Chapter 3: Problem 9
Show in the discrete case that if \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent, then $$ E[X \mid Y=y]=E[X] \quad \text { for all } y $$
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Chapter 3: Problem 9
Show in the discrete case that if \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent, then $$ E[X \mid Y=y]=E[X] \quad \text { for all } y $$
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Suppose \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent continuous random variables. Show that $$ E[X \mid Y=y]=E[X] $$ for all \(y\)
The opponents of soccer team \(\mathrm{A}\) are of two types: either they are a class 1 or a class 2 team. The number of goals team A scores against a class \(i\) opponent is a Poisson random variable with mean \(\lambda_{i}\), where \(\lambda_{1}=2\), \(\lambda_{2}=3 .\) This weekend the team has two games against teams they are not very familiar with. Assuming that the first team they play is a class 1 team with probability \(0.6\) and the second is, independently of the class of the first team, a class 1 team with probability \(0.3\), determine (a) the expected number of goals team A will score this weekend. (b) the probability that team A will score a total of five goals.
A set of \(n\) dice is thrown. All those that land on six are put aside, and the others are again thrown. This is repeated until all the dice have landed on six. Let \(N\) denote the number of throws needed. (For instance, suppose that \(n=3\) and that on the initial throw exactly two of the dice land on six. Then the other die will be thrown, and if it lands on six, then \(N=2 .\) Let \(m_{n}=E[N]\). (a) Derive a recursive formula for \(m_{n}\) and use it to calculate \(m_{i}, i=2,3,4\) and to show that \(m_{5} \approx 13.024\). (b) Let \(X_{i}\) denote the number of dice rolled on the \(i\) th throw. Find \(E\left[\sum_{i=1}^{N} X_{i}\right]\)
Suppose that we continually roll a die until the sum of all throws exceeds 100 . What is the most likely value of this total when you stop?
Two players alternate flipping a coin that comes up heads with probability \(p\). The first one to obtain a head is declared the winner. We are interested in the probability that the first player to flip is the winner. Before determining this probability, which we will call \(f(p)\), answer the following questions. (a) Do you think that \(f(p)\) is a monotone function of \(p ?\) If so, is it increasing or decreasing? (b) What do you think is the value of \(\lim _{p \rightarrow 1} f(p)\) ? (c) What do you think is the value of \(\lim _{p \rightarrow 0} f(p)\) ? (d) Find \(f(p)\).
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