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Indicate in which of the following cases the central limit theorem will apply to describe the sampling distribution of the sample proportion. a. \(n=20\) and \(p=.45\) b. \(n=75\) and \(p=.22\) c. \(n=350\) and \(p=.01\) d. \(n=200\) and \(p=.022\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The central limit theorem applies to cases a. and b. only as they meet the \(np > 5\) and \(n(1-p) > 5\) conditions. Cases c. and d. fail to meet these conditions.

Step by step solution

01

- Analyzing the central limit theorem for case a

The given values are \(n=20\) and \(p=.45\). To fit the central limit theorem conditions, both \(np = 20*0.45 = 9\) and \(n(1-p) = 20*(1-0.45) = 11\) must be greater than 5. So, the central limit theorem applies here.
02

- Analyzing the central limit theorem for case b

The given values are \(n=75\) and \(p=.22\). Here, \(np = 75*0.22 = 16.5\) and \(n(1-p) = 75*(1-0.22) = 58.5\), both greater than 5. Thus, the central limit theorem applies here as well.
03

- Analyzing the central limit theorem for case c

The given values are \(n=350\) and \(p=.01\). Here, \(np = 350*0.01 = 3.5\) which is less than 5. Hence, the central limit theorem does not apply here.
04

- Analyzing the central limit theorem for case d

The given values are \(n=200\) and \(p=.022\). Here, \(np = 200*0.022 = 4.4\) which is less than 5. Hence, the central limit theorem does not apply here.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sampling Distribution
The sampling distribution is a concept in statistics that describes how the mean of a sample differs from the population mean across different samples. Imagine you have a large bowl of soup and want to know the average saltiness. You can't drink the whole bowl at once, so you take spoonfuls, tasting a few each time. Each spoonful represents a sample, and the variety of different spoonfuls represents the sampling distribution.

For quantities like the sample proportion, the sampling distribution tells us how likely different sample proportions are if we repeatedly sample from the population. It basically helps us understand how well our sample actually represents the full population and its characteristic proportion. In many ways, it's the bridge between our small, manageable sample and the vast, overwhelming population.

Sampling distributions are particularly important because they lead us to concepts like the central limit theorem, which helps us make predictions about the population despite only having a sample.
Sample Proportion
The sample proportion is a measure that tells us the fraction of the sample that exhibits a particular characteristic or attribute. For example, if you surveyed 100 people about their preference for coffee, and 40 say they like it, the sample proportion is 0.4 or 40%.

Calculating the sample proportion is pretty straightforward. You take the number of successful instances or favorable outcomes in your sample (like the number of people who prefer coffee) and divide it by the total number of observations in the sample.

This metric is crucial when trying to generalize from a sample to a population. It serves as an estimator for the true population proportion, which is generally unknown. However, remember that the sample proportion could vary depending on which sample you drew from the population due to variability.
Statistical Conditions
For the central limit theorem to be applicable, certain statistical conditions must be met in the context of the sample proportion and sampling distribution. These conditions ensure that despite sampling variances and idiosyncrasies, the results can be generalized to the larger population.

1. **Random Sampling:** Samples must be drawn randomly to avoid biases.
2. **Sample Size:** Generally, the larger the sample, the more representative it will be of the population.

The central limit theorem states that even if the population distribution is not normal, the sampling distribution of the sample mean will approximate a normal distribution if these conditions are met. However, it is crucial to evaluate each specific context to ensure these conditions are satisfied, which provides the validity for using statistical methods to make generalizations.
NP Criterion for Normality
The np criterion is a specific application of the statistical conditions we just discussed, focusing on sample proportions. This criterion helps determine if the normal approximation can be used with the sample proportion's sampling distribution, which is key for applying the central limit theorem.

According to the np criterion, both \( np \) and \( n(1-p) \) should be greater than 5 for the sampling distribution to be approximately normal. Here, \( n \) represents the sample size, and \( p \) is the population proportion in context. If either \( np \) or \( n(1-p) \) is less than 5, the normal approximation might not be valid. This is because the sample size might be too small to reflect the true population proportion effectively.

This guideline is essential when determining the applicability of the central limit theorem in real-world scenarios. It ensures that the assumptions of normality required for further statistical analysis hold true.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

As mentioned in Exercise \(7.22\), according to the American Automobile Association's 2012 annual report Your Driving Costs, the cost of owning and operating a four-wheel drive SUV is $$\$ 11,350$$ per year (USA TODAY, April 27, 2012). Note that this cost includes expenses for gasoline, maintenance, insurance, and financing for a vehicle that is driven 15,000 miles a year. Suppose that the distribution of such costs of owning and operating all four- wheel drive SUVs has a mean of $$\$ 11,350$$ with a standard deviation of $$\$ 2390 .$$ Find the probability that for a random sample of 400 four-wheel drive SUVs, the average cost of owning and operating is a. more than $$\$ 11,540$$ b. less than $$\$ 11,110$$ c. $$\$ 11,250$$ to $$\$ 11,600$$$

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According to a Time Magazine/ABT SRBI poll conducted by telephone during October $$9-10,2011,$$ \(73 \%\) of adults age 18 years and older said that they are in favor of raising taxes on those with annual incomes of $$\$ 1$$ million or more to help cut the federal deficit (Time, October 24, 2011). Assume that this percentage is true for the current population of all American adults age 18 years and older. Let \(\hat{p}\) be the proportion of American adults age 18 years and older in a random sample of 900 who will hold the above opinion. Find the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) and describe its shape

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