/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 13 The following information was ob... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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The following information was obtained from two independent samples selected from two normally distributed populations with unknown but equal standard deviations. $$ \begin{array}{lll} n_{1}=21 & \bar{x}_{1}=13.97 & s_{1}=3.78 \\ n_{2}=20 & \bar{x}_{2}=15.55 & s_{2}=3.26 \end{array} $$ a. What is the point estimate of \(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\) ? b Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The point estimate of \( \mu_{1}-\mu_{2} \) is -1.58. b. The 95% confidence interval for \( \mu_{1}-\mu_{2} \) is (-3.99, 0.83).

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the Point Estimate

The point estimate of \( \mu_{1}-\mu_{2} \) is simply the difference between the sample means \( \bar{x}_{1} \) and \( \bar{x}_{2} \). So, it can be calculated as \( \bar{x}_{1} - \bar{x}_{2} \) = 13.97 - 15.55 = -1.58.
02

Calculate the Standard Error

The standard error for the difference in sample averages can be calculated using the formula \[ SE = \sqrt{{s1^2/n1} + {s2^2/n2}}\]where s1 and s2 are the sample standard deviations, and n1 and n2 are the sample sizes. Substituting the given values into the formula gives us: \[ SE = \sqrt{{(3.78)^2/21 + (3.26)^2/20}}\] = 1.157.
03

Find the T-Score for 95% Confidence Interval

For a 95% confidence interval, and degree of freedom = min(n1, n2) - 1 = min(21, 20) - 1 = 19, we find the t-value from the t-distribution table to be approximately 2.093.
04

Calculate the Confidence Interval

The 95% confidence interval for \( \mu_{1}-\mu_{2} \) is calculated as:\[ \bar{x}_{1} - \bar{x}_{2} \pm (T*SE)\]\[ -1.58 \pm 2.093*1.157 \]Therefore the 95% confidence interval is (-3.99, 0.83).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Point Estimate
In statistical terms, a point estimate is a single value estimate of a parameter of a population. In this context, it refers to estimating the difference between two population means \( \mu_1 \) and \( \mu_2 \). Instead of considering a complete dataset, you use sample data to make this estimate.
You calculate the point estimate by finding the difference between two sample means. From the problem, the two sample means are given as \( \bar{x}_1 = 13.97 \) and \( \bar{x}_2 = 15.55 \).
To find this point estimate, simply perform the subtraction:
  • \( \bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2 = 13.97 - 15.55 = -1.58 \)
This result, -1.58, is the point estimate of the difference between the population means \( \mu_1 - \mu_2 \). It's a straightforward calculation providing a single best guess value.
Standard Error
The standard error is a quantification of the variability or spread of a sample statistic around the true population parameter. Specifically, for the difference between two sample means, it tells us how precise our point estimate is.
Here's the formula for calculating the standard error for the difference in means:
  • \[ SE = \sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}} \]
- \( s_1 = 3.78 \) and \( s_2 = 3.26 \) are the sample standard deviations.
- \( n_1 = 21 \) and \( n_2 = 20 \) are the sample sizes.
Substituting these values, calculate the standard error:
  • \[ SE = \sqrt{\frac{3.78^2}{21} + \frac{3.26^2}{20}} = 1.157 \]
This value, 1.157, measures the expected dispersion of the point estimate from the actual difference in population means. A smaller standard error indicates a more reliable estimate.
T-Distribution
The t-distribution is crucial when dealing with smaller sample sizes or unknown population variances. It is similar to the normal distribution but has heavier tails, which means it is more accommodating for variation due to smaller samples.
When building confidence intervals, especially for small sample sizes, the t-distribution helps account for the additional uncertainty. In this exercise, we're constructing a 95% confidence interval for the difference in means using the t-distribution.
The degree of freedom (df) for our t-distribution is calculated as the smallest of \( n_1 - 1 \) or \( n_2 - 1 \). Here, it would be:
  • \( \text{df} = \text{min}(21-1, 20-1) = 19 \)
Using the t-distribution table, the t-value for 19 degrees of freedom at a 95% confidence level is approximately 2.093. This value helps us expand the point estimate into a confidence interval.
Sample Mean
The sample mean is a statistical measure summarizing the central tendency of a sample. It is simply the arithmetic average of the values in the sample.
In our context, we have two samples summarized by their sample means:
  • \( \bar{x}_1 = 13.97 \)
  • \( \bar{x}_2 = 15.55 \)
These sample means are vital because they serve as the best estimators of their respective population means \( \mu_1 \) and \( \mu_2 \).
From these, we derive the point estimate for the difference in population means. Moreover, these sample means form the foundation for calculating the standard error, constructing confidence intervals, and determining the reliability of our estimations. By calculating the point estimate, standard error, and using the t-distribution, we can make statistical inferences about the population from which the samples were taken.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Maine Mountain Dairy claims that its 8-ounce low-fat yogurt cups contain, on average, fewer calories than the 8 -ounce low-fat yogurt cups produced by a competitor. A consumer agency wanted to check this claim. A sample of 27 such yogurt cups produced by this company showed that they contained an average of 141 calories per cup. A sample of 25 such yogurt cups produced by its competitor showed that they contained an average of 144 calories per cup. Assume that the two populations are approximately normally distributed with population standard deviations of \(5.5\) and \(6.4\) calories, repectively. a. Make a \(98 \%\) confidence interval for the difference between the mean number of calories in the 8 -ounce low-fat yogurt cups produced by the two companies. b. Test at a \(1 \%\) significance level whether Maine Mountain Dairy's claim is true. c. Calculate the \(p\) -value for the test of part b. Based on this \(p\) -value, would you reject the null hypothesis if \(\alpha=.05 ?\) What if \(\alpha=.025 ?\)

Refer to the previous exercise. Suppose Gamma Corporation decides to test governors on seven cars. However, the management is afraid that the speed limit imposed by the governors will reduce the number of contacts the salespersons can make each day. Thus, both the fuel consumption and the number of contacts made are recorded for each car/salesperson for each week of the testing period, both before and after the installation of governors. Suppose that as a statistical analyst with the company, you are directed to prepare a brief report that includes statistical analysis andinterpretation of the data. Management will use your report to help decide whether or not to install governors on all salespersons' cars. Use \(90 \%\) confidence intervals and \(.05\) significance levels for any hypothesis tests to make suggestions. Assume that the differences in fuel consumption and the differences in the number of contacts are both normally distributed.

The standard recommendation for automobile oil changes is once every 5000 miles. A local mechanic is interested in determining whether people who drive more expensive cars are more likely to follow the recommendation. Independent random samples of 45 customers who drive luxury cars and 40 customers who drive compact lowerprice cars were selected. The average distance driven between oil changes was 5187 miles for the luxury car owners and 5214 miles for the compact lower-price cars. The sample standard deviations were 424 and 507 miles for the luxury and compact groups, respectively. Assume that the two population distributions of the distances between oil changes have the same standard deviation. a. Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference in the mean distances between oil changes for all luxury cars and all compact lower-price cars. b. Using a \(1 \%\) significance level, can you conclude that the mean distance between oil changes is less for all luxury cars than that for all compact lower-price cars?

Using data from the U.S. Census Bureau and other sources, www.nerdwallet.com estimated that considering only the households with credit card debts, the average credit card debt for U.S. households was \(\$ 15,523\) in 2014 and \(\$ 15,242\) in 2013 . Suppose that these estimates were based on random samples of 600 households with credit card debts in 2014 and 700 households with credit card debts in 2013 . Suppose that the sample standard deviations for these two samples were \(\$ 3870\) and \(\$ 3764\), respectively. Assume that the standard deviations for the two populations are unknown but equal. a. Let \(\mu_{1}\) and \(\mu_{2}\) be the average credit card debts for all such households for the years 2014 and 2013 , respectively. What is the point estimate of \(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\) ? b. Construct a \(98 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\). c. Using a \(1 \%\) significance level, can you conclude that the average credit card debt for such households was higher in 2014 than in \(2013 ?\) Use both the \(p\) -value and the critical-value approaches to make this test.

A car magazine is comparing the total repair costs incurred during the first three years on two sports cars, the T-999 and the XPY. Random samples of 45 T-999s and 51 XPYs are taken. All 96 cars are 3 years old and have similar mileages. The mean of repair costs for the 45 T-999 cars is \(\$ 3300\) for the first 3 years. For the 51 XPY cars, this mean is \(\$ 3850\). Assume that the standard deviations for the two populations are \(\$ 800\) and \(\$ 1000\), respectively. a. Construct a 99\% confidence interval for the difference between the two population means. b. Using a \(1 \%\) significance level, can you conclude that such mean repair costs are different for these two types of cars? c. What would your decision be in part b if the probability of making a Type I error were zero? Explain.

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