Chapter 4: Q. 79 (page 291)
A 鈥渇riend鈥 offers you the following 鈥渄eal.鈥 For a fee, you may pick an envelope from a box containing seemingly identical envelopes. However, each envelope contains a coupon for a free gift.
鈥 Ten of the coupons are for a free gift worth.
鈥 Eighty of the coupons are for a free gift worth .
鈥 Six of the coupons are for a free gift worth .
鈥 Four of the coupons are for a free gift worth
Based upon the financial gain or loss over the long run, should you play the game?
a. Yes, I expect to come out ahead in money.
b. No, I expect to come out behind in money.
c. It doesn鈥檛 matter. I expect to break even.
Short Answer
(b) No, I should not play, I expect to come out behind in money.