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The probability that a corporation makes charitable contributions is .72. Two corporations are selected at random, and it is noted whether or not they make charitable contributions. Find the probability that at most one corporation makes charitable contributions.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that at most one corporation makes charitable contributions is 0.4816.

Step by step solution

01

Define the Variables

Let's first define the variables. The probability (P) that a randomly selected corporation will make a charitable contribution is 0.72. Let's define \(Q = 1 - P\), giving us the probability that a corporation won't make a charitable contribution. In this case, we have \(P = 0.72, Q = 0.28\). There are two corporations total (n), and the task requires finding the probability that 'at most one' of them make a charitable contribution
02

Use the Binomial Probability Formula

The binomial probability formula is given by \(P(r) = C(n, r) * (P^r) * (Q^{n-r})\), where \(P(r)\) is the probability of \(r\) successes in \(n\) trials, \(C(n, r)\) is a combination which gives the total ways \(r\) items can be selected out of \(n\), and \(P\), \(Q\) and \(n\) were defined in Step 1. To find the probability that at most one corporation makes charitable contributions, we can find the probability of exactly one and the probability of none and then add them together.
03

Calculate Probability of No Corporation Making a Contribution

First let's calculate when no corporation makes a contribution. This would be \(P(0) = C(2, 0) * (0.72^0) * (0.28^2) = 1 * 1 * 0.0784 = 0.0784\). Note the combination \(C(2,0)\) equals 1 since there's only 1 way to select no item out of 2.
04

Calculate Probability of One Corporation Making a Contribution

Next, calculate the probability exactly one corporation makes a contribution. This would be \(P(1) = C(2, 1) * (0.72^1) * (0.28^1) = 2 * 0.72 * 0.28 = 0.4032\). Note that the combination \(C(2,1)\) equals 2 as there are 2 ways to select 1 item out of 2.
05

Sum the Probabilities

Since we are looking for the probability that 'at most one' corporation makes charitable contributions, we need to add the probability that none do (calculated in Step 3) and the probability that exactly one does (calculated in Step 4). So, the desired probability is \(0.0784 + 0.4032 = 0.4816\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Charitable Contributions
Charitable contributions refer to donations made by corporations or individuals to charitable organizations or causes. In this context, we focus on how corporations decide to make these contributions and the associated probabilities. Corporations often set aside a portion of their profits or resources to support a variety of social causes. This not only helps those in need but also enhances the public image and goodwill of the corporation. However, not all corporations choose to contribute. Understanding the likelihood of charitable contributions can be pivotal for stakeholders who depend on such generosity to plan and manage resources efficiently.
Probability
Probability is a measure from mathematics that describes how likely an event is to occur. It ranges between 0 and 1. If an event is certain to happen, it has a probability of 1, while an impossible event has a probability of 0. The exercise considers the probability that a corporation makes a charitable contribution, given as 0.72. This implies for every corporation, there's a 72% chance it will give to charity and a 28% chance it won't. When analyzing probabilities, it's also essential to consider complementary probabilities. In this case, if the probability of contributing is 0.72, then using the formula for complementary events, which is subtracting from 1, there is a 0.28 probability of not contributing. Understanding these probabilities enables us to predict the outcomes across multiple corporations.
Binomial Distribution
The binomial distribution is a type of probability distribution that sums up the possible outcomes of a process with two possible results, called trials. This distribution is vital for scenarios where we're interested in the number of successes over a set of trials, such as finding out how many corporations decide to make charitable contributions.In this scenario, each corporation is a trial with two possible outcomes: making a contribution or not. Given a probability of success (contribution), the binomial distribution helps us calculate probabilities for multiple trials. The binomial probability formula used in the exercise is: \[ P(r) = C(n, r) \times (P^r) \times (Q^{n-r}) \]Here, \(n\) is the number of trials (corporations), \(r\) is the number of successful outcomes (making a contribution), \(P\) is the probability of a single success, and \(Q\) is the probability of failure.
Combinations
Combinations are mathematical calculations used to determine how many ways items can be selected, regardless of order. They play a crucial role in probability and statistics, particularly in calculating binomial probabilities. The concept of combinations is denoted as \(C(n, r)\), or "n choose r," where \(n\) represents the total number of items and \(r\) represents the number of items to select.In our exercise, combinations are used to calculate probabilities for selected corporations making contributions. For instance, \(C(2,0)\) calculates the number of ways none out of two corporations make contributions, which is 1 way. Likewise, \(C(2,1)\) calculates for exactly one contributor, resulting in 2 ways. This understanding of combinations allows us to explore how different selections of corporations could lead to varied outcomes, enriching our grasp of the probabilistic nature of charitable contributions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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