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A statistical experiment has eight equally likely outcomes that are denoted by \(1,2,3,4,5,6,7\), and 8\. Let event \(A=\\{2,5,7\\}\) and event \(B=\\{2,4,8\\}\). a. Are events \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive events? b. Are events \(A\) and \(B\) independent events? c. What are the complements of events \(A\) and \(B\), respectively, and their probabilities?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Events A and B are not mutually exclusive nor independent events. The complements of events A and B are\{1,3,4,6,8\} and \{1,3,5,6,7\} respectively, both with a probability of \(\frac{5}{8}\).

Step by step solution

01

Check for mutually exclusive events

Mutually exclusive events are those where if one event happens, the other cannot. Here, both events A and B have a common number which is 2. Hence, they are not mutually exclusive.
02

Determine if the events are independent

Two events are independent if the probability of both events happening is the product of their individual probabilities. Here, probability of A is \(\frac{3}{8}\) and B is \(\frac{3}{8}\). Their intersection is one number, 2, hence the probability is \(\frac{1}{8}\). Since \(\frac{3}{8} * \frac{3}{8} \neq \frac{1}{8}\), they are not independent.
03

Calculate event complements and their probabilities.

The complement of an event is the set of all outcomes that are not in the event. The complement of event A, denoted as \(A'\), and B, denoted as \(B'\), are hence: \(A=\{1,3,4,6,8\}\) and \(B=\{1,3,5,6,7\}\). The probability of an event's complement is 1 minus the event's probability. Hence, \(P(A') = 1 - P(A) = \frac{5}{8}\) and \(P(B') = 1 - P(B) = \frac{5}{8}\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mutually Exclusive Events
Mutually exclusive events refer to situations where the occurrence of one event means the other cannot happen at the same time. Think of them as events that completely "block" each other out. For example, if you flip a coin, getting a "Heads" means you cannot get a "Tails" simultaneously. They can't both occur together.
In the original exercise, we looked at two events: \( A = \{2, 5, 7\} \) and \( B = \{2, 4, 8\} \). If these events were mutually exclusive, it would mean they have no outcomes in common. However, since both events share the number 2, they are not mutually exclusive.
This means that both events can happen at the same time, at least partially. Understanding if events are mutually exclusive helps avoid mistakes in probability calculations, especially when determining the combined probability of multiple events.
Independent Events
In probability theory, independent events are events where the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of the other. They are separate and do not influence each other, like two simultaneous dice rolls.
For events to be independent, the combined probability should be the product of their individual probabilities. For the given events \( A \) and \( B \), we calculate as follows:
  • Probability of A, \( P(A) = \frac{3}{8} \)
  • Probability of B, \( P(B) = \frac{3}{8} \)
  • The probability of both A and B occurring (intersection) is \( \frac{1}{8} \)
If they were independent, it should satisfy this equality: \( P(A) \times P(B) = \frac{3}{8} \times \frac{3}{8} = \frac{9}{64} \), which is not equal to \( \frac{1}{8} \).
Thus, events A and B are not independent. Realizing this helps in proper probabilistic modeling, ensuring more accurate predictions in complex scenarios.
Complementary Events
Complementary events are like two pieces of a puzzle that together make up the whole picture of possible outcomes. When one event occurs, its complement doesn't, and vice versa.
For any event, its complement consists of all outcomes that are not in the original event. Consider events \( A \) and \( B \) again:
  • The complement of \( A \), noted as \( A' \), includes outcomes not in A, thus \( A' = \{1, 3, 4, 6, 8\} \)
  • Similarly, the complement of \( B \) is \( B' = \{1, 3, 5, 6, 7\} \)
To find the probability of these complements, remember: the sum of the probabilities of an event and its complement is always 1.
So, the probability of a complement event is \( P(A') = 1 - P(A) = \frac{5}{8} \) and \( P(B') = 1 - P(B) = \frac{5}{8} \). Knowing how to calculate complements is useful because it can sometimes be easier than directly calculating the event probability itself.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Five hundred employees were selected from a city's large private companies, and they were asked whether or not they have any retirement benefits provided by their companies. Based on this information, the following two-way classification table was prepared. $$\begin{array}{lcc} \hline & \text { Yes } & \text { No } \\ \hline \text { Men } & 225 & 75 \\ \text { Women } & 150 & 50 \end{array}$$ a. If one employee is selected at random from these 500 employees, find the probability that this employee i. is a woman ii. has retirement benefits iii. has retirement benefits given the employee is a man iv. is a woman given that she does not have retirement benefits b. Are the events "man" and "yes" mutually exclusive? What about the events "yes" and "no?" Why or why not? c. Are the events "woman" and "yes" independent? Why or why not?

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How is the multiplication rule of probability for two dependent events different from the rule for two independent events?

Define the following two events for two tosses of a coin: \(A=\) at least one head is obtained \(B=\) both tails are obtained a. Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive events? Are they independent? Explain why or why not. b. Are \(A\) and \(B\) complementary events? If yes, first calculate the probability of \(B\) and then calculate the probability of \(A\) using the complementary event rule.

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