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In 2017 the Gallup poll surveyed 1021 adults in the United States and found that \(57 \%\) supported a ban on smoking in public places. a. Identify the population and the sample. b. What is the parameter of interest? What is the statistic?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The population is all adults in the United States and the sample is the 1021 adults surveyed by Gallup. The parameter of interest is the proportion of all US adults who support a ban on smoking in public places, whereas the statistic is the 57% of the sampled adults who support the ban.

Step by step solution

01

Identifying the Population and Sample

The population in this case would be all adults in the United States, as the study intends to analyze this group's behavior or preferences. The sample is the 1021 adults that Gallup polled in 2017. This is the group from the population that was actually surveyed.
02

Identifying the Parameter of Interest

The parameter of interest is the proportion of all adults in the United States who support a ban on smoking in public places. It's what we would calculate if we could survey the entire population. However, since doing so is practically impossible, we usually infer it by calculating the statistic.
03

Identifying the Statistic

The statistic in this case is the proportion of the sampled 1021 adults who support a ban on smoking in public places, which is 57% according to the survey's results. This statistic is used to estimate the parameter of interest.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Population vs Sample
Understanding the difference between a population and a sample is fundamental in statistics and has a direct impact on research efficacy. A population encompasses every member of a specified group whereas a sample is a subset of that population.

For instance, in the aforementioned Gallup poll scenario, the population includes all adults living in the United States. The sample, on the other hand, consists of the 1,021 adults actually surveyed by Gallup in 2017. Selecting a representative sample is key, as it's impractical to survey entire populations. This is where sampling techniques come in, with randomized selection ensuring that each member of a population has an equal chance of being included, thus helping to mitigate bias.
Parameters of Interest
The term parameter of interest refers to a summary number that describes a feature of the entire population. It's a value that we aim to estimate or learn more about, through the data collected from our sample.

In the context of the Gallup poll, the parameter of interest is the true proportion of all adults in the U.S. who support a ban on smoking in public places. This number is relevant to policymakers and public health entities shaping regulations. However, we cannot feasibly obtain this information from the entire population, which is why researchers rely on estimates calculated from sample data, hoping they closely mirror the true population parameter.
Inferential Statistics
The field of inferential statistics involves making predictions or inferences about a population based on the information gleaned from a sample. It helps us to estimate population parameters, test hypotheses, and make decisions.

Using the principle of inferential statistics, the Gallup poll's finding that 57% of the sampled adults support a smoking ban becomes a cornerstone for hypothesis testing. Statistics obtained from the sample—like the 57% statistic in the exercise—serve as estimators for the true population parameters. Inferential statistics encompasses various techniques, such as confidence intervals and hypothesis tests, to measure the reliability of our estimates and ensure that the conclusions drawn can be generalized to the whole population with a transparent level of uncertainty.

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