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It is believed that a stock price for a particular company will grow at a rate of 5per week with a standard deviation of1. An investor believes the stock won’t grow as quickly. The changes in stock price are recorded for ten weeks and are as follows: 4,3,2, 3, 1,7, 2,1,1, 2. Perform a hypothesis test using a 5%level of significance. State the null and alternative hypotheses, find the p-value, state your conclusion, and identify the Type Iand Type IIerrors.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Type I error is: The stock price of a particular company actually rises at a rate of 5per week, but never at a rate of 5per week.

Type II error is: The stock price of a particular company does not actually rise at a rate of 5per week, but it does rise at a rate of 5per week.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

This is a check of a single population mean, due to the fact the hassle is set imply modifications inventory price.

We need to test

H0:μ=5versus Ha:μ<5

using α=0.05

Investors do not believe stock prices will grow that fast. Therefore, the<says that it is left.

Random variable X¯is the mean stock price. Distribution for the test is normal because we know the standard deviation i.e.

X¯:Nμ,σn=N5,110

Now we calculate the p-value using the normal distribution for a mean:

P-value=P(x¯<2.6)≈0

where the sample mean of the problem is given by

2+3+⋯+1+210=2.6

The P-value denotes the probability to the left of the sample mean in the normal distribution.

02

Step 2:  Explanation

We can consider that,

α=0.05>0=P-value

Therefore, we reject H0:μ=5. In other words, we do not think a stock price for a particular company will grow at a rate of 5per week but believes the stock won't grow as quickly.

At the 5%significance level, we conclude that is not sufficient evidence to conclude that a stock price for a particular company will grow at a rate of 5per week.

Rejecting the null hypothesis H0when it is true is defined as a type Ierror.

Suppose the null hypothesis H0is as follows:" The stock price of a particular company rises once a week. "

So, Type Ierror is -. Reject the null hypothesis that a stock price for a particular company will not grow at a rate of 5per week when is actually will grow at a rate of 5per week.

Failing to reject the null hypothesis when it is false is defined as a type IIerror.

Therefore, Type IIerror is

Not to reject the null hypothesis that a stock price for a particular company will grow at a rate of 5per week when is actually will not grow at a rate of 5per week.

03

Conclusion

The graph for this problem is:

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