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It is believed that a stock price for a particular company will grow at a rate of 5per week with a standard deviation of1. An investor believes the stock won鈥檛 grow as quickly. The changes in stock price are recorded for ten weeks and are as follows: 4,3,2, 3, 1,7, 2,1,1, 2. Perform a hypothesis test using a 5%level of significance. State the null and alternative hypotheses, find the p-value, state your conclusion, and identify the Type Iand Type IIerrors.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Type I error is: The stock price of a particular company actually rises at a rate of 5per week, but never at a rate of 5per week.

Type II error is: The stock price of a particular company does not actually rise at a rate of 5per week, but it does rise at a rate of 5per week.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

This is a check of a single population mean, due to the fact the hassle is set imply modifications inventory price.

We need to test

H0:=5versus Ha:<5

using =0.05

Investors do not believe stock prices will grow that fast. Therefore, the<says that it is left.

Random variable Xis the mean stock price. Distribution for the test is normal because we know the standard deviation i.e.

X:N,n=N5,110

Now we calculate the p-value using the normal distribution for a mean:

P-value=P(x<2.6)0

where the sample mean of the problem is given by

2+3++1+210=2.6

The P-value denotes the probability to the left of the sample mean in the normal distribution.

02

Step 2:  Explanation

We can consider that,

=0.05>0=P-value

Therefore, we reject H0:=5. In other words, we do not think a stock price for a particular company will grow at a rate of 5per week but believes the stock won't grow as quickly.

At the 5%significance level, we conclude that is not sufficient evidence to conclude that a stock price for a particular company will grow at a rate of 5per week.

Rejecting the null hypothesis H0when it is true is defined as a type Ierror.

Suppose the null hypothesis H0is as follows:" The stock price of a particular company rises once a week. "

So, Type Ierror is -. Reject the null hypothesis that a stock price for a particular company will not grow at a rate of 5per week when is actually will grow at a rate of 5per week.

Failing to reject the null hypothesis when it is false is defined as a type IIerror.

Therefore, Type IIerror is

Not to reject the null hypothesis that a stock price for a particular company will grow at a rate of 5per week when is actually will not grow at a rate of 5per week.

03

Conclusion

The graph for this problem is:

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Determine both TypeIand TypeIIerrors for the following scenario:

Assume a null hypothesis,H0, that states the percentage of adults with jobs is at least 88%.

Identify the TypeIand Type IIerrors from these four statements.

a. Not to reject the null hypothesis that the percentage of adults who have jobs is at least 88%when that percentage is actually less than 88%

b. Not to reject the null hypothesis that the percentage of adults who have jobs is at least 88%when the percentage is actually at least 88%.

c. Reject the null hypothesis that the percentage of adults who have jobs is at least 88%when the percentage is actually at least 88%.

d. Reject the null hypothesis that the percentage of adults who have jobs is at least 88%when that percentage is actually less than 88%.

"Phillip鈥檚 Wish," by Suzanne Osorio

My nephew likes to play

Chasing the girls makes his day.

He asked his mother

If it is okay

To get his ear pierced.

She said, 鈥淣o way!鈥

To poke a hole through your ear,

Is not what I want for you, dear.

He argued his point quite well,

Says even my macho pal, Mel,

Has gotten this done.

It鈥檚 all just for fun.

C鈥檓on please, mom, please, what the hell.

Again Phillip complained to his mother,

Saying half his friends (including their brothers)

Are piercing their ears

And they have no fears

He wants to be like the others.

She said, 鈥淚 think it鈥檚 much less.

We must do a hypothesis test.

And if you are right,

I won鈥檛 put up a fight.

But, if not, then my case will rest.鈥

We proceeded to call fifty guys

To see whose prediction would fly.

Nineteen of the fifty

Said piercing was nifty

And earrings they鈥檇 occasionally buy.

Then there鈥檚 the other thirty-one,

Who said they鈥檇 never have this done.

So now this poem鈥檚 finished.

Will his hopes be diminished,

Or will my nephew have his fun?

For Americans using library services, the American Library Association claims that at most 67% of patrons borrow books. The library director in Owensboro, Kentucky feels this is not true, so she asked a local college statistic class to conduct a survey. The class randomly selected 100 patrons and found that 82borrowed books. Did the class demonstrate that the percentage was higher in Owensboro, KY? Use =0.01 level of significance. What is the possible proportion of patrons that do borrow books from the Owensboro Library?

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a. to conclude that the current mean hours per week is higher than 4.5, when in fact, it is higher

b. to conclude that the current mean hours per week is higher than 4.5, when in fact, it is the same

c. to conclude that the mean hours per week currently is 4.5, when in fact, it is higher

d. to conclude that the mean hours per week currently is no higher than 4.5, when in fact, it is not higher

According to an article in Bloomberg Businessweek, New York City's most recent adult smoking rate is 14%. Suppose that a survey is conducted to determine this year鈥檚 rate. Nine out of 70 randomly chosen N.Y. City residents reply that they smoke. Conduct a hypothesis test to determine if the rate is still 14% or if it has decreased.

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