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Which of the two hypotheses (null and alternative) is initially assumed to be true in a test of hypothesis?

Short Answer

Expert verified
In a test of hypothesis, the null hypothesis is initially assumed to be true.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Null Hypothesis

The null hypothesis, often symbolized as \(H_0\), is a statement about a population parameter that is assumed to be true until proven otherwise. In the majority of tests, the null hypothesis states that there is no significant difference or relationship between the variables under study.
02

Understanding Alternative Hypothesis

The alternative hypothesis, often symbolized as \(H_1\) or \(H_a\), is a statement that directly contradicts the null hypothesis. It proposes that there is a significant difference or relationship between the variables.
03

Identifying the Initial Assumption

In a test of hypothesis, the null hypothesis \(H_0\) is initially assumed to be true. It's the claim being tested. The test is designed to assess the strength of the evidence against the null hypothesis. Only when the evidence is strong enough can we reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative hypothesis.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis, denoted as \(H_0\), is the foundational statement in hypothesis testing that assumes no effect, difference, or relationship exists between variables. It's like the default position we start with. For instance, if we want to see if a new drug is more effective than the current one, the null hypothesis would assert that there is no difference in effectiveness between the two drugs.

In hypothesis testing, the null hypothesis serves as the claim to be tested. It's not selected because we believe it to be true, but because it provides a benchmark for statistical testing. We initially presume it to be true so that any subsequent evidence can be used to challenge and potentially refute it.

When conducting a test, a failure to reject the null hypothesis does not prove it true, rather it suggests that there's not enough evidence against it. On the flip side, if the evidence is strong enough to reject the null hypothesis, it signifies that the data supports an alternative scenario.
  • The null hypothesis usually states there is "no effect" or "no difference".
  • It is often the hypothesis that researchers attempt to disprove or nullify.
  • Statistical tests help determine if there is enough evidence to reject \(H_0\).
Alternative Hypothesis
In contrast to the null hypothesis, the alternative hypothesis, often represented as either \(H_1\) or \(H_a\), suggests that there is an effect, a difference, or a relationship present in the data. It's what researchers aim to demonstrate through their testing process.

If we continue with the drug example, the alternative hypothesis would posit that the new drug does have a different effect compared to the existing one. This may indicate the drug is either more effective, less effective, or has a different form of impact than assumed under the null hypothesis.

The alternative hypothesis is important because it provides direction for the investigation. It's often what the research is designed to support. If experimental evidence is sufficiently strong, researchers can reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative. However, it's critical to remember that failing to reject \(H_0\) does not prove \(H_1\) false, only that the evidence wasn't strong enough to support it.
  • The alternative hypothesis implies a predicted effect or difference exists.
  • It challenges and refutes the assumptions of the null hypothesis when supported by evidence.
  • Successful rejection of the null hypothesis supports the alternative hypothesis.
Population Parameter
In statistics, a population parameter is a value that defines a characteristic of an entire population, such as a mean, proportion, or standard deviation. This is in contrast to a statistic, which refers to a characteristic calculated from a sample.

When conducting hypothesis tests, both the null and alternative hypotheses are typically framed in terms of population parameters. For example, in a test about average income, the parameter of interest might be the population mean income.

Understanding the population parameter is key because it helps define the scope and focus of the hypothesis test. The outcome of such tests provides insights into the true value of the parameter in question, based on the evidence from sample data.

Parameters act as a target for what the statistical test aims to scrutinize and infer about large groups from smaller, manageable samples.
  • Population parameters give insights into the larger population based on sample data.
  • Such parameters remain fixed but unknown, and tests aim to make inferences about them.
  • Hypothesis tests use data-driven evidence to estimate these true population values.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

By rejecting the null hypothesis in a test of hypothesis example, are you stating that the alternative hypothesis is true?

Customers often complain about long waiting times at restaurants before the food is served. A restaurant claims that it serves food to its customers, on average, within 15 minutes after the order is placed. \(A\) local newspaper journalist wanted to check if the restaurant's claim is true. A sample of 36 customers showed that the mean time taken to serve food to them was \(15.75\) minutes with a standard deviation of \(2.4\) minutes. Using the sample mean, the joumalist says that the restaurant's claim is false. Do you think the journalist's conclusion is fair to the restaurant? Use a \(1 \%\) significance level to answer this question.

The mean consumption of water per household in a city was 1245 cubic feet per month. Due to a water shortage because of a drought, the city council campaigned for water use conservation by households. A few months after the campaign was started, the mean consumption of water for a sample of 100 households was found to be 1175 cubic feet per month. The population standard deviation is given to be 250 cubic feet. a. Find the \(p\) -value for the hypothesis test that the mean consumption of water per household has decreased due to the campaign by the city council. Would you reject the null hypothesis at \(\alpha=.025\) ? b. Make the test of part a using the critical-value approach and \(\alpha=.025\).

Consider the following null and alternative hypotheses: $$ H_{0}: p=.82 \text { versus } H_{1}: p \neq .82 $$ A random sample of 600 observations taken from this population produced a sample proportion of \(.86\). a. If this test is made at a \(2 \%\) significance level, would you reject the null hypothesis? Use the critical-value approach. b. What is the probability of making a Type I error in part a? c. Calculate the \(p\) -value for the test. Based on this \(p\) -value, would you reject the null hypothesis if \(\alpha=.025\) ? What if \(\alpha=.01 ?\)

Explain which of the following is a two-tailed test, a left-tailed test, or a right-tailed test. a. \(H_{0}: \mu=12, H_{1}: \mu<12\) b. \(H_{0}: \mu \leq 85, H_{1}: \mu>85\) c. \(H_{0}: \mu=33, H_{1}: \mu \neq 33\) Show the rejection and nonrejection regions for each of these cases by drawing a sampling distribution curve for the sample mean, assuming that it is normally distributed.

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