/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 43 A 2011 analysis performed by Rea... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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A 2011 analysis performed by ReadWrite Mobile revealed that the average number of apps downloaded per day per iOS device (such as iPhone, iPod, and iPad) exceeds 60 (www.readwriteweb.com/ mobile/2011/01/more-than-60-apps-downloaded- per-ios-device.php). Suppose that the current distribution of apps downloaded per day per iOS device is approximately normal with a mean of 65 and a standard deviation of \(19.4\). Find the probability that the number of apps downloaded on a randomly selected day by a randomly selected owner of an iOS device is a. 100 or more b. 45 or fewer

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The probability that an iOS user will download 100 or more apps in a day is approximately 0.0359 or 3.59%. b. The probability that an iOS user will download 45 or fewer apps in a day is approximately 0.1515 or 15.15%.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Z-Score

The Z-score represents how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. For a random variable X, the formula is \(Z = \frac{(X - \mu)}{\sigma}\), where \(\mu\) is the mean and \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation. The Z-score is used to standardize individual values.
02

Calculate the Z-Score for 100

In this step, the Z-score will be calculated for X = 100 using the formula mentioned in the previous step. Use a mean of 65 and a standard deviation of 19.4. \[Z_{100} = \frac{(100 - 65)}{19.4} \approx 1.804\] Sign shows the score is above the mean.
03

Find Probability for 100 or More

The Z-score represents a value (100 in this case) on the standard normal distribution curve. Checking the Z-table for the value, 1.804 corresponds to probability 0.9641 (or 96.41%). Since the question is asking for 100 or more, the desired probability is the area under the curve to the right of the calculated Z-score. Thus, the probability is 1 - 0.9641 = 0.0359 (or 3.59%).
04

Calculate the Z-Score for 45

Similarly, calculate the Z-score for X = 45 using the formula. \[Z_{45} = \frac{(45 - 65)}{19.4} \approx -1.03\] The negative sign shows the score is below the mean.
05

Find Probability for 45 or Fewer

Checking the Z-table for value -1.03, it corresponds to 0.1515 (or 15.15%). The task is to find the probability of downloading 45 or fewer apps. As the Z-score is negative, the desired probability is the area under the curve to the left of the calculated Z-score. So, the probability is 0.1515 (or 15.15%).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-Score
The Z-score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's position relative to the mean of a group of values. It is expressed as a number of standard deviations from the mean. A positive Z-score indicates that the value is above the mean, while a negative Z-score signifies it is below the mean. This is widely utilized in statistics for standardizing and comparing different data sets.

The formula to compute the Z-score for a given data value is:
  • \( Z = \frac{(X - \mu)}{\sigma} \)
Here:
  • \( X \) is the value of interest.
  • \( \mu \) stands for the mean of the dataset.
  • \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation.
This transformation allows different distributions to be compared under a standard normal framework. Learning how to calculate and interpret Z-scores is fundamental in statistical analysis.
Probability Calculation
Probability calculations help in quantifying the likelihood of an event occurring within a statistical context. In the context of the normal distribution, these calculations involve integrating the area under the curve of a probability density function. The probability of an event is represented as a value between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty.

In the problem addressed, probability calculations were used to determine the likelihood of downloading "100 or more" or "45 or fewer" apps on an iOS device:

When dealing with normal distribution, probabilities can be found using a Z-table, which provides the cumulative probability corresponding to each Z-score. To find the probability of a value being above a certain threshold, you calculate:
  • The cumulative probability from the Z-table for a given Z-score
  • Subtract it from 1 if it's for a value higher than a certain threshold
These calculations offer insight into how common or rare a given value is within a normal distribution.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion present in a set of values. It indicates how spread out the data points are in relation to the mean. A smaller standard deviation implies that the data points tend to be closer to the mean, whereas a larger standard deviation indicates a wider dispersion around the mean.

Mathematically, standard deviation is defined using the formula:
  • \( \sigma = \sqrt{\frac{1}{N}\sum_{i=1}^{N} (X_i - \mu)^2} \)
Where:
  • \( N \) is the number of observations,
  • \( X_i \) represents each value in the data set,
  • \( \mu \) is the mean.
In this normal distribution exercise, a standard deviation of 19.4 was used to determine how widely the number of apps downloaded each day varied from the mean. Understanding standard deviation helps one judge the average level of variation and make probabilistic predictions accordingly.
Mean in Statistics
The mean is a central concept in statistics, referred to as the arithmetic average of a set of values. It represents the central tendency and is calculated by summing all values and dividing by the count of values. The mean is utilized extensively to provide a summary measure of a data set.

The formula for the mean \( \mu \) is:
  • \( \mu = \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^{N} X_i \)
Here:
  • \( N \) is the total number of observations,
  • \( X_i \) are the individual data points.
In the context of our problem, the mean number of apps downloaded daily was 65. This value played a crucial role in calculating the Z-score, which was further used in probability assessments. The mean provides foundational insight into what is considered "normal" within a data set and serves as a reference point for other statistical computation.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A construction zone on a highway has a posted speed limit of 40 miles per hour. The speeds of vehicles passing through this construction zone are normally distributed with a mean of 46 miles per hour and a standard deviation of 4 miles per hour. Find the percentage of vehicles passing through this construction zone that are a. exceeding the posted speed limit b. traveling at speeds between 50 and 57 miles per hour

Determine the following probabilities for the standard normal distribution. a. \(P(-2.46 \leq z \leq 1.88)\) b. \(P(0 \leq z \leq 1.96)\) c. \(P(-2.58 \leq z \leq 0)\) d. \(P(z \geq .73)\)

The highway police in a certain state are using aerial surveillance to control speeding on a highway with a posted speed limit of 55 miles per hour. Police officers watch cars from helicopters above a straight segment of this highway that has large marks painted on the pavement at 1 -mile intervals. After the police officers observe how long a car takes to cover the mile, a computer estimates that car's speed. Assume that the errors of these estimates are normally distributed with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 2 miles per hour. a. The state police chief has directed his officers not to issue a speeding citation unless the aerial unit's estimate of speed is at least 65 miles per hour. What is the probability that a car traveling at 60 miles per hour or slower will be cited for speeding? b. Suppose the chief does not want his officers to cite a car for speeding unless they are \(99 \%\) sure that it is traveling at 60 miles per hour or faster. What is the minimum estimate of speed at which a car should be cited for speeding?

Suppose you are conducting a binomial experiment that has 15 trials and the probability of success of .02. According to the sample size requirements, you cannot use the normal distribution to approximate the binomial distribution in this situation. Use the mean and standard deviation of this binomial distribution and the empirical rule to explain why there is a problem in this situation. (Note: Drawing the graph and marking the values that correspond to the empirical rule is a good way to start.)

According to an article on Yahoo.com on February 19,2012, the average salary of actuaries in the U.S. is \(\$ 98,620\) a year (http://education.yahoo.net/articles/careers_for_shy_people_2.htm?kid=1KWO3). Suppose that currently the distribution of annual salaries of all actuaries in the U.S. is approximately normal with a mean of \(\$ 98,620\) and a standard deviation of \(\$ 18,000\). How much would an actuary have to be paid in order to be in the highest-paid \(10 \%\) of all actuaries?

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