/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 104 About \(17 \%\) of American men ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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About \(17 \%\) of American men have blue eyes and \(17 \%\) of American women have blue eyes. If we randomly select an American, are the event that the person has blue cyes and the event that the person is male independent?

Short Answer

Expert verified
No, the events are not independent.

Step by step solution

01

Define the events

Define the events. Let's say that the event \(A\) is that a person is male and the event \(B\) is that a person has blue eyes.
02

Probabilities of the events

The probability that a person is a male, \(P(A)\), can be assumed to be \(0.5\), and the probability that a person has blue eyes, \(P(B)\), is given as \(0.17\) (or \(17\%\)).
03

Test for independence

Recall that for two events to be independent, \(P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B)\). Thus, the probability that a person is a male and has blue eyes could be calculated as \(0.5 * 0.17 = 0.085\). If the probability that an American has blue eyes is equal to this result, then the events are independent.
04

Compare the probabilities

Given that the percentage of men and women with blue eyes is the same (\(17\%\)), the independent probabilities should match the combination, otherwise the events are dependent. In this case, \(P(A and B)\) is \(0.085\) or \(8.5\%\), not \(17\%\), so the events are not independent.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability
Probability is the likelihood or chance of an event occurring. In mathematics, probability is expressed as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates an impossibility and 1 indicates a certainty. Probabilities are often expressed in percentage form. For instance, in the given problem, the probability of randomly choosing an American man with blue eyes is calculated based on two separate probabilities: the probability of being a man and the probability of having blue eyes. This involves multiplying the probabilities of each event. With probability, you are essentially numerically describing how likely it is for a specific event to happen, allowing you to make informed predictions or decisions.
Independent Events
Independent events are those whose occurrence does not affect each other. In other words, the outcome of one event does not influence or change the outcome of another.Two events, A and B, are independent if and only if:
  • The probability of both events happening together, \( P(A \text{ and } B) \), is equal to the product of their individual probabilities, \( P(A) \) and \( P(B) \).
  • Mathematically this is expressed as \( P(A \text{ and } B) = P(A) \times P(B) \).
In the context of the exercise, to see if being a male and having blue eyes are independent, one must check if the calculated probability of both events happening is consistent with the above mathematical relationship. If they do not match, the events are dependent.
Conditional Probability
Conditional probability refers to the probability of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred. It is denoted as \( P(A|B) \), meaning the probability of event A occurring given event B has occurred.Conditional probability is used when investigating what impact one event has on another or when seeking to understand how the occurrence of one event influences the probability of another.In the given exercise, if men are more likely to have blue eyes than women, the probability of having blue eyes given that a person is a man (\( P(B|A) \)) would differ from the general probability of having blue eyes (\( P(B) \)). However, in this scenario, the conditional event probabilities would need to align with independent event criteria for full independence.
Random Selection
Random selection ensures that every individual or item has an equal opportunity of being chosen. It is a cornerstone of sampling methods in statistics, guaranteeing that selections are free of bias and are representative of the entire population. In the context of the exercise, the parameters involving men and women with blue eyes are assumed to be applicable for the whole population due to random selection. This removes bias in choosing samples, allowing statisticians to draw general conclusions based on the data observed from selected samples. By ensuring the random selection of an individual in the probability question, the results are assumed to reflect accurately on the entire population without bias.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A 2016 Pew Research poll reported that \(80 \%\) of Americans shop online. Assume the percentage is accurate. a. If two Americans are randomly selected, what is the probability that both shop online? b. If the two Americans selected are a married couple, explain why they would not be considered independent with regard to online shopping.

Roll a fair six-sided die. a. What is the probability that the die shows an even number or a number greater than 4 on top? b. What is the probability the die shows an odd number or a number less than 3 on top?

A 2017 Pew Research poll asked people if they agreed with this statement: The United States hasn't gone far enough when it comes to giving women equal rights with men. \(42 \%\) of men agreed with the statement and \(57 \%\) of women agreed with the statement. Suppose these are accurate percentages. Now suppose a random man and woman meet. a. What is the probability that they both agree with the statement? b. What is the probability that neither believes with the statement? c. What is the probability that at least one of them agrees with the statement? d. What is the probability that only one of them agrees with the statement?

What's the probability of rolling two numbers whose sum is 7 when you roll two dice? The table below shows the outcome of ten trials in which two dice were rolled. a. List the trials that had a sum of 7 . b. Based on these data, what's the empirical probability of rolling two numbers whose sum is 7 ?

For each of the values, state whether the number could be the probability of an event. Give a reason for your answers. a. \(0.26\) b. \(-0.26\) c. \(2.6\) d. \(2.6 \%\) c. 26

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