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A researcher works on a study and found that the sample mean to be $$\$ 35.4$$ and the standard error of estimate to be $$\$ 0.75 .$$ What is the margin of error for the \(95 \%\) confidence level? What is the \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the true mean? Interpret the results.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 95% confidence interval for the true mean is $33.93 to $36.87.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

We need to calculate the margin of error for a 95% confidence level given the sample mean and the standard error of estimate. Then, using the margin of error, we will determine the 95% confidence interval for the true mean.
02

Determine the Critical Value

For a 95% confidence level, we use the critical value associated with a standard normal distribution, also known as a Z-score. The Z-score for a 95% confidence interval is approximately 1.96.
03

Calculate the Margin of Error

The margin of error (ME) is calculated using the formula: \[ ME = Z \times SE \] where \( Z = 1.96 \) and \( SE = 0.75 \). Thus, the margin of error is: \[ ME = 1.96 \times 0.75 = 1.47 \]
04

Compute the Confidence Interval

The confidence interval is determined by adding and subtracting the margin of error from the sample mean. \[ \text{Lower bound} = 35.4 - 1.47 = 33.93 \] \[ \text{Upper bound} = 35.4 + 1.47 = 36.87 \] Therefore, the 95% confidence interval is \([33.93, 36.87]\).
05

Interpret the Results

The confidence interval \([33.93, 36.87]\) indicates that we are 95% confident that the true population mean lies between \(33.93 and \)36.87.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Margin of Error
The margin of error is a crucial concept in statistics that helps us understand the range within which the true population parameter exists. It's used alongside confidence intervals to provide an estimate range around a sample statistic. In this scenario, we are working with a sample mean of \(35.4 and a standard error of estimate of \)0.75. You can think of the margin of error as a buffer zone around the sample mean.

To calculate the margin of error, we multiply the critical value (Z-score) by the standard error. For a 95% confidence level, the Z-score is 1.96. Thus, the formula is:
  • ME = Z \times SE = 1.96 \times 0.75
  • This results in a margin of error of 1.47
In practical terms, this means the true mean of the population could be 1.47 units above or below the sample mean of $35.4.

Understanding the margin of error provides insight into the reliability and precision of our sample mean in estimating the true population mean. The smaller the margin of error, the more accurate your interval estimate will be.
Sample Mean
The sample mean is the average value obtained from a sample data set. In statistics, we use the sample mean to estimate the true mean of the entire population when it is impractical to measure every individual in the population.

When collecting sample data, the sample mean provides a summary statistic that represents the central tendency of that data. This metric is crucial because it serves as the foundation for further statistical analysis including the calculation of confidence intervals. For example, in our given problem, the sample mean is $35.4. It acts as the midpoint or center of our confidence interval calculations.

The accuracy of the sample mean as an estimate depends heavily on the sample size and variance. Larger samples and less variable data usually result in a sample mean that is more representative of the population mean. It is from this point that we determine the range of the confidence interval using the margin of error.
Standard Error
The standard error measures the dispersion or variability of the sample mean estimate from the true population mean. It is a critical component in calculating the margin of error and the confidence interval.

In simplified terms, the standard error reflects how much variability exists in the sample mean from different samples drawn from the same population. A smaller standard error indicates that the sample mean is a more precise estimate of the population mean, while a larger standard error suggests greater variability.

In our example problem, the standard error of the sample mean is $0.75. This indicates how far, on average, our sample mean is expected to deviate from the true population mean given random sampling.
  • It's crucial to understand that the standard error decreases as the sample size increases due to the formula SE = \( \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \), where \( s \) is the standard deviation and \( n \) is the sample size.
  • This relationship highlights the importance of large sample sizes for achieving more accurate estimates of the population parameter.
Overall, the standard error provides a way to gauge the reliability and accuracy of our sample mean.

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