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91Ó°ÊÓ

uppose you want to estimate the mean grade point average (GPA) of all students at your school. You set up a table in the library asking for volunteers to tell you their GPAs. Do you think you would get a representative sample? Why or why not?

Short Answer

Expert verified
No, the method of asking for student volunteers in the library is unlikely to give a representative sample of GPAs. This is because the students more likely to be in the library and to volunteer their GPAs may have higher GPAs, leading to overestimation of the average GPA.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Representative Sampling

Firstly, the concept of a representative sample needs to be thoroughly comprehended. A representative sample is a group or set chosen from a larger statistical population according to specified characteristics. That is, a sample that closely matches the overall population in terms of its key attributes. In this case, the population is all the students at the school, and the key attribute under investigation is the GPA.
02

Considering Bias

It's crucial to understand the concept of bias in statistical sampling. Bias is the distortion of data/results in any way that is not random but systematic. Biased data either overestimate or underestimate the parameter, and the method used to collect data can introduce this. In this problem, the method of collecting GPA information by asking for volunteers in the library could potentially introduce bias.
03

Analyzing Possible Bias in the Given Method

In the described method, students voluntarily provide their GPAs at the library. This could mean that the students who are more likely to be in the library may also be more diligent about their studies, hence potentially having higher GPAs. Also, the fact that it is voluntary means that students with lower GPAs might be less inclined to participate. Both these factors could lead to an overestimation of the mean GPA, making the sample not representative of the entire school population.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sampling Bias
Sampling bias occurs when a sample is collected in such a way that some members of the intended statistical population are less likely to be included than others, leading to a biased outcome. In educational settings, when estimating the average GPA of a school's student body, bias may emerge if the sampling method is based on voluntary participation.

For instance, setting up a table in a library and asking for GPA submissions can attract certain groups of students, such as those who might spend more time at the library, who may also be more academically inclined. Students who are less confident about their GPAs might not volunteer their information. As a result, this approach would not be a random selection method and could lead to higher estimates of the mean GPA than actually exists across all students.

To minimize sampling bias, methodologies like random sampling – where every student has an equal chance of being selected – are essential.
Mean Grade Point Average (GPA)
The mean GPA is a statistical measure that represents the central tendency or average academic performance of a group of students. It is calculated by adding together the individual GPAs of all students and then dividing by the number of students.

In the context of school performance, the mean GPA is a valuable indicator of overall academic achievement. However, to ensure that the mean GPA accurately reflects the student population's performance, it is crucial to collect GPA data from a sample that is representative of all student groups, including those with varying levels of academic performance.

Avoiding Skewed Results

If the mean GPA is calculated from a sample that predominantly features high achievers, this could create a skewed impression that all students are performing at a similar level, thus misrepresenting the diversity of academic success within the school.
Statistical Population
A statistical population consists of all members or items that meet a set of specified conditions. In educational research, this might include all students enrolled in a school, university, or educational program whose characteristics are being studied.

To draw meaningful conclusions about a population, it is key to understand its composition and to ensure that any samples drawn for study accurately reflect this composition. This involves identifying and including all relevant subgroups within the population.

Comprehensive and Inclusive Sampling

In the case of estimating the mean GPA of students at a school, the entire student body forms the statistical population. Any sample that aims to approximate the population's mean GPA must, therefore, be as comprehensive and inclusive as possible, covering students from various academic, social, and economic backgrounds.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A 2017 survey of U.S. adults found that \(74 \%\) believed that protecting the rights of those with unpopular views is a very important component of a strong democracy. Assume the sample size was 1000 . a. How many people in the sample felt this way? b. Is the sample large enough to apply the Central Limit Theorem? Explain. Assume all other conditions are met. c. Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of U.S. adults who believe that protecting the rights of those with unpopular views is a very important component of a strong democracy. d. Find the width of the \(95 \%\) confidence interval. Round your answer to the nearest tenth percent. e. Now assume the sample size was 4000 and the percentage was still \(74 \%\). Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval and report the width of the interval. f. What happened to the width of the confidence interval when the sample size was increased? Did it increase or decrease?

According to a 2017 Gallup poll, \(80 \%\) of Americans report being afflicted by stress. Suppose a random sample of 1000 Americans is selected. a. What percentage of the sample would we expect to report being afflicted by stress? b. Verify that the conditions for the Central Limit Theorem are met. c. What is the standard error for this sample proportion? d. According to the Empirical Rule, there is a \(95 \%\) probability that the sample proportion will fall between what two values?

Suppose that, when taking a random sample of three students' GPAs, you get a sample mean of \(3.90 .\) This sample mean is far higher than the collegewide (population) mean. Does that prove that your sample is biased? Explain. What else could have caused this high mean?

Find the sample size required for a margin of error of 3 percentage points, and then find one for a margin of error of \(1.5\) percentage points; for both, use a \(95 \%\) confidence level. Find the ratio of the larger sample size to the smaller sample size. To reduce the margin of error to half, by what do you need to multiply the sample size?

According to a 2018 Rasmussen Poll, \(40 \%\) of American adults were very likely to watch some of the Winter Olympic coverage on television. The survey polled 1000 American adults and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points with a \(95 \%\) level of confidence. a. State the survey results in confidence interval form and interpret the interval. b. If the Rasmussen Poll was to conduct 100 such surveys of 1000 American adults, how many of them would result in confidence intervals that included the true population proportion? c. Suppose a student wrote this interpretation of the confidence interval: "We are \(95 \%\) confident that the sample proportion is between \(37 \%\) and \(43 \%\)." What, if anything, is incorrect in this interpretation?

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