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Make the following hypothesis tests about \(p\). a. \(H_{0}: p=.45, \quad H_{1}: p \neq .45, n=100, \quad \hat{p}=.49, \quad \alpha=.10\) b. \(H_{0}: p=.72, \quad H_{1}: p<.72, n=700, \quad \hat{p}=.64, \quad a=.05\) c. \(H_{0}=p=.30, \quad H_{1}: p>.30, n=200, \quad \hat{p}=.33, \quad \alpha=.01\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
For part a, the null hypothesis would be rejected. For part b, the null hypothesis could not be rejected. And for part c, the null hypothesis would be rejected. These conclusions are based on whether the calculated Z-score lies in the rejection region or not.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the given parameters

For each of the three parts, identify the null hypothesis \(H_0\), the alternative hypothesis \(H_1\), the sample size \(n\), the observed proportion \(\hat{p}\), and the significance level \(\alpha\). The null hypothesis is the statement being tested, the alternative hypothesis is what we claim if the null hypothesis is rejected, the sample size is the number of observations, the observed proportion is the sample proportion, and the significance level is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true.
02

Calculate the test statistic

Calculate the test statistic using the formula \(Z = \frac{\hat{p} - p}{\sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}}}\). This Z-score measures how many standard deviations away the observed proportion is from the proportion under the null hypothesis. Do this calculation for each of the three parts.
03

Determine the critical value

Find the critical Z-score from the standard normal distribution that corresponds to the given significance level. If the alternative hypothesis indicates a two-tailed test (\(p \neq p_0\)), then the significance level should be divided by 2, and critical values found on both sides of the distribution. If the alternative hypothesis indicates a one-tailed test (\(p < p_0\) or \(p > p_0\)), then the critical value is found on one side of the distribution.
04

Make the decision

Compare the test statistic to the critical value. If the test statistic is more extreme than the critical value (i.e., it is in the rejection region), then reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative hypothesis. If the test statistic is not more extreme than the critical value (i.e., it is not in the rejection region), then fail to reject the null hypothesis. Do this comparison for each of the three parts, giving a conclusion for each.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
In hypothesis testing, the null hypothesis is a fundamental concept. It's represented as \( H_0 \) and is the initial assumption or statement that there is no effect or no difference in a population parameter. For example, in a study investigating a population proportion \( p \), the null hypothesis may state that this proportion equals a specific value, like \( H_0: p = 0.45 \). The aim is to test whether there is enough statistical evidence in the sample data to reject this claim. Another way to think about the null hypothesis is as a statement of 'status quo' or no change. We use it as a baseline to compare against the sample data to see if any differences observed are due to random chance or if they're significant enough to result in a conclusion.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis is what you would consider to be true if the null hypothesis is proven false. Denoted by \( H_1 \), this hypothesis is essentially the opposite of the null hypothesis and is what the research aims to support. There are different forms of the alternative hypothesis:
  • **Two-tailed**: This suggests that the parameter is not equal to the value specified in the null hypothesis (e.g., \( H_1: p eq 0.45 \)).
  • **One-tailed**: Here, the parameter is presumed to be either less than or greater than the value in the null hypothesis (e.g., \( H_1: p < 0.72 \) or \( H_1: p > 0.30 \)).
The form of the alternative hypothesis affects the way we calculate critical values and, ultimately, how we make our decisions regarding the hypotheses.
Test Statistic
The test statistic is a tool used in hypothesis testing to help in making decisions about the null hypothesis. Specifically, in the context of testing proportions, the test statistic is calculated as a Z-score. The formula for calculating this in the context of a proportion \( p \) is:
\[ Z = \frac{\hat{p} - p}{\sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}}} \],
where \( \hat{p} \) is the observed sample proportion, \( p \) is the population proportion under the null hypothesis, and \( n \) is the sample size. This Z-score tells us how many standard deviations away our sample proportion is from the hypothesized population proportion. A large absolute value of the Z-score suggests a higher likelihood that the observed sample proportion is significantly different from the null hypothesis value, suggesting the null hypothesis might be rejected.
Significance Level
In hypothesis testing, the significance level, denoted as \( \alpha \), is essentially a threshold used to determine whether we reject the null hypothesis. Common values for \( \alpha \) are 0.05 or 0.01, and they represent the probability of making a Type I error—rejecting the null hypothesis when it's true. For instance, if \( \alpha = 0.05 \), there is a 5% risk of rejecting the null hypothesis mistakenly.
Depending on the alternative hypothesis, it can be a measure for two-tailed or one-tailed tests:
  • In a **two-tailed test**, \( \alpha \) is split between the two tails of the distribution, focusing on the magnitude of deviation without direction.
  • In a **one-tailed test**, all of \( \alpha \) is on one side of the distribution.
The significance level is used in setting the critical value, which in turn is a benchmark for determining whether the test statistic falls in a region where the null hypothesis is rejected.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider the following null and alternative hypotheses: $$ H_{0}: p=.82 \text { versus } H_{1}: p \neq .82 $$ A random sample of 600 observations taken from this population produced a sample proportion of \(.86\). a. If this test is made at a \(2 \%\) significance level, would you reject the null hypothesis? Use the critical-value approach. b. What is the probability of making a Type I error in part a? c. Calculate the \(p\) -value for the test. Based on this \(p\) -value, would you reject the null hypothesis if \(\alpha=.025\) ? What if \(\alpha=.01 ?\)

Write the null and alternative hypotheses for each of the following examples. Determine if each is a case of a two-tailed, a left-tailed, or a right-tailed test. a. To test if the mean number of hours spent working per week by college students who hold jobs is different from 20 hours b. To test whether or not a bank's ATM is out of service for an average of more than 10 hours per month c. To test if the mean length of experience of airport security guards is different from 3 years d. To test if the mean credit card debt of college seniors is less than \(\$ 1000\) e. To test if the mean time a customer has to wait on the phone to speak to a representative of a mail-order company about unsatisfactory service is more than 12 minutes

Customers often complain about long waiting times at restaurants before the food is served. A restaurant claims that it serves food to its customers, on average, within 15 minutes after the order is placed. \(A\) local newspaper journalist wanted to check if the restaurant's claim is true. A sample of 36 customers showed that the mean time taken to serve food to them was \(15.75\) minutes with a standard deviation of \(2.4\) minutes. Using the sample mean, the joumalist says that the restaurant's claim is false. Do you think the journalist's conclusion is fair to the restaurant? Use a \(1 \%\) significance level to answer this question.

What are the four possible outcomes for a test of hypothesis? Show these outcomes by writing a table. Briefly describe the Type and Type II errors.

\(\quad\) Consider \(H_{0}: p=.70\) versus \(H_{1}: p \neq .70\). a. A random sample of 600 observations produced a sample proportion equal to .68. Using \(\alpha=.01\), would you reject the null hypothesis? b. Another random sample of 600 observations taken from the same population produced a sample proportion equal to \(.76\). Using \(a=.01\), would you reject the null hypothesis? Comment on the results of parts a and b.

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