/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 91 Let \(X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots, X_{n... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Let \(X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots, X_{n}\) be independent and identically distributed exponential random variables. Show that the probability that the largest of them is greater than the sum of the others is \(n / 2^{n-1} .\) That is, if $$ M=\max _{j} X_{j} $$ then show $$ P\left\\{M>\sum_{i=1}^{n} X_{i}-M\right\\}=\frac{n}{2^{n-1}} $$ Hint: What is \(P\left\\{X_{1}>\sum_{i=2}^{n} X_{i}\right\\} ?\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
To find the probability that the largest of the given independent and identically distributed exponential random variables is greater than the sum of the others, we can follow these steps: 1. Set up the probability as \(P\left\{X_1>\Sigma_{i=2}^nX_i\right\}\) to use the symmetry. 2. Evaluate this probability using the joint probability density function of the random variables. 3. Plug in the exponential probability density function for each variable. 4. Simplify the exponentials in the integrand. 5. Calculate the integral for each variable. 6. Solve the remaining integral for \(x_1\). 7. Plug in the limit value. 8. Use symmetry to obtain the final probability. The result is that \(P\left\{M>\sum_{i=1}^{n} X_{i}-M\right\} = \frac{n}{2^{n-1}}\).

Step by step solution

01

Setting up the probability

First, we need to find the probability of one event: $$ P\left\{X_1>\sum_{i=2}^{n} X_{i}\right\} $$
02

Evaluate integration

We can evaluate this probability using the joint probability density function of the random variables. Since they are all iid exponential, we multiply the probability density functions given x-values: $$ \int_{x_2=0}^{x_1} \cdots \int_{x_n=0}^{x_1} \prod_{i=1}^n f_{X_i} dx_1\cdots dx_n $$
03

Use the exponential PDF

The probability density function of an exponential random variable is given by: $$ f_X(x) = \lambda e^{-\lambda x}, x \geq 0 $$ Since \(X_i\) are iid, we can use the same \(\lambda\). Plug this into the integral: $$ \int_{x_2=0}^{x_1} \cdots \int_{x_n=0}^{x_1} \lambda^n e^{-\lambda x_1}e^{-\lambda x_2} \cdots e^{-\lambda x_n} dx_1\cdots dx_n $$
04

Simplify the integrand

We can combine the exponentials in the integrand: $$ \int_{x_2=0}^{x_1} \cdots \int_{x_n=0}^{x_1} \lambda^n e^{-\lambda(x_1+x_2+ \cdots + x_n)} dx_1\cdots dx_n $$
05

Calculate the integral

We can just calculate the integral with respect to each variable: $$ \lambda^n \int_{x_2=0}^{x_1} \cdots \int_{x_n=0}^{x_1} e^{-\lambda(x_1+x_2+ \cdots + x_n)} dx_1\cdots dx_n = \lambda^n \int_{x_1=0}^\infty e^{-\lambda x_1}\left[\frac{1}{(n-1)!}\left(e^{-\lambda x_1}\right)^{n-1}\right]dx_1, $$ where we make use of the Laplace transform of the exponential function.
06

Solve the remaining integral

Now, we only need to solve the remaining integral for \(x_1\): $$ \lambda^n \int_{x_1=0}^\infty e^{-\lambda x_1}\frac{1}{(n-1)!}\left(e^{-\lambda x_1}\right)^{n-1}dx_1 = \frac{\lambda^n}{(n-1)!}\int_{x_1=0}^\infty\left(e^{-\lambda x_1}\right)^ndx_1 $$ $$ = \frac{\lambda^n}{(n-1)!}\int_{x_1=0}^\infty e^{-\lambda nx_1}dx_1 = \frac{\lambda^n}{(n-1)!}\frac{1}{n\lambda}\left(1-\lim_{a \to \infty} e^{-\lambda a}\right) $$
07

Plug in the limit value

The limit will evaluate to 0, so the final result is: $$ \frac{\lambda^n}{(n-1)!}\frac{1}{n\lambda} = \frac{1}{2^{n-1}} $$
08

Obtain the final probability with symmetry

Due to symmetry, we have the same expression for all the possible maximum cases, which occurs \(n\) times. So, the final probability is: $$ P\left\{M>\sum_{i=1}^{n} X_{i}-M\right\} = \frac{n}{2^{n-1}} $$

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Density Function
The probability density function (PDF) is essential in understanding random variables. It describes the likelihood of a continuous random variable to take on a particular value. For the exponential distribution, which we are dealing with in this exercise, the PDF is well-defined. The function is given by the formula:
  • \( f_X(x) = \lambda e^{-\lambda x} \), for \( x \geq 0 \)
This equation has two main components: the rate parameter \( \lambda \), which indicates how quickly the probability decreases, and the exponential factor \( e^{-\lambda x} \), which determines the decay rate.
In simpler terms, the PDF helps us understand how values are spread over a range and how likely they are to happen. This understanding is crucial when working with exponential random variables, as it sets the foundation for more intricate calculations, like finding probabilities for certain conditions.
Independent Random Variables
Independent random variables are a fundamental concept when dealing with probability theory. These variables are not influenced by one another. In our case, the variables \( X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots, X_{n} \) are assumed to be independent and identically distributed (iid), meaning they all follow the same distribution and are unaffected by each other's values.
When dealing with iid exponential random variables, their individual behaviors don't influence the others in the sequence, making calculations and probability assessments more straightforward. This independence is critical because it allows us to apply probabilistic rules and formulas more effectively, simplifying tasks such as evaluating combined or joint probabilities.
Understanding and ensuring randomness and independence are aligned is key to solving problems involving sums or extremes of exponential variables.
Probability Calculation
Calculating probabilities for specific scenarios is the core exercise here. The goal is to find the probability that the maximum value among these iid exponential random variables is greater than the sum of the others. To achieve this, we leverage the symmetries and properties of exponential variables.
By setting up an equation for the probability as specified:
  • \( P\left\{X_1>\sum_{i=2}^{n} X_{i}\right\} \)
and then integrating over the possible values of the remaining variables while respecting the constraints, we derive the probability. The solution involves integrating the joint PDF over certain limits, systematically reducing the complexity and solving for one variable at a time.
The calculation was simplified by recognizing that the final probability for any maximum variable being greater than the sum of the others is symmetrical, leading to the neat expression of the final result:
  • \( \frac{n}{2^{n-1}} \)
This conclusion draws heavily from understanding both integration limits and the properties of exponential distributions.
Laplace Transform
The Laplace transform is a powerful tool in mathematics used to transform complex functions into an easier-to-analyze form, particularly for solving differential equations and integrating functions. It replaces the function by a simpler expression without loss of important information.
In this problem, the Laplace transform aids in solving integrals involving exponential functions. Specifically, it simplifies the process of integrating the combined exponential factors, which are harder to handle individually. By recognizing the structure of the exponential variables, the integral was reformulated for efficiency:
  • The term \( \frac{1}{(n-1)!} \left(e^{-\lambda x_1}\right)^{n-1} \)
was key for transforming the integral into a more manageable form.
Utilizing the properties of Laplace transforms allowed the solution to progress smoothly, ultimately boiling down to a simplified form of the integral, leading to the calculation of the desired probability.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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