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Many students graduate from college deeply in debt from student loans, credit card debts, and so on. A sociologist took a random sample of 401 single persons, classified them by gender, and asked, "Would you consider marrying someone who was \(\$ 25,000\) or more in debt?" The results of this survey are shown in the following table. $$ \begin{array}{lccc} \hline & \text { Yes } & \text { No } & \text { Uncertain } \\ \hline \text { Women } & 125 & 59 & 21 \\ \text { Men } & 101 & 79 & 16 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Test at a \(1 \%\) significance level whether gender and response are related.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Based on calculating Chi-square statistic and P-value and comparing them with significance level, the conclusion on whether Gender and Response are related or independent can be made.

Step by step solution

01

State the Null and Alternative Hypothesis

The null hypothesis (\(H_{0}\)) states that Gender and Response are independent, that is, they are not related. The alternative hypothesis (\(H_{a}\)) states that Gender and Response are not independent, hence they are related.
02

Calculate Expected Frequencies

We need to calculate the expected frequency for each cell, if the null hypothesis is true. The formula for this is \((Row \ Total * Column \ Total) / Grand \ Total\). Our results are mentioned in the given table. We may note that all expected frequencies should be more than 5 for the Chi-square test to be valid.
03

Calculate Chi-square statistic and P-value

We calculate the Chi-square statistic using the differences between observed and expected frequencies. We also calculate the degree of freedom, which is given by \((r - 1) * (c - 1)\), where r is the number of rows and c is the number of columns. From the Chi-square statistic, we can find the P-value, which tells us the significance of our results.
04

Decision and Conclusion

Now, compare the computed p-value with the significance level (\(1% \) or \(0.01\)). If p-value is less than \(0.01\), we reject the null hypothesis, concluding that Gender and Response are related. If p-value is more than \(0.01\), we don't reject the null hypothesis, concluding that Gender and Response are not related.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
In statistical tests, the null hypothesis is the statement that indicates no effect or no relationship between variables. In the context of our exercise, it serves as the assumption that gender and response regarding willingness to marry someone in significant debt are independent. This means we assume for analysis that a person's gender does not influence their response. We denote this hypothesis as \( H_0 \) and proceed to test it to see if it holds true based on the data we have. An important part of hypothesis testing is to begin with the null hypothesis and gather evidence to either reject or not reject it.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis is the statement that we accept if we find enough evidence against the null hypothesis. For this exercise, the alternative hypothesis posits that gender and response are not independent, which means there might be a relationship between someone's gender and their answer to whether they would marry someone with substantial debt. We denote this as \( H_a \). Having an alternative hypothesis allows us to frame our research in a way that seeks evidence for change or difference. Ultimately, if our test results show significant evidence, we may consider that gender influences the response, leading us to accept the alternative hypothesis instead of the null.
Expected Frequency
Expected frequency is what we anticipate the data to look like if our null hypothesis is true. It tells us what the distribution of responses should be if gender truly doesn't affect the response. We calculate expected frequencies for each category of responses (Yes, No, Uncertain), using the formula: \( \text{Expected Frequency} = \frac{\text{Row Total} \times \text{Column Total}}{\text{Grand Total}} \). This allows us to create a projected table of data that highlights how we expect responses to distribute across categories if our starting assumption is correct. The Chi-square test relies on these expected frequencies to examine discrepancies between what is expected and what is observed in our survey data.
P-value
The p-value is a crucial concept in deciding whether to reject or not reject the null hypothesis. It signifies the probability of obtaining test results at least as extreme as the observed results, under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true. A low p-value indicates that such extreme observed results are improbable given the null hypothesis, suggesting that the null might not be valid. In our exercise, we compare the p-value against the predetermined significance level of 1%, or 0.01. If the p-value is less than 0.01, it means there is less than a 1% probability of the data occurring if the null hypothesis is true, prompting us to reject it. However, if the p-value exceeds 0.01, it isn't low enough to reject the null hypothesis confidently, meaning we retain it, concluding that gender does not significantly affect the response.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The manufacturer of a certain brand of lightbulbs claims that the variance of the lives of these bulbs is 4200 square hours. A consumer agency took a random sample of 25 such bulbs and tested them. The variance of the lives of these bulbs was found to be 5200 square hours. Assume that the lives of all such bulbs are (approximately) normally distributed. a. Make the \(99 \%\) confidence intervals for the variance and standard deviation of the lives of all such bulbs. b. Test at a \(5 \%\) significance level whether the variance of such bulbs is different from 4200 square hours.

A drug company is interested in investigating whether the color of their packaging has any impact on sales. To test this, they used five different colors (blue, green, orange, red, and yellow) for their packages of an over- the-counter pain reliever, instead of the traditional white package. The following table shows the number of packages of each color sold during the first month. $$ \begin{array}{l|ccccc} \hline \text { Package color } & \text { Blue } & \text { Green } & \text { Orange } & \text { Red } & \text { Yellow } \\ \hline \begin{array}{l} \text { Number of } \\ \text { packages sold } \end{array} & 310 & 292 & 280 & 216 & 296 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Using a \(1 \%\) significance level, test the null hypothesis that the number of packages sold of each of these five colors is the same.

In a Pew Research Center poll conducted December \(3-8,2013\), American adults age 18 and older were asked if Christmas is more a religious or a cultural holiday for them. Of the respondents, \(51 \%\) said Christmas is a religious holiday for them, \(32 \%\) said it is a cultural holiday, and \(17 \%\) gave other answers (www.pewforum.org). Assume that these results are true for the 2013 population of adults. Recently, a random sample of 1200 American adults age 18 and older was taken, and these adults were asked the same question. Their responses are presented in the following table. $$ \begin{array}{l|ccc} \hline \text { Response } & \text { Religious Holiday } & \text { Cultural Holiday } & \text { Other } \\ \hline \text { Frequency } & 660 & 408 & 132 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Test at a \(2.5 \%\) significance level whether the distribution of recent opinions is significantly different from that of the 2013 opinions.

Two random samples, one of 95 blue-collar workers and a second of 50 white- collar workers, were taken from a large company. These workers were asked about their views on a certain company issue. The following table gives the results of the survey. $$ \begin{array}{lccc} \hline & \multicolumn{3}{c} {\text { Opinion }} \\ \cline { 2 - 4 } & \text { Favor } & \text { Oppose } & \text { Uncertain } \\\ \hline \text { Blue-collar workers } & 44 & 39 & 12 \\ \text { White-collar workers } & 21 & 26 & 3 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Using a \(2.5 \%\) significance level, test the null hypothesis that the distributions of opinions are homogeneous for the two groups of workers.

Of all students enrolled at a large undergraduate university, \(19 \%\) are seniors, \(23 \%\) are juniors, \(27 \%\) are sophomores, and \(31 \%\) are freshmen. A sample of 200 students taken from this university by the student senate to conduct a survey includes 50 seniors, 46 juniors, 55 sophomores, and 49 freshmen. Using a \(2.5 \%\) significance level, test the null hypothesis that this sample is a random sample.

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