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Scores on a certain quiz are normally distributed. In sample of 25 students the mean score was 14 points with a standard error estimate of 2 points. Calculate the margin of error and the \(95 \%\) confidence intervals. Interpret Confidence interval.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The margin of error is 3.92. The 95% confidence interval is [10.08, 17.92].

Step by step solution

01

Identify Given Information

The sample size is 25 students. The sample mean is 14, and the standard error is 2. We are calculating a 95% confidence interval, which implies using a Z-score for a 95% confidence level.
02

Find the Critical Value

For a 95% confidence level, the critical value (Z-score) is approximately 1.96 because it covers 95% of the area under a standard normal curve.
03

Calculate the Margin of Error

The margin of error (ME) is calculated as the product of the critical value and the standard error. Thus, ME = Z * SE = 1.96 * 2 = 3.92.
04

Calculate the Confidence Interval

The confidence interval is calculated using the formula: \( \text{Mean} \pm \text{Margin of Error} \). This gives us 14 \( \pm \) 3.92, resulting in the interval: [10.08, 17.92].
05

Interpret the Confidence Interval

The 95% confidence interval suggests that we are 95% confident the true population mean score on the quiz falls between 10.08 and 17.92 points.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Normal Distribution
The normal distribution is a key concept in statistics and is often considered the foundation upon which many statistical methodologies are built. It is a type of continuous probability distribution for a real-valued random variable. Characteristics of a normal distribution include:
  • It is symmetric about the mean, which means its shape is identical on both sides of the center point.
  • The mean, median, and mode of a normal distribution are equal.
  • The shape of the curve is known as a bell curve due to its shape.
  • Approximately 68% of the data falls within one standard deviation of the mean, about 95% within two standard deviations, and about 99.7% within three standard deviations.
The scores from the quiz in the exercise are assumed to be normally distributed, indicating that we can use probability and statistical tools suited for this type of distribution to analyze the data.
Standard Error
The standard error (SE) is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values, especially when estimating the mean of a population from a sample. It provides crucial insight into how much sampling variance you might expect in your dataset. Some important points about standard error include:
  • Standard error decreases as sample size increases – if you have more data to base your estimate on, the estimate becomes more reliable.
  • It is used to calculate the margin of error, and consequently, confidence intervals.
In the context of the exercise, the standard error of 2 points indicates the extent of variability in the mean scores of the student sample. This value is used to gauge how closely the sample mean approximates the true population mean.
Margin of Error
The margin of error defines the range that the true population parameter (in this case, the mean) is expected to fall within, based on the sample data. Essentially, it provides a way of expressing the precision of the sample estimate. To calculate the margin of error:
  • Multiply the standard error by the Z-score.
For example, in this exercise, multiplying the standard error (2) by the Z-score for 95% confidence (1.96) gives a margin of error of 3.92. This value serves as the buffer around the sample mean, indicating that the true population mean is likely within this range.
Z-score
The Z-score, also known as the standard score, is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relation to the mean of a group of values. It is a dimensionless quantity since it is calculated by subtracting the population mean from an individual score and then dividing by the population standard deviation. Key aspects of Z-scores include:
  • They allow for the comparison of scores from different normal distributions.
  • A Z-score tells you how many standard deviations an element is from the mean.
In terms of confidence intervals, a Z-score corresponds to a specific confidence level. For a 95% confidence interval, the corresponding Z-score is approximately 1.96. In our given exercise, this Z-score was used to calculate the margin of error, which in turn helped establish the confidence interval, being crucial in making statistical inferences about the population mean.

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