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Let \(x\) be the number of houses sold per month by a real estate agent. The following table lists the probability distribution of \(x\). $$ \begin{array}{l|cccccc} \hline x & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 \\ \hline P(x) & .08 & .12 & .32 & .28 & .12 & .08 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Calculate the mean and standard deviation of this probability distribution and give a brief interpretation of the value of the mean.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The mean is the expected number of houses sold per month, indicating the typical or 'average' sales the real estate agent can expect on a monthly basis. The standard deviation shows the dispersion of the distribution - the typical deviation from the mean of house sales across different months. Both of these values can be calculated using the sum-product of the possible outcomes and their associated probabilities for the mean, and a similar sum-product method for the variance (after mean subtraction and squaring), followed by a square root for the standard deviation.

Step by step solution

01

Calculating the mean

To calculate the mean, or expected value, of the distribution, multiply each possible outcome by its associated probability and sum the results. The formula is represented as \(\mu = \sum xP(x)\), where \(x\) is the number of houses sold and \(P(x)\) is the associated probability. Plugging in the values from the table, we have: \(\mu = 0*0.08 + 1*0.12 + 2*0.32 + 3*0.28 + 4*0.12 + 5*0.08.\)
02

Calculating the variance

The variance offers information about the spread of the data. To calculate the variance, subtract the mean from each \(x\), square the result, multiply by the corresponding probability, and sum up the results. The formula is given by \(\sigma^2 = \sum (x - \mu)^2P(x)\), where \(\mu\) is the mean calculated in step 1. Apply the values from the table into this formula.
03

Calculating the standard deviation

The standard deviation is simply the square root of the variance. Once the variance is computed in step 2, obtain the standard deviation, \(\sigma\), by taking the square root of the variance.
04

Interpreting the mean

The mean number of houses sold per month gives an indication of a 'typical' month for the real estate agent in terms of house sales. It indicates what the estate agent might expect in an 'average' month.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding the Mean in Probability Distributions
The mean, also known as the expected value, is a central concept in probability distributions. It tells us what average outcome we can expect from a set of random variables. In the context of our real estate agent scenario, we are interested in finding out the average number of houses sold per month. To do this, we use the formula \( \mu = \sum xP(x) \).

This formula requires us to multiply each value \( x \), or the number of houses sold, with its associated probability \( P(x) \). The results of these multiplications are then summed up to give us the mean. It's important to note that the mean provides a theoretical average which might not be an actual integer that occurs. Instead, it represents the center of our probability distribution.

When interpreting the mean, we understand it as a typical month for the real estate agent. This 'average' value is useful for setting expectations for future performance and planning strategies.
Exploring Variance in Data
Variance gives us an idea of the spread of the data in our probability distribution. It tells us how much individual outcomes differ from the mean. The formula used to calculate variance is \( \sigma^2 = \sum (x - \mu)^2P(x) \).

This involves several steps:
  • First, for each possible outcome \( x \), subtract the mean \( \mu \) from it.
  • Next, square this difference to eliminate negative values and emphasize larger deviations.
  • Then, multiply each squared difference by its respective probability \( P(x) \).
  • Finally, add these values together to get the variance \( \sigma^2 \).

Variance helps measure how much variation there is from the "average" number of houses sold each month. A high variance means that the number of houses sold varies significantly month-to-month, whereas a low variance indicates that the sales numbers are more consistent.
Understanding Standard Deviation
A step further from variance is the standard deviation, which is the square root of the variance. Represented by \( \sigma \), the formula is simply \( \sigma = \sqrt{\sigma^2} \).

Standard deviation is particularly helpful because it conveys the variation in the same units as the original data, making it easier to interpret than variance. It provides a direct measure of how much the number of houses sold might realistically fluctuate from the expected mean each month.

For instance, if the mean number of houses sold per month is 3, and the standard deviation is 1, this tells us that most months, the agent can expect to sell between 2 and 4 houses, giving a tangible sense of sales stability or volatility. By understanding the standard deviation, one can better anticipate variations in real estate sales performance over time.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Let \(x\) be the number of errors that appear on a randomly selected page of a book. The following table lists the probability distribution of \(x\). $$ \begin{array}{l|ccccc} \hline x & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 \\ \hline P(x) & .73 & .16 & .06 & .04 & .01 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Find the mean and standard deviation of \(x\).

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