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The amount of time taken by a bank teller to serve a randomly selected customer has a normal distribution with a mean of 2 minutes and a standard deviation of \(.5\) minute. a. What is the probability that both of two randomly selected customers will take less than 1 minute each to be served? b. What is the probability that at least one of four randomly selected customers will need more than \(2.25\) minutes to be served?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that both of two randomly selected customers take less than 1 minute each to serve will be calculated in step 3. The probability that at least one of the four randomly selected customers will need more than \(2.25\) minutes to be served is calculated in step 6.

Step by step solution

01

Compute Z-score for 1 minute service time

In problem a), calculate the Z-score for service time of 1 minute. The Z score is given by \(Z = \frac{X - µ}{σ}\), where \(X = 1\) minute, \(µ = 2\) minutes, and \(σ = 0.5\) minute. Substitute these values and solve for Z.
02

Compute P(X < 1) using standard normal table

Use the standard normal distribution table or software, where area under the curve serves as a probability. Look up the Z-score from step 1 to find the corresponding probability, which is \(P(X < 1)\). This is the probability that a randomly selected customer will be served in less than 1 minute.
03

Compute both served in less than 1 minute

The joint probability of two independent events is the product of their individual probabilities. Therefore, square the result obtained in step 2 to get the probability that both customers are served in less than 1 minute.
04

Compute Z-score for 2.25 minutes service time

For problem b), calculate the Z-score for service time of 2.25 minutes. Again, the Z score is given by \(Z = \frac{X - µ}{σ}\), where \(X = 2.25\) minutes, \(µ = 2\) minutes, and \(σ = 0.5\) minute. Substitute these values and solve for Z.
05

Compute P(X > 2.25) using standard normal table

Use the standard normal distribution table, where area under the curve serves as a probability. Look up the Z-score from step 4 to find the corresponding probability. However, we want \(P(X > 2.25)\), not \(P(X < 2.25)\). So calculate \(P(X > 2.25) = 1 - P(X < 2.25)\).
06

Compute at least one served in more than 2.25 minutes

The complementary event to 'at least one customer needs more than 2.25 minutes' is 'all four customers need less than or equal 2.25 minutes'. Therefore, calculate the complementary event’s probability and then subtract the result from 1. So, find the fourth power of \(P(X < 2.25)\) from step 5 and subtract from 1.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-score
The Z-score helps us understand how far and in what direction a value is from the mean of the data. In this exercise, we use it to find out how unusual a specific service time is compared to the average service time of 2 minutes. The Z-score formula is given by:
  • \( Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \)
  • \( X \) is the value we're interested in, for example, 1 minute.
  • \( \mu \) is the average, here it's 2 minutes.
  • \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation, which is 0.5 minutes.
The Z-score tells us how many standard deviations our value is from the mean. For instance, if the Z-score is \(-2\), it means the value is 2 standard deviations below the average. By converting data into Z-scores, we can use common Z-tables or software to find corresponding probabilities. This transforms different values into a common language of standard deviations, allowing for universal application of probability assessment.
Probability
Probability is the measure of the likelihood that an event will occur. In part a of the exercise, we're asked to find the probability that two customers are served in less than 1 minute each. Here’s how it's done:
  • First, determine the probability for one customer to be served in less than 1 minute using its Z-score.
  • Next, because both events are independent, multiply that probability by itself to find out the chance of both events happening simultaneously.
To tackle part b, where it's about the probability that at least one of four customers will need more than 2.25 minutes, we first find the likelihood a single customer takes more than 2.25 minutes using the Z-score calculation. Then considering the complementary approach:
  • Calculate the probability that all customers are served in 2.25 or less minutes.
  • Subtract this value from 1 to get the probability that at least one customer takes more than 2.25 minutes.
This exercise highlights different tools and methods used to find probabilities in various scenarios.
Independent Events
Independent events refer to those occurrences where the outcome of one event does not influence the other. In our exercise, when we check if two customers are served in under 1 minute, it's assumed that the service time for one customer has no bearing on the service time for another. This means:
  • We can multiply their probabilities to find the joint probability. For example, if the probability for each to take less than a minute is \(0.16\), then the combined probability is \(0.16 \times 0.16 = 0.0256\) or 2.56%.
Similarly, when calculating the probability of at least one customer out of four taking more than 2.25 minutes, we're considering each visit as separate and independent. This independence greatly simplifies the calculations and is a key assumption in the use of many probabilistic models.
Standard Normal Distribution
The standard normal distribution is a fundamental concept in statistics that represents a normal distribution with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. To use this in practice, we convert data to this scale using Z-scores, making it possible to use standard normal tables or software for probability calculations. For example, in part a of the exercise, converting a 1-minute service time into a Z-score allows us to apply the standard normal distribution table to find the probability of such an event. The transformation involves:
  • Standardizing data points through Z-scores, aligning them with the standard normal curve.
  • Utilizing the properties of the standard normal distribution, which includes the symmetry about the mean and known probabilities for different ranges of Z.
The standard normal distribution is a key tool because it's universal, allowing comparisons across different datasets and contexts once data is standardized. It effectively unlocks probability insights through its well-documented curve characteristics.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Jenn Bard, who lives in the San Francisco Bay area, commutes by car from home to work. She knows that it takes her an average of 28 minutes for this commute in the morning. However, due to the variability in the traffic situation every morning, the standard deviation of these commutes is 5 minutes. Suppose the population of her morning commute times has a normal distribution with a mean of 28 minutes and a standard deviation of 5 minutes. Jenn has to be at work by \(8: 30\) A.M. every morning. By what time must she leave home in the morning so that she is late for work at most \(1 \%\) of the time?

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According to a U.S. Census American Community Survey, \(5.44 \%\) of workers in Portland, Oregon, commute to work on their bicycles. Find the probability that in a sample of 400 workers from Portland, Oregon, the number who commute to work on their bicycles is 23 to 27 .

According to the records of an electric company serving the Boston area, the mean electricity consumption for all households during winter is 1650 kilowatt-hours per month. Assume that the monthly electricity consumptions during winter by all households in this area have a normal distribution with a mean of 1650 kilowatt-hours and a standard deviation of 320 kilowatt-hours. a. Find the probability that the monthly electricity consumption during winter by a randomly selected household from this area is less than 1950 kilowatt- hours. b. What percentage of the households in this area have a monthly electricity consumption of 900 to 1300 kilowatt-hours?

According to the records of an electric company serving the Boston area, the mean electricity consumption during winter for all households is 1650 kilowatt-hours per month. Assume that the monthly electric consumptions during winter by all households in this area have a normal distribution with a mean of 1650 kilowatt-hours and a standard deviation of 320 kilowatt-hours. The company sent a notice to Bill Johnson informing him that about \(90 \%\) of the households use less electricity per month than he does. What is Bill Johnson's monthly electricity consumption?

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