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Prep and Power Suppose an SAT tutoring company really can improve SAT scores by 10 points, on average. A competing company, however, uses a more intense tutoring approach and really can improve SAT scores by 15 points, on average. Suppose you've been hired by both companies to test their claims that their tutoring improves SAT scores. For both companies, you will collect a random sample of high school students to undergo tutoring. With both resulting samples, you will test the hypothesis that the mean improvement is more than \(0 .\) Suppose it is important to keep the power of both studies at \(80 \%\). Will you use the same sample size for both studies? If so, explain why you can. If not, which study would require the larger sample size, and why? Assume that both samples of students will be drawn from the same population.

Short Answer

Expert verified
No, the same sample size will not be used for both studies. Since the second company claims a larger effect size, it should be easier to detect an effect. Therefore, to maintain a power of \(80\% \), the first company will require a larger sample size than the second company.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the problem

The question involves two companies, each claiming to improve SAT scores by a certain amount. To test their claims, a random sample of high school students will be taken for both studies. Both studies need to maintain a statistical power of \(80\% \). The question asks if the sample size for the two studies would be the same.
02

Interpretation of power in hypothesis testing

In statistics, power is the probability that a test correctly rejects a null hypothesis when a specific alternative hypothesis is true. Power increases with the sample size, implying that larger sample sizes can better detect an effect if one exists. To keep the power constant at \(80\% \), the sample sizes might not necessarily be the same.
03

Comparing the effect sizes of both companies' claims

The first company claims an average improvement of 10 points, while the second claims an average improvement of 15 points. Assuming the standard deviation is the same for both studies, the effect size (difference in means divided by standard deviation) for the second company is larger. This means it should be easier to detect an effect for the second company, since their effect size is larger.
04

Determining the sample size

Since it should be easier to detect an effect for the second company (due to their larger effect size), in order to maintain the same power, they could afford a smaller sample size than the first company. So, to maintain a power of \(80\% \), the first company would require a larger sample size.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Hypothesis Testing
When considering the problem of SAT score improvement by tutoring companies, hypothesis testing serves as the foundation for evaluating their claims. This statistical method involves setting up a null hypothesis, which is a statement of no effect or no difference – in this context, that the tutoring does not improve SAT scores. Against this, there's an alternative hypothesis which suggests the presence of an effect, meaning the tutoring does improve scores.

To assess the companies' claims, we would perform a test, and based on sample data, decide whether to reject the null hypothesis. If there's sufficient evidence – typically seen through a statistical metric like a 'p-value' – that the improvement in scores is significant, the null hypothesis can be discarded, endorsing the companies' claims. However, the opposite may also occur; without significant evidence, we do not reject the null hypothesis, leaving the companies' claims unsupported.

The precision of such tests primarily depends on the correct application of a statistical model, ensuring assumptions are met, and the appropriate use of the p-value threshold, often set at 0.05, which denotes a 5% chance of error in rejecting a true null hypothesis.
Sample Size Determination
The sample size is a pivotal component in research studies such as testing the effectiveness of SAT tutoring services. Determining the optimal sample size involves a series of considerations that influence the accuracy and reliability of the study's outcome. A larger sample size can enhance the study's ability to detect a real difference or effect, should one exist - a concept linked to the power of a study.

Returning to our SAT scenario, if we expect a small improvement in average scores, as the first company claims, we need a sufficiently large sample size to detect such a subtle change reliably. Conversely, a larger expected improvement (as with the second company) might be discernible even with a smaller sample.

To determine the sample size, statisticians use effect size, desired power level, and significance level to calculate the minimum number of participants needed. These calculations are quite nuanced, involving methods like power analysis, which incorporates variability in the data and the magnitude of the effect we are testing for. Here, we learn that for maintaining an equal level of power, the company with a modest improvement claim (10 points) would need to enroll more students compared to the one with a higher claim (15 points).
Statistical Power
Statistical power, in the context of the SAT score improvement study, is the likelihood that the test will correctly reject the null hypothesis when the tutoring truly has an effect. Essentially, it's the study's sensitivity to detect actual improvements. A power level of 80% is considered standard in many fields, suggesting that there is an 8 out of 10 chance of finding a real effect if it exists.

To achieve this desired power, the researcher must consider various factors including sample size, effect size, significance level, and variability within the data. As we've noted in the SAT study, despite having a common desired power, the sample size needed varies. The company with the smaller projected improvement requires a larger sample to maintain the same level of power.

In essence, statistical power and sample size are directly related. With all else being equal, if you increase your sample size, you boost your power, raising your odds of detecting an effect. Conversely, insufficient power, which might come from a too-small sample, could miss picking up a genuine improvement in SAT scores, leading to a false conclusion that the tutoring is ineffective.

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