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If \(A\) and \(B\) are independent events with \(P(A)=.5\) and \(P(B)=.2\), find the following: a. \(P(A \cup B)\) b. \(P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B})\) c. \(P(\bar{A} \cup \bar{B})\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 0.6, b. 0.4, c. 0.4

Step by step solution

01

Understand Event Independence

Since events A and B are independent, their joint probability is calculated using the formula: \( P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B) \).
02

Calculate Intersection Probability

Calculate \( P(A \cap B) \) using: \( P(A \cap B) = 0.5 \times 0.2 = 0.1 \).
03

Calculate Union Probability

Use the formula for the probability of the union of two independent events: \( P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) \). Thus, \( P(A \cup B) = 0.5 + 0.2 - 0.1 = 0.6 \).
04

Compute Complement of Intersection

To find \( P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) \), note that \( \bar{A} \) and \( \bar{B} \) are also independent. Thus, \( P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) = P(\bar{A}) \times P(\bar{B}) \), where \( P(\bar{A}) = 1 - P(A) = 0.5 \) and \( P(\bar{B}) = 1 - P(B) = 0.8 \).
05

Calculate Probability of Complements

Compute \( P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) = 0.5 \times 0.8 = 0.4 \).
06

Calculate Union of Complements

Using De Morgan's law, \( P(\bar{A} \cup \bar{B}) = 1 - P(A \cap B) \). Substitute the values to get \( P(\bar{A} \cup \bar{B}) = 1 - 0.6 = 0.4 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Independent Events
Independent events are an essential concept in probability theory. When two events, say event A and event B, are independent, it means that the occurrence of one event does not influence the occurrence of the other. This is a key condition that allows us to apply specific probability rules.

Mathematically, this relationship is expressed by the fact that the probability of both events happening together (their intersection) is simply the product of their individual probabilities. In other words, if A and B are independent, then the formula is:
  • \( P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B) \)
In the original exercise, with \( P(A) = 0.5 \) and \( P(B) = 0.2 \), we have calculated that \( P(A \cap B) = 0.1 \). This calculation stems from the independence of A and B, ensuring they do not affect each other's outcomes.
Union of Events
Understanding the union of events is critical for calculating the probability of either of two events occurring. The union of two events, A and B, noted as \( A \cup B \), represents the probability that either A occurs, B occurs, or both occur.

For independent events, the probability of their union can be found using the following formula:
  • \( P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) \)
The subtraction of \( P(A \cap B) \) accounts for any overlap in the events, avoiding double-counting situations where both A and B occur.

In the given problem, after calculating \( P(A \cap B) = 0.1 \), we concluded that \( P(A \cup B) = 0.6 \). This outcome helps in understanding how often at least one of these events would happen when considering them together.
Complementary Probability
The concept of complementary probability is rooted in understanding what doesn't happen when a certain event does occur. If you have an event A, the complement \( \bar{A} \) represents all outcomes that are not part of A. The probability of this complement is given by:
  • \( P(\bar{A}) = 1 - P(A) \)
This approach ensures that the total probability between an event and its complement sums to 1, as it covers all possible outcomes.

In the exercise, we used this principle to determine \( P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) \) and \( P(\bar{A} \cup \bar{B}) \). First, we found the probability where neither A nor B happen, \( P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) = 0.4 \), by calculating the intersection of their complements. Then, using De Morgan's law, we determined \( P(\bar{A} \cup \bar{B}) \) simply by subtracting the union of A and B, demonstrating how complements properly fill out the full spectrum of event probability.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Articles coming through an inspection line are visually inspected by two successive inspectors. When a defective article comes through the inspection line, the probability that it gets by the first inspector is .1. The second inspector will "miss" five out of ten of the defective items that get past the first inspector. What is the probability that a defective item gets by both inspectors?

A plane is missing and is presumed to have equal probability of going down in any of three regions. If a plane is actually down in region \(i,\) let \(1-\alpha_{i}\) denote the probability that the plane will be found upon a search of the \(i\) th region, \(i=1,2,3\). What is the conditional probability that the plane is in a. region \(1,\) given that the search of region 1 was unsuccessful? b. region \(2,\) given that the search of region 1 was unsuccessful? c. region \(3,\) given that the search of region 1 was unsuccessful?

If we wish to expand \((x+y)^{8},\) what is the coefficient of \(x^{5} y^{3} ?\) What is the coefficient of \(x^{3} y^{5} ?\)

If \(A\) and \(B\) are two events, prove that \(P(A \cap B) \geq 1-P(\bar{A})-P(\bar{B})\). \([\) Note: This is a simplified version of the Bonferroni inequality.]

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