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A poll of 1,200 voters asked what the most significant issue was in the upcoming election. Sixty-five percent answered the economy. We are interested in the population proportion of voters who feel the economy is the most important.

Construct a 90% confidence interval, and state the confidence interval and the error bound.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The 90%confidence interval for the population proportion of voters who feel the economy is the most important issue is[0.62735,0.67265] and the error bound is 0.022649.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Given in the question that

A poll of 1,200 voters asked what the most significant issue was in the upcoming election. Sixty-five percent answered the economy.

02

Solution

The degree of uncertainty or assurance in a sampling procedure is calculated using confidence intervals. They can withstand a variety of probability thresholds, the most frequent of which are a 95percent or 99 percent confidence level. Statistical tools such as the t-test are used to calculate confidence intervals.

tied to an error

The worst-case strategy for distinguishing between the assessed value of the procedure as supplied by the Taylor polynomial and the actual value of the function is shown by the Lagrange error bound of a Taylor polynomial.

The number of voters who believe the economy is the most important issue will be calculated here.

0.65×1200=780

After that, we need to calculate the confidant interval using the TI-83 calculator.

Press STAT and use the arrow (?) to TESTS.

Then press the arrow (↓)to A: 1-PropZint and press enter.

Now press the arrow (?) and enter the inputs as shown below,

Then press the arrow (?) to calculator and press enter. The output is given below,

03

Solution

The 90%confidence interval for the population proportion of voters who feel the economy is the most important issue is [0.62735,0.67265]

Now we need to calculate the error bound

EBM=zα2p′q′n

EBM=z0.120.65×(1−0.65)1200

=z0.050.65×0.351200

=1.645×0.0137689

=0.022649

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Table 8.2shows a different random sampling of 20cell phone models. Use this data to calculate a 93% confidence interval for the true mean SAR for cellphones certified for use in the United States. As previously, assume that the population standard deviation is σ= 0.337.

Phone ModelSAR Phone ModelSAR
Blackberry pearl81201.48
Nokia E71x1.53
HTC Evo Design 4G0.8
Nokia N750.68
HTC Freestyle1.15
Nokia N791.4
LG Ally1.36
Sagem Puma1.24
LG Fathom0.77
Samsung Fascinate0.57
LG Optimus Vu0.462
Samsung Infuse 4G
0.2
Motorola Cliq XT1.36
Samsung Nexus S0.51
Motorola Droid pro1.39
Samsung Replenish0.3
Motorola Droid Razr M1.3
Sony W518a walkman0.73
Nokia 7705Twist0.7
ZTE C79 0.869

A poll of 1,200 voters asked what the most significant issue was in the upcoming election. Sixty-five percent answered the economy. We are interested in the population proportion of voters who feel the economy is the most important.

Define the random variable P′ in words.

Which distribution should you use for this problem ?

How much area is in both tails (combined)?

Define the random variablesX andx{"x":[[179,180,181,183,186,189,193,196,198,200,202,204,205,207,208,210,211,212,213,214,214,215,215,215,215,215,215,214,212,211,209,207,206,204,203,201,199,198,197,195,194,193,192,191],[226,225,224,221,219,218,217,215,214,213,213,212,212,211,211,211,211,211,211,212,213,214,216,217,220,223,225,227,229,232,233,235,236,238,239,240,241,242,242,243],[164,165,168,176,181,187,192,197,202,205,207,212,215,216,218,219,220,221,222]],"y":[[101,100,100,99,97,96,96,96,96,96,96,97,98,100,100,102,104,105,107,108,109,111,112,113,115,117,119,121,123,124,125,127,127,128,128,129,129,129,129,129,129,129,128,128],[88,89,90,93,95,97,98,100,101,103,104,104,105,107,108,109,110,111,113,114,114,115,116,118,119,120,121,121,121,121,121,121,121,121,120,120,120,120,119,119],[84,84,83,81,80,78,77,77,76,76,75,75,74,73,73,73,72,72,72]],"t":[[0,334,339,357,374,390,408,424,440,457,473,490,506,523,540,557,574,590,606,623,640,657,675,689,706,724,740,756,774,789,806,823,840,857,873,890,907,923,940,957,974,990,1006,1023],[2075,2299,2306,2324,2340,2356,2373,2389,2406,2423,2443,2458,2473,2490,2508,2523,2551,2590,2606,2623,2640,2656,2674,2690,2707,2723,2740,2756,2772,2789,2806,2823,2840,2856,2873,2890,2907,2956,2973,2989],[4121,4332,4340,4356,4373,4389,4406,4423,4440,4456,4473,4489,4506,4523,4539,4557,4573,4598,4656]],"version":"2.0.0"} in words.

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