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Consider the national income of a country, which consists of consumption, investment, and government expenditures. Here we assume the government expenditure to be constant, at G0, while the national income Y(t), consumption C(t) , and investment I(t) change over time. According to a simple model, we have

|Yt=Ct+It+G0Ct+1=YtIt+1=Ct+1-Ct| (0<<1),(>0)

Where is the marginal propensity to consume and is the acceleration coefficient. (See Paul E. Samuelson, 鈥淚nteractions between the Multiplier Analysis and the Principle of Acceleration,鈥 Review of Economic Statistics, May 1939, pp. 75-78.)

  1. Find the equilibrium solution of these equations, when Y(t+1)=Y(t,)C(t+1)=C(t)andI(t+1)=I(t).
  2. Let y(t),c(t)andi(t)be the deviations ofY(t),C(t)andI(t), , and , respectively, from the equilibrium state you found in part (a). These quantities are related by the equations
    |yt=ct+itct+1=ytit+1=ct+1-ct|
    (Verify this!) By substituting y(t) into the second equations, set up equations of the form
    |ct+1=pct+qitit+1=rct+sit|
  3. When =5and =0.2, determine the stability of zero state of this system.
  4. When =1(and is arbitrary, 0<<1), determine the stability of the zero state.
  5. For each of the four sectors in the --plane, determine the stability of the zero state.

Discuss the various cases, in practical terms.

Short Answer

Expert verified
  1. The solutions are It=0,Yt=G01-and Ct=G01-.
  2. Equations arect+1=ct+it and it+1=-ct+it.
  3. Zero state is not stable
  4. Zero state is stable
  5. Zero state is stable in sectors I and IV

Step by step solution

01

Given that

Given the national income of a country, which consists of consumption, investment, and government expenditures.

The government expenditure to be constant, at G0, while the national income Yt, consumption Ct, and investment Itchange over time.

Accroding to a simple model

Y(t)=C(t)+I(t)+G0C(t+1)=纬驰(t)I(t+1)=(Ct+1-Ct) 0<<1,>0

where is the marginal propensity to consume and is the acceleration coefficient.

02

(a) Find equilibrium solution

To find equilibrium solution of Yt+1=Yt,Ct+1=Ct, and It+1=It, use the given equations.

Since. It+1=Ct+1-Ct

Put Ct+1=Ct, this implies

It+1=0which further implies It=0

Put this in first equation Yt=Ct+It+G0

This implies Yt=Ct+G0

Since Ct+1=Ctimplies Ct=Yt

So the equation becomes

Yt=Yt+G0Yt-Yt=G0Yt=G01-

AndCt=G01-

Hence the solutions are:

role="math" localid="1668415432322" width="87" height="122">It=0Yt=G01-Ct=G01-

03

(b) Find relation between deviations

Given that yt,ctanditare the deviations of Yt,Ctand It, respectively, from the equilibrium state.

It=0Yt=G01-Ct=G01-

Also

yt=ct+itct+1=ytit+1=ct+1-ct

Using yt=ct+itinct+1=ytandit+1=ct+1-ctimplies

ct+1=ct+itit+1=ct+it-ctit+1=-ct+it

Hence,

ct+1=ct+itand it+1=-ct+itare of the form

ct+1=pct+qitit+1=rct+sit

04

(c) Determine stability of zero state for  α=5 and γ=0.2

Usingct+1=ct+itandit+1=-ct+it

The state transition matrix is

role="math" localid="1668416881433" A=-

Put =5and =0.2

SoA=0.20.2-41

Find eigenvalues of A

A-I=00.2-0.2-41-=00.2-1-+0.8=02-1.2+1=0

So, =0.60.8i.

Here,

0.60.8i=0.62+0.82=0.36+0.64=1=1

Since, the modulus is not less than 1, hence the zero system is not stable.

05

(d) Determine stability of zero state for  and is arbitrary

Usingct+1=ct+itandit+1=-ct+it

The state transition matrix is

role="math" localid="1668416926816" A=-

Put =1.

So A=-1

Here, trA=2

Also,

A=2--1=2-2+=

Since, the modulus of both the complex numbers is less than 1 (as 0<<1), hence the zero system is stable.

06

(e) Determine long-term behavior of x1(t) and x2(t)

Usingct+1=ct+itandit+1=-ct+it

The state transition matrix is

A=-

Here,

trA=+1>0

Now,

detA=2-2+=

A system is stable if,

trA-1<detA<1

So the condition becomes:

<1+-1<<1

From the figure,

the condition<1 is satisfied by the sectors I and IV.

Hence, zero system is stable in sector I and IV.

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28 : Consider the isolated Swiss town of Andelfingen, inhabited by 1,200 families. Each family takes a weekly shopping trip to the only grocery store in town, run by Mr. and Mrs. Wipf, until the day when a new, fancier (and cheaper) chain store, Migros, opens its doors. It is not expected that everybody will immediately run to the new store, but we do anticipate that 20% of those shopping at Wipf鈥檚 each week switch to Migros the following week. Some people who do switch miss the personal service (and the gossip) and switch back: We expect that 10% of those shopping at Migros each week go to Wipf鈥檚 the following week. The state of this town (as far as grocery shopping is concerned) can be represented by the vector

x(t)=[wtm(t]]

where w(t) and m(t) are the numbers of families shopping at Wipf鈥檚 and at Migros, respectively, t weeks after Migros opens. Suppose w(0) = 1,200 and m(0) = 0.

a. Find a 2 脳 2 matrix A such that role="math" localid="1659586084144" x(t++1)=Ax(t). Verify that A is a positive transition matrix. See Exercise 25.

b. How many families will shop at each store after t weeks? Give closed formulas. c. The Wipfs expect that they must close down when they have less than 250 customers a week. When does that happen?

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