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Four friends, Janice, Barbara, Kathy and Roberta, decided to carpool together to get to school. Each day the driver would be chosen by randomly selecting one of the four names. They carpool to school for 96days. Use the normal approximation to the binomial to calculate the following probabilities. Round the standard deviation to four decimal places.

a. Find the probability that Janice is the driver at most20days.

b. Find the probability that Roberta is the driver more than 16days.

c. Find the probability that Barbara drives exactly 24 of those 96 days.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) The probability that Janice is the driver at most 20 days is0.2033

(b) The probability that Roberta is the driver more than 16 days is0.9772

(c) The probability that Barbara drives exactly 24 of those 96 days is0.0956

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step1: Given information 

Given in the question that, Four friends, Janice, Barbara, Kathy and Roberta, decided to carpool together to get to school. Each day the driver would be chosen by randomly selecting one of the four names. They carpool to school for96days.

02

Part (a) Step 2: Explanation

From the information, we observed that, the sample size is 96days.

Therefore,

X~B(96,0.25)

Since,np=24>5andnq=72>5

Hence,

The mean:

μ=n⋅p

=96â‹…0.25

=24

Standard Deviation

s=npq=4.24

Now random variable Yhas a normal distribution

Y~N(24,4.24)

The wanted probability is given by:

P(X<20)=P(Y<20.5)

=PY−244.24<20.5−244.24

=ϕ20.5−244.24

=ϕ(−0.83)

=1−0.7967

=0.2033

03

Part (b) Step 1: Given information

Given in the question that, Four friends, Janice, Barbara, Kathy and Roberta, decided to carpool together to get to school. Each day the driver would be chosen by randomly selecting one of the four names. They carpool to school for 96days.

04

Part (b) Step 2: Explanation

Variable Xhas a binomial distribution:

X~B(96,0.25)

The mean:

localid="1648366098955" μ=n·p=96·0.25=24

Standard deviation:

s=npq=4.24

Now random variable Yhas a normal distribution:

Y~N(24,4.24)

The wanted probability is given by:

P(X>16)=P(Y>15.5)

=PY−244.24>15.5−244.24

=1−ϕ15.5−244.24

=1−(ϕ(−2))

=1−(1−ϕ(2))

=0.9772

05

Part (c) Step 1: Given information

Given in the question that, Four friends, Janice, Barbara, Kathy and Roberta, decided to carpool together to get to school. Each day the driver would be chosen by randomly selecting one of the four names. They carpool to school for 96days.

06

Part (c) Step 2: Explanation

Variable Xhas a binomial distribution:

X~B(96,0.25)

The mean:

μ=n·p=96·0.25=24

Standard deviation:

s=npq=4.24

Now random variable Yhas a normal distribution:

Y~N(24,4.24)

The wanted probability is given by:

P(X=24)=P(23.5<Y<24.5)

=P23.5−244.24<Y−244.24<24.5−244.24

=ϕ24.5−244.24−ϕ23.5−244.24

=ϕ(0.12)−ϕ(−0.12)

=ϕ(0.12)−(1−ϕ(0.12))

=2ϕ(0.12)−1

=2⋅0.5478−1

=0.0956

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