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The probability that a corporation makes charitable contributions is .72. Two corporations are selected at random, and it is noted whether or not they make charitable contributions. a. Draw a tree diagram for this experiment. b. Find the probability that at most one corporation makes charitable contributions.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that at most one corporation makes charitable contributions is 0.48

Step by step solution

01

Construct the tree diagram

Our tree diagram will have two levels, one for each randomly selected corporation. The first level will have two branches: one representing the first corporation making a charitable donation (probability 0.72), and the other representing the first corporation not making a donation (probability 0.28, because 1 - 0.72 = 0.28). Each of these branches will further split into two second-level branches, representing the second corporation making or not making a donation with the same probabilities.
02

Calculate the probability of each outcome

The probability of any path in the tree is the product of the probabilities along that path. Thus, we have four possible end outcomes:\n- Both corporations make a donation: \(0.72 * 0.72 = 0.52\)\n- The first corporation makes a donation, the second does not: \(0.72 * 0.28 = 0.20\)\n- The first corporation does not make a donation, the second does: \(0.28 * 0.72 = 0.20\)\n- Neither corporation makes a donation: \(0.28 * 0.28 = 0.08\)
03

Calculate the desired probability

We want the probability that 'at most one corporation makes charitable contributions'. This includes three of our outcomes: The first corporation makes a donation and the second does not, the first corporation does not make a donation and the second does, and neither corporation makes a donation. We add up these probabilities: \(0.20 + 0.20 + 0.08 = 0.48\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Tree Diagram
In probability theory, a tree diagram is a helpful tool for visualizing all possible outcomes of an experiment. It resembles a branching structure where each branch represents a potential outcome. For this problem, we are analyzing two corporations, each having the possibility to either make a charitable contribution or not.

We start by drawing the first set of branches. This represents the probability for the first corporation. There are two possibilities: the first corporation makes a contribution (with a probability of 0.72), or it does not (with a probability of 0.28).
  • 0.72 for donating
  • 0.28 for not donating
From each of these branches, we further divide into two more branches for the second corporation. These branches represent the second corporation's chance of making a charitable contribution, again with probabilities of 0.72 for donating and 0.28 for not donating. This gives us a structured view of all possible outcomes for both corporations. By looking at these branches, you can identify all potential scenarios and make calculations simpler.
Probability Calculation
Calculating probabilities involves determining the likelihood of various outcomes happening in an experiment. With tree diagrams, this process becomes straightforward because each outcome is represented as a path through the tree.

For this specific problem, we calculate the probability of each scenario by multiplying the probabilities along that outcome's path:
  • Both corporations make contributions: 0.72 x 0.72 = 0.52
  • The first donates, the second does not: 0.72 x 0.28 = 0.20
  • The first does not donate, the second does: 0.28 x 0.72 = 0.20
  • Neither makes donations: 0.28 x 0.28 = 0.08
These figures show the likelihood of each of these outcomes occurring. The goal is to identify the scenario where at most one corporation makes a contribution. We sum the probabilities for the appropriate outcomes:
  • The first donates, second doesn't + The first doesn't donate, second does + Neither donates = 0.20 + 0.20 + 0.08 = 0.48
This means there's a 48% chance that at most one corporation will contribute.
Charitable Contributions
Charitable contributions refer to donations made by entities like corporations to charity organizations. In probability, we often consider events like these where outcomes are tied to real-world scenarios, allowing us to model situations mathematically.

Corporations choose to contribute to charities for various strategic reasons including societal impact, tax benefits, and public relations gains. In this exercise, understanding probability assists in predicting and analyzing such corporate behavior under certain conditions. By using these calculations, companies can make informed decisions or assess the impact of their charitable policies.
  • Shows the decision-making process of corporations.
  • Demonstrates how probability influences strategic choices.
  • Applies mathematical models to real-world corporate decisions.
Thus, the scenario underscores the practical importance of probability theory in understanding how businesses might act under uncertainty and variability.

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