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Let \(x\) be a discrete random variable that possesses a binomial distribution. Using the binomial formula, find the following probabilities. a. \(P(5)\) for \(n=8\) and \(p=.70\) b. \(P(3)\) for \(n=4\) and \(p=.40\) c. \(P(2)\) for \(n=6\) and \(p=.30\) Verify your answers by using Table I of Appendix \(\mathrm{B}\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probabilities are \(P(5, 8, .70) = .274\), \(P(3, 4, .40) = .154\), and \(P(2, 6, .30) = .324\)

Step by step solution

01

Apply the binomial formula for \(P(5)\) when \(n=8\) and \(p=.70\)

Substitute the given values into the binomial formula: \(P(x; n, p) = \binom{8}{5} * .70^5 * (1-.70)^{8-5}\)
02

Simplify and calculate the probability

This simplifies to \(\binom{8}{5} * .16807 * .027\), which equals \(.274\)
03

Apply the binomial formula for \(P(3)\) when \(n=4\) and \(p=.40\)

Substitute the given values into the binomial formula: \(P(x; n, p) = \binom{4}{3} * .40^3 * (1-.40)^{4-3}\)
04

Simplify and calculate the probability

This simplifies to \(\binom{4}{3} * .064 * .60\), which equals \(.154\)
05

Apply the binomial formula for \(P(2)\) when \(n=6\) and \(p=.30\)

Substitute the given values into the binomial formula: \(P(x; n, p) = \binom{6}{2} * .30^2 * (1-.30)^{6-2}\)
06

Simplify and calculate the probability

This simplifies to \(\binom{6}{2} * .09 * .2401\), which equals \(.324\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Discrete Random Variable
In statistics, a *discrete random variable* is a type of random variable that can take only a countable number of distinct values. These values result from some random phenomenon, such as rolling a die or flipping a coin. They are essential in probability and statistics because they help describe and predict outcomes in various scenarios. For instance, suppose you have a situation involving a fixed number of trials, such as flipping a coin multiple times. In that case, the number of heads you get is a discrete random variable. The focus of this article is on the discrete random variable found in a binomial distribution. Both the number of trials and possible successful outcomes are easy to identify, which makes calculations straightforward if you understand the basics. Understanding how discrete variables work is crucial because it forms the foundation for handling probability distributions effectively.
Binomial Formula
The *binomial formula* is a key concept used to calculate probabilities for a binomial distribution, a specific type of discrete probability distribution. It is used when there are two possible outcomes, often referred to as "success" and "failure." The formula is expressed as follows:

\[ P(x; n, p) = \binom{n}{x} p^x (1-p)^{n-x} \]

Where:
  • \(P(x; n, p)\) is the probability of getting exactly \(x\) successes in \(n\) trials.
  • \(\binom{n}{x}\) represents the binomial coefficient, calculated as \(\frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}\).
  • \(p\) is the probability of success on a single trial.
  • \((1-p)\) is the probability of failure on a single trial.
The binomial formula is applied in scenarios where each trial is independent of the others, and the probability of success remains constant. By understanding each part of the formula, you can accurately compute probabilities in binomial distributions, like the ones in the example exercise.
Probability Calculation
Calculating probabilities using the binomial formula involves substituting the given values into the formula and solving for the desired probability. This process often requires determination of factors like the binomial coefficient, as well as computations involving powers and multiplications. For example, in one of the steps from the original exercise, for \(P(5)\) given \(n=8\) and \(p=0.70\), the calculation follows these steps:
  • Identify each element: \(n=8\), \(x=5\), and \(p=0.7\).
  • Compute the binomial coefficient \(\binom{8}{5} = \frac{8!}{5!3!}\).
  • Calculate \(p^x = 0.7^5\) and \((1-p)^{n-x} = (0.3)^3\).
  • Multiply these values to get the probability \(P(5)\).
By following these steps systematically for each distinct case, you arrive at the required probability. Fully understanding each part ensures you can apply it correctly to any problem involving a binomial process.
Statistical Tables
When it comes to verifying results from manual calculations or complex probability problems, *statistical tables* present a valuable resource. These tables summarize pre-calculated values for common probabilities, allowing students to check their work and ensure accuracy without prolonged calculation.

For binomial distributions, tables often detail probabilities for given numbers of trials \(n\) and a range of probabilities \(p\). You often refer to these when you solve a problem, generate an answer using the formula, and then consult the table to double-check your result. Using Table I of Appendix B, for example, one can verify the calculated probabilities in the original step-by-step solution.
  • Locate \(n\) and \(p\) on the table.
  • Find the corresponding row or column that matches your calculated \(x\).
  • Compare this table value with your manually calculated probability.
With statistical tables, efficiency and accuracy in probability calculations are vastly improved, offering reassurance when confirming hand-calculated answers.

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