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A real estate agent claims that the mean living area of all single-family homes in his county is at most 2400 square feet. A random sample of 50 such homes selected from this county produced the mean living area of 2540 square feet and a standard deviation of 472 square feet. a. Using \(\alpha=.05\), can you conclude that the real estate agent's claim is true? What will your conclusion be if \(\alpha=.01 ?\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
Since the actual conclusion depends on the calculated test statistic, which is not calculated in this step-by-step solution, a definite answer cannot be given without this calculation. However, the conclusion would be that the real estate agent's claim is true, if the test statistic is less than the critical value for the respective level of significance; otherwise the claim is not true.

Step by step solution

01

Set Up Hypothesis

We can set up the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) and the alternative hypothesis (\(H_1\)) as follows: \[H_0: \mu \leq 2400\] \[H_1: \mu > 2400\] where \(\mu\) is the mean living area of homes in the county.
02

Calculation of Test Statistic

The test statistic is calculated using the formula: \[Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\sigma / \sqrt{n}}\] where \(\bar{x}\) is the sample mean (2540 square feet), \(\mu_0\) is the claimed mean (2400 square feet), \(\sigma\) is the sample standard deviation (472 square feet), and \(n\) is the sample size (50). Plug these values into the formula to get the test statistic.
03

Decision Rule for \(\alpha = .05\)

The critical z-score for a one-tailed test at \(\alpha = .05\) is 1.645. If the calculated test statistic is greater than 1.645, we reject the null hypothesis.
04

Decision Rule for \(\alpha = .01\)

The critical z-score for a one-tailed test at \(\alpha = .01\) is 2.33. If the calculated test statistic is greater than 2.33, we reject the null hypothesis.
05

Draw Conclusions

Based on the calculated test statistic and the decision rules established in steps 3 and 4, we can determine whether to reject the null hypothesis at each level of significance. This will give us the conclusion whether the real estate agent's claim is true at each significance level.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis, often denoted as \( H_0 \), is a statement we seek to test. It represents a default or "no effect" position. In this exercise, the null hypothesis asserts that the mean living area of all single-family homes is at most 2400 square feet. This is denoted as \( H_0: \mu \leq 2400 \). Here, \( \mu \) is the population mean.

Understanding the null hypothesis is crucial as it serves as the baseline that you're testing against. You begin by assuming it's true, and then decide if there's enough evidence to reject it.

This hypothesis works like a presumption of innocence in a trial; it stays in place unless disproven by evidence.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, represented by \( H_1 \), contradicts the null hypothesis. It proposes that the real parameters of interest actually take on different values from the null hypothesis.

In the given problem, the alternative hypothesis is \( H_1: \mu > 2400 \), suggesting that the mean living area is actually greater than 2400 square feet. This hypothesis is what you want to prove.

The role of the alternative hypothesis is vital as it defines the opposite of the null hypothesis. It provides focus to the analysis, showing what you aim to support with data.
Test Statistic
The test statistic is a standardized value used to determine whether to reject the null hypothesis. It's calculated from sample data and follows a known distribution.

For this exercise, the test statistic \( Z \) is calculated using the formula:
  • \( \bar{x} = 2540 \) (sample mean)
  • \( \mu_0 = 2400 \) (claimed mean)
  • \( \sigma = 472 \) (sample standard deviation)
  • \( n = 50 \) (sample size)
Plug these numbers into:\[ Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\sigma / \sqrt{n}} \]The test statistic helps compare the sample data against the null hypothesis by standardizing the difference.
One-Tailed Test
A one-tailed test in hypothesis testing assesses whether a sample mean compares in a specific direction to the population mean. Here, we're checking if the mean living area is not just different, but specifically greater than 2400 square feet.

This type of test is appropriate when you're interested in deviations in a specific direction. For this case, set a critical value (z-score) which the calculated test statistic must exceed to reject the null hypothesis.

For \( \alpha = 0.05 \), the critical value is 1.645, and for \( \alpha = 0.01 \), it's 2.33. If your test statistic exceeds these values at either significance level, you reject the null hypothesis.

The choice of a one-tailed test helps focus on proving an increase rather than any change, streamlining the analysis.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The manager of a restaurant in a large city claims that waiters working in all restaurants in his city earn an average of \(\$ 150\) or more in tips per week. A random sample of 25 waiters selected from restaurants of this city yielded a mean of \(\$ 139\) in tips per week with a standard deviation of \(\$ 28\). Assume that the weekly tips for all waiters in this city have a normal distribution. a. Using the \(1 \%\) significance level, can you conclude that the manager's claim is true? Use both approaches. b. What is the Type I error in this exercise? Explain. What is the probability of making such an error?

The mean balance of all checking accounts at a bank on December 31,2009, was \(\$ 850 .\) A random sample of 55 checking accounts taken recently from this bank gave a mean balance of \(\$ 780\) with a standard deviation of \(\$ 230 .\) Using the \(1 \%\) significance level, can you conclude that the mean balance of such accounts has decreased during this period? Explain your conclusion in words. What if \(\alpha=.025\) ?

Briefly explain the conditions that must hold true to use the \(t\) distribution to make a test of hypothesis about the population mean.

A paint manufacturing company claims that the mean drying time for its paints is not longer than 45 minutes. A random sample of 20 gallons of paints selected from the production line of this company showed that the mean drying time for this sample is \(49.50\) minutes with a standard deviation of 3 minutes. Assume that the drying times for these paints have a normal distribution. a. Using the \(1 \%\) significance level, would you conclude that the company's claim is true? b. What is the Type I error in this exercise? Explain in words. What is the probability of making such an error?

A consumer advocacy group suspects that a local supermarket's 10-ounce packages of cheddar cheese actually weigh less than 10 ounces. The group took a random sample of 20 such packages and found that the mean weight for the sample was \(9.955\) ounces. The population follows a normal distribution with the population standard deviation of \(.15\) ounce. a. Find the \(p\) -value for the test of hypothesis with the alternative hypothesis that the mean weight of all such packages is less than 10 ounces. Will you reject the null hypothesis at \(\alpha=.01\) ? b. Test the hypothesis of part a using the critical-value approach and \(\alpha=.01\).

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