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Imagine flipping three fair coins. a. What is the theoretical probability that all three come up heads? b. What is the theoretical probability that the first toss is tails AND the next two are heads?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The theoretical probability that all three coins come up heads is 0.125. The theoretical probability that the first toss is tails and the next two are heads is also 0.125.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Probability for Part A

The theoretical probability that all three coins come up heads is given by the multiplication rule because these are independent events. This rule states that the probability of two independent events happening together is the product of their individual probabilities. Since the probability of getting heads on a single coin flip is 0.5, the probability of three heads in three tosses is \(0.5 \times 0.5 \times 0.5 = 0.125\).
02

Calculate Probability for Part B

The theoretical probability that the first toss is tails and the next two are heads is also given by the multiplication rule. The probability of getting tails on the first toss is 0.5, and the probabilities of getting heads on the second and third tosses are each 0.5 as well. Therefore, the overall probability is \(0.5 \times 0.5 \times 0.5 = 0.125\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability of Independent Events
When we talk about the probability of independent events, we're referring to scenarios where the outcome of one event doesn't affect the outcome of another. For example, in coin flips, each flip is independent since the result of one flip (heads or tails) does not influence what will happen in the next flip.

Understanding the concept of independence is crucial in probability because it allows us to analyze the likelihood of multiple events occurring. In practical terms, if you want to know the chance of flipping heads twice in a row, since the first flip doesn’t impact the second, we consider each flip a separate event. This principle can be extended to any number of coin flips or other independent events.
Multiplication Rule in Probability
The multiplication rule in probability is a fundamental concept used to find the probability that two or more independent events will occur simultaneously. To apply this rule, you simply multiply the probabilities of each individual event occurring.

For instance, if you’re interested in knowing the likelihood of flipping a coin and getting heads (probability 0.5), and then rolling a six-sided die and getting a one (probability 1/6), the multiplication rule would have you multiply these probabilities:

Probability of Heads and then a One = 0.5 * 1/6 = 1/12


It's a straightforward yet powerful tool that helps us handle complex scenarios step by step.
Coin Flip Probability
Focusing on coin flip probability, each flip of a fair coin has two equally likely outcomes: heads or tails. Therefore, the probability of landing on heads is 0.5, as is the probability for tails.

Now, if you were to flip three coins, the chance of getting all heads is calculated by using the multiplication rule for each coin flip: 0.5 (the chance for heads on the first flip) * 0.5 (the chance for the second) * 0.5 (the chance for the third). As our exercise demonstrates, the answer would be 0.125, or 12.5%, for all three coins landing heads.

Each coin flip is a clear example of an independent event, and it's the simplicity of this probability that makes coin flips a great teaching tool in understanding randomness and chance.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Amultiple-choice test has 10 questions. Each question has four choices, but only one choice is correct. Which of the following methods is a valid simulation of a student who guesses randomly on each question. Explain. (Note: there might be more than one valid method.) a. Ten digits are selected using a random number tahle. Fach digit represents one question on the test. If the digit is even, the answer is correct. If the digit is odd, the answer is incorrect. b. The digits \(1.2,3.4\) represent the students attempt on one question. All other digits are ignored. The 1 represents a correct choice. The digits 2 , 3\. and 4 represent an incorrect choice. c. The digits \(1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8\) represent the student's attempt on one question. The digits 0 and 9 are ignored. The digits 1 and 2 represent a correct choice and the digits \(3,4,5,6,7,8\) represent an incorrect choice.

A bag contains a number of colored cubes: 10 red, 5 white, 20 blue, and 15 black. One cube is chosen at random. What is the probability that the cube is the following: a. black b. red or white c. not blue d. neither red nor white e. Are the events described in parts (b) and (d) complements? Why or why not?

Imagine rolling a fair six-sided die three times. a. What is the theoretical probability that all three rolls of the die show a I on top? b. What is the theoretical probability that the first roll of the die shows a 6 AND the next two rolls both show a 1 on the top.

When two dice are rolled, is the event "the first die shows a 1 on top" independent of the event "the second die shows a 1 on top"?

Arecent study found that highly experienced teachers may be associated with higher student achievement. Suppose fourth-grade students at an elementary school are randomly assigned to one of eight teachers. Teachers Nagle, Crouse. Warren, Tejada, and Tran are considered highly experienced. Teachers Cochran, Perry, and Rivas are considered less experienced. (Source: Papay and Kraft, "Productivity returns to experience in the teacher labor market," Joumal of Public Economics, vol. \(130[2015]:\) \(105-119\) a. List the equally likely outcomes that could occur when a student is assigned to u teacher. b. What is the probability that a fourth-grade student at this school is assigned to a highly experienced teacher? c. What event is the complement of the event described in part \((\mathrm{b})\) ? What it the probability of this event?

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