}(y) = 0 \).
04

Expected value of Y(n)

The expected value of \( Y_{(n)} \) can be calculated from the PDF: \[ E[Y_{(n)}] = \int_0^\theta y \cdot n \cdot \frac{y^{n-1}}{\theta^n} \, dy. \] Solving this integral, we find \[ E[Y_{(n)}] = \frac{n}{n+1}\theta. \]
05

Variance of Y(n)

To find the variance, we need \( E[Y_{(n)}^2] \): \[ E[Y_{(n)}^2] = \int_0^\theta y^2 \cdot n \cdot \frac{y^{n-1}}{\theta^n} \, dy. \] Evaluating this gives \[ E[Y_{(n)}^2] = \frac{n}{n+2}\theta^2. \] The variance \( \text{Var}(Y_{(n)}) \) is \[ \text{Var}(Y_{(n)}) = E[Y_{(n)}^2] - (E[Y_{(n)}])^2 = \frac{n}{n+2}\theta^2 - \left(\frac{n}{n+1}\theta\right)^2 = \frac{n\theta^2}{(n+1)^2(n+2)}. \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Uniform Distribution
A uniform distribution is a type of probability distribution where every outcome in a given interval is equally likely. Imagine slicing a pie into equal parts where each slice represents an outcome; this is how a uniform distribution can be visualized. In formal terms, if a random variable is uniformly distributed over an interval
  • The probability of any specific outcome is constant.
  • The distribution is defined by two parameters, typically denoted as \([a, b]\) for a continuous uniform distribution.
In the context of our exercise, we deal with uniform random variables over the interval \([0, \theta]\). This means that any number selected within this range is equally probable, making it simple and intuitive to work with when calculating statistical measures like the maximum value.
Probability Distribution Function
The probability distribution function (PDF) describes the likelihood of a random variable to take on a given value. For continuous variables, this involves the Probability Density Function (also referred to as PDF), which is the derivative of the cumulative distribution function (CDF). The CDF, in contrast, measures the probability that the random variable is less than or equal to a certain value. For the maximum of n uniform variables defined in \([0, \theta]\), the CDF is:
  • \(F_{Y_{(n)}}(y) = \left(\frac{y}{\theta}\right)^n\) for \(0 \leq y \leq \theta\).
  • This means that all individual variables are less than or equal to \(y\), making the calculation straightforward.
  • Beyond the interval (i.e., \(y > \theta\)), the CDF effectively equals 1.
The ease of calculating the CDF for a uniform distribution arises from symmetrical properties and absence of complex weighted probabilities.
Density Function
The density function showcases how the probability is distributed over an interval for a continuous random variable. Derived from the CDF, it provides the "density" of the probabilities around each point, enlightening us on distributions of differing shapes.From our uniform variables over \([0, \theta]\), the PDF of the maximum value \(Y_{(n)}\) is:
  • \( f_{Y_{(n)}}(y) = n \cdot \frac{y^{n-1}}{\theta^n} \) for \(0 \leq y \leq \theta\).
  • This illustrates an increasing function, highlighting that larger sample sizes will see the maximum value shift closer to \(\theta\).
  • For values beyond \(\theta\), the PDF naturally drops to zero.
Understanding the density function aids in predicting where the outcomes predominantly lie, given a series of events or tests.
Expected Value and Variance
Expected value and variance are fundamental in comprehending the behavior of random variables. The expected value provides us with the average or mean outcome anticipated, which serves as a central point of distribution.
  • For \(Y_{(n)}\), the expected value is \( E[Y_{(n)}] = \frac{n}{n+1}\theta \). It calculates the average maximum outcome across multiple trials for uniformly distributed variables.
  • Variance quantifies how spread out the numbers in the distribution are, or put simply, the degree to which outcomes deviate from the expected value.
  • The variance is determined by \( \text{Var}(Y_{(n)}) = \frac{n\theta^2}{(n+1)^2(n+2)} \), capturing this dispersion and offering insight into the likelihood of deviations.
Grasping these concepts is crucial for predicting outcomes and understanding the variability inherent in statistical data.

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