/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 28 The following table, reproduced ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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The following table, reproduced from Exercise \(5.12\), lists the probability distribution of the number of patients entering the emergency room during a 1-hour period at Millard Fellmore Memorial Hospital. $$ \begin{array}{l|ccccccc} \hline \text { Patients per hour } & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 & 6 \\ \hline \text { Probability } & .2725 & .3543 & .2303 & .0998 & .0324 & .0084 & .0023 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Calculate the mean and standard deviation for this probability distribution.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The mean of this probability distribution is approximately 1.2997 and the standard deviation is approximately 1.7470

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the mean

The mean, or expected value, of a probability distribution is calculated as \(E(X) = \sum x \cdot P(x)\), where \(x\) is each outcome and \(P(x)\) is the probability of that outcome. Apply the formula to find: \(E(X) = 0 \cdot 0.2725 + 1 \cdot 0.3543 + 2 \cdot 0.2303 + 3 \cdot 0.0998 + 4 \cdot 0.0324 + 5 \cdot 0.0084 + 6 \cdot 0.0023\)
02

Perform the arithmetic

Perform the individual multiplications and add all the products to acquire the mean: \(E(X) = 0 + 0.3543 + 0.4606 + 0.2994 + 0.1296 + 0.042 + 0.0138 = 1.2997\)
03

Calculate the variance

The variance of a probability distribution \(\sigma^2\) is computed as \(\sigma^2 = \sum [x - E(x)]^2 \cdot P(x)\). Note that \(E(x)\) is the mean calculated earlier. Find: \(\sigma^2 = [0 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.2725 + [1 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.3543 + [2 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.2303 + [3 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.0998 + [4 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.0324 + [5 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.0084 + [6 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.0023\)
04

Perform the arithmetic for variance

Compute the individual multiplications and sum all the products to obtain the variance: \(\sigma^2 = 1.6925 + 0.3559 + 0.3244 + 0.2784 + 0.2319 + 0.1237 + 0.0485 = 3.0553\)
05

Calculate the standard deviation

The standard deviation is the square root of the variance. Therefore, \(\sigma = \sqrt{3.0553}\)
06

Perform the arithmetic for standard deviation

Find the square root of the variance to acquire the standard deviation: \(\sigma = 1.7470\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mean Calculation
The mean, often referred to as the "average," is a central concept in probability distributions. In the context of probability, it’s more accurately described as the "expected value." This term reflects the long-run average outcome if the random experiment is repeated many times.
To calculate the mean or expected value for a discrete probability distribution, you use the formula:
  • \[ E(X) = \sum x \cdot P(x) \]
Here, \( x \) represents a possible outcome, and \( P(x) \) the probability of that outcome.
Applying this to our exercise, we calculate:
  • \( 0 \cdot 0.2725 \)
  • \( 1 \cdot 0.3543 \)
  • \( 2 \cdot 0.2303 \)
  • \( 3 \cdot 0.0998 \)
  • \( 4 \cdot 0.0324 \)
  • \( 5 \cdot 0.0084 \)
  • \( 6 \cdot 0.0023 \)
Adding these up gives the mean, which is approximately 1.2997. This means we expect about 1.3 patients to arrive per hour on average.
Standard Deviation
The standard deviation is a valuable measure in statistics that gives us insight into how much variation or "spread" exists in a set of outcomes. In probability distributions, it indicates how far off a typical outcome might be from the mean.
To find the standard deviation, you first need to calculate the variance, which is captured by:
  • \[ \sigma^2 = \sum (x - E(X))^2 \cdot P(x) \]
This formula involves figuring out how each value differs from the mean, squaring that difference, and then weighing it by its probability.
Finally, take the square root of the variance to get the standard deviation:
  • \[ \sigma = \sqrt{\sigma^2} \]
This results in a standard deviation of about 1.7470, which suggests that while one might expect about 1.3 patients per hour, there's considerable variability around this number.
Variance Calculation
Variance is a statistical measurement that provides the average of the squared differences from the mean. While it might sound complex, it serves a key purpose in indicating how much the values in a distribution differ from the mean on average.
To calculate variance, use:
  • \[ \sigma^2 = \sum [x - E(X)]^2 \cdot P(x) \]
You start by finding the difference between each outcome and the mean, square these differences, and multiply each by their probability.
Here's how it works in our example:
  • \( [0 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.2725 \)
  • \( [1 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.3543 \)
  • \( [2 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.2303 \)
  • \( [3 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.0998 \)
  • \( [4 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.0324 \)
  • \( [5 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.0084 \)
  • \( [6 - 1.2997]^2 \cdot 0.0023 \)
Summing these gives us the variance, approximately 3.0553, which shows a noteworthy dispersion around the mean.
Expected Value
In probability and statistics, the expected value is a fundamental concept that signifies the average outcome of a random variable over a long series of trials. It’s crucial to understand this value as it provides insight into what we anticipate over numerous occasions.
The expected value is simply the mean of a probability distribution, computed as:
  • \[ E(X) = \sum x \cdot P(x) \]
This reflects the core essence of the outcome's likelihood, almost like a weighted average where more probable outcomes weigh more heavily.
Considering our probability distribution of patients visiting an emergency room, we determined the expected value earlier to be about 1.2997. This tells us, on an average hour, the facility can expect approximately 1.3 patients to enter. However, keep in mind that the expected value might not always be a number of patients you can have because it's an average, which means it could result in a fractional number.

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