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Let \(N=8, r=3\), and \(n=4\). Using the hypergeometric probability distribution formula, find a. \(P(2)\) b. \(P(0)\) c. \(P(x \leq 1)\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The outcomes P(2), P(0) and P(x ≤ 1) are obtained by substituting respective values into the hypergeometric probability distribution formula and performing the calculations.

Step by step solution

01

Calculation of P(2)

Substitute the given values into the hypergeometric probability distribution formula to find P(2): Let N=8, r=3, n=4 and X=2. So, \(P(2) = \frac{{C(3,2) \cdot C(8-3,4-2)}}{{C(8,4)}}\) After calculating, we get the P(2) value.
02

Calculation of P(0)

Substitute the given values into the hypergeometric probability distribution formula to find P(0): Let N=8, r=3, n=4 and X=0. So, \(P(0) = \frac{{C(3,0) \cdot C(8-3,4-0)}}{{C(8,4)}}\) After calculating, we get the P(0) value.
03

Calculation of P(x ≤ 1)

It requires calculating P(0) and P(1) and adding these two probabilities as \(P(x ≤ 1) = P(0) + P(1)\). We have already calculated P(0) in Step 2. Now find P(1) by substituting the given values into the hypergeometric probability distribution formula: Let N=8, r=3, n=4 and X=1. So, \(P(1) = \frac{{C(3,1) \cdot C(8-3,4-1)}}{{C(8,4)}}\) After calculating P(1), add P(0) and P(1) to get the P(x ≤ 1) value.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Calculation
Calculating probability using a hypergeometric distribution is like solving a puzzle where the pieces must fit just right. In this specific context, we're looking to find out how likely certain outcomes are without replacement. This means once an item is chosen, it can't be selected again. This characteristic is very important for understanding hypergeometric distribution. To calculate probabilities like these, you substitute given numbers into the hypergeometric probability formula. Take, for example, calculating for exactly "k" successes:
  • Identify the total number of items, "N." In this case, it's 8.
  • Determine the number of items that are considered a success, "r," which is 3 here.
  • The sample size, "n," is how many items we're choosing, which is 4 for us.
  • Find out how many successes we hope to pick, "k." This varies for each part of our problem (e.g., 0, 1, or 2).
Plug these values into the hypergeometric probability formula, and you can calculate specific probabilities, such as the probability of selecting exactly 2 successful items from the sample. Each different "k" value gives another piece of the puzzle that fits into the final picture of understanding probability in this scenario.
Combination Formula
The combination formula is an essential tool used in probability calculations, especially in problems involving selection without regard to order, like our hypergeometric distribution scenario.Suppose you have a set of items and want to know how many different ways you can pick a subset of those items. This is where the combination formula comes in, represented as:\[ C(n, k) = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \]Here, "n" stands for the total number of items, and "k" is how many items we want to choose from them. It's crucial to remember that the "!" denotes factorial, meaning multiply all whole numbers from 1 up to the number.For example, if you want to know how many ways you can choose 2 items from a set of 8, you substitute these into the combination formula, providing the number of possible selections without considering the order. This is important for the underlying calculations in hypergeometric probability as it helps us determine how many ways possible outcomes can occur. Understanding this formula will greatly enrich solving hypergeometric distribution problems and many other statistical scenarios.
Discrete Probability Distributions
A discrete probability distribution beautifully describes a scenario where outcomes result in specific, countable values. In our hypergeometric distribution problem, we're dealing with a form of discrete distribution, meaning we can list the possible outcomes without gaps or intervals. Each outcome in a discrete distribution has a probability assigned to it. Together, these probabilities add up to 1, representing certainty that one of the outcomes will happen. Take a moment to grasp this: unlike continuous distributions, which cover ranges of values, discrete ones are neat and countable. In hypergeometric distributions, you're often concerned with the count of successes in a sample drawn from a population without replacement. You assign probabilities to various numbers of successes, just like in our exercise. Effectively understanding this means you're laying a solid foundation for solving real-world problems where replacement isn't an option, giving you tools to answer questions about likelihood and uncertainty in such contexts. This makes discrete probability distributions an integral part of statistical reasoning and decision-making processes.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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A professional basketball player makes \(85 \%\) of the free throws he tries. Assuming this percentage holds true for future attempts, use the binomial formula to find the probability that in the next eight tries, the number of free throws he will make is a. exactly \(8 \quad\) b. exactly 5

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