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A population data set produced the following information. $$ \begin{aligned} &N=460, \quad \Sigma x=3920, \quad \Sigma y=2650, \quad \Sigma x y=26,570 \\ &\Sigma x^{2}=48,530, \text { and } \Sigma y^{2}=39,347 \end{aligned} $$ Find the linear correlation coefficient \(\rho\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
After processing the calculations, we find the value of the linear correlation coefficient \(\rho\).

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the means

Calculate the means of \(x\) and \(y\) using the formulas: \(mean_x = \Sigma x / N\) and \( mean_y = \Sigma y / N\). Substituting the given values, we get \(mean_x = 3920 / 460 = 8.52\) and \(mean_y = 2650 / 460 = 5.76\).
02

Compute variables for the formula

We need to compute values of \(\Sigma xy - N \cdot mean_x \cdot mean_y\), \(\Sigma x^{2} - N \cdot (mean_x)^{2}\), and \(\Sigma y^{2} - N \cdot (mean_y)^{2}\). Substituting the computed means and given values, we get \(26570 - 460 \cdot 8.52 \cdot 5.76\), \(48530 - 460 \cdot (8.52)^{2}\), and \(39347 - 460 \cdot (5.76)^{2}\).
03

Calculate the linear correlation coefficient

Substitute the computed values from Step 2 into the Pearson correlation coefficient formula: \(\rho = (\Sigma xy - N \cdot mean_x \cdot mean_y) / \sqrt{(\Sigma x^{2} - N \cdot (mean_x)^{2})(\Sigma y^{2} - N \cdot (mean_y)^{2})}\). We get \(\rho = (26570 - 460 \cdot 8.52 \cdot 5.76) / \sqrt{(48530 - 460 \cdot (8.52)^{2})(39347 - 460 \cdot (5.76)^{2})}\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Pearson correlation
The Pearson correlation coefficient is a fundamental concept in statistics that measures the strength and direction of the linear relationship between two variables. It's denoted by the symbol \(\rho\). Understanding the Pearson correlation requires grasping a few key ideas:
  • The coefficient values range from -1 to 1.
  • A value of 1 indicates a perfect positive linear correlation, meaning as one variable increases, the other does too.
  • A value of -1 indicates a perfect negative linear correlation, meaning as one variable increases, the other decreases.
  • A value of 0 implies no linear correlation between the variables.
To calculate \(\rho\), it involves several steps, including finding the means of the variables involved, which helps to center the data points. By assessing the degree of linear relationship, the Pearson correlation enables researchers and students to quantify how closely two datasets are linearly related.
population statistics
Population statistics refers to data that describe the entirety of a given set of items, in this case, the population dataset. Unlike sample statistics, which deal with a subset, population statistics ensure that results are not influenced by sample variability. When working with the Pearson correlation
  • The entire population is considered, ensuring precise results.
  • All the elements are accounted for without approximations.
This approach enables statisticians to use population parameters, such as means and variances, which are notations for entire populations. For instance, in our exercise, \(N = 460\) provides the total number of elements to be considered for an exact calculation of the correlation coefficient. Complete data helps to eliminate sampling errors that might otherwise affect smaller datasets.
means calculation
Calculating the mean is a core step when dealing with any statistical problem, as it provides the average value for the data set. In Pearson correlation calculations, means are crucial for centering data points before computing further variables like covariances:
  • Mean of \(x\) is calculated using the formula \(mean_x = \Sigma x / N\).
  • Mean of \(y\) is calculated using \(mean_y = \Sigma y / N\).
Once calculated, these means help in normalizing data to start further calculations in the methods to determine relationships between variables. This process helps to correct data and reduce skewing issues, allowing us to calculate accurate measures of associations like the Pearson correlation. The means calculated in the exercise were \(mean_x = 8.52\) and \(mean_y = 5.76\), which are used further in the Pearson correlation formula.
mathematical formulas
The use of mathematical formulas is essential when dealing with statistical concepts like Pearson correlation. These formulas might seem complex, but they serve a specific purpose in simplifying large concepts into manageable calculations:
  • The formula for calculating \(\rho\) takes into account the means and variances of both variables.
  • More specifically, it provides a standardized measurement of how changes in one variable predict changes in another.
For Pearson correlation, the key formula to remember is:\[\rho = \frac{(\Sigma xy - N \cdot mean_x \cdot mean_y)}{\sqrt{(\Sigma x^{2} - N \cdot (mean_x)^{2})(\Sigma y^{2} - N \cdot (mean_y)^{2})}}\]Using this formula, we can calculate the linear correlation coefficient, providing valuable insights into the relationship between variables. Formulas are much more than mere equations; they are tools that yield understanding from structured data, allowing for an analytical approach to solving real-world problems.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Plot the following straight lines. Give the values of the \(y\) -intercept and slope for each of these lines and interpret them. Indicate whether each of the lines gives a positive or a negative relationship between \(x\) and \(y\) a. \(y=100+5 x \quad\) b. \(y=400-4 x\)

An economist is studying the relationship between the incomes of fathers and their sons or daughters. Let \(x\) be the annual income of a 30 -year-old person and let \(y\) be the annual income of that person's father at age 30 years, adjusted for inflation. A random sample of 300 thirty-year-old and their fathers yields a linear correlation coefficient of \(.60\) between \(x\) and \(y .\) A friend of yours, who has read about this research, asks you several questions, such as: Does the positive value of the correlation coefficient suggest that the 30 -year-old tend to earn more than their fathers? Does the correlation coefficient reveal anything at all about the difference between the incomes of 30 -year-old and their fathers? If not, what other information would we need from this study? What does the correlation coefficient tell us about the relationship between the two variables in this example? Write a short note to your friend answering these questions.

Explain the meaning and concept of SSE. You may use a graph for illustration purposes.

Explain the difference between exact and nonexact relationships between two variables.

The following table gives the total daily U.S. crude oil imports (in millions of barrels, rounded to. the nearest million) for the years 1995 to 2008. $$ \begin{array}{l|rrrrrrr} \hline \text { Year } & 1995 & 1996 & 1997 & 1998 & 1999 & 2000 & 2001 \\ \hline \begin{array}{l} \text { Daily U.S. crude oil imports } \\ \text { (millions of barrels) } \end{array} & 7.23 & 7.51 & 8.23 & 8.71 & 8.73 & 9.07 & 9.33 \\ \hline \text { Year } & 2002 & 2003 & 2004 & 2005 & 2006 & 2007 & 2008 \\ \hline \begin{array}{l} \text { Daily U.S. crude oil imports } \\ \text { (millions of barrels) } \end{array} & 9.14 & 9.66 & 10.08 & 10.13 & 10.12 & 10.03 & 9.78 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ a. Assign a value of 0 to 1995,1 to 1996,2 to 1997 , and so on. Call this new variable Time. Make a new table with the variables Time and Daily U.S. Crude Oil Imports. b. With time as an independent variable and the daily U.S. crude oil imports as the dependent variable, compute \(S S_{x w}, S S_{y v}\), and \(S S_{x v}\) c. Construct a scatter diagram for these data. Does the scatter diagram exhibit a linear positive relationship between time and daily U.S. crude oil imports? d. Find the least squares regression line \(\hat{y}=a+b x\). e. Give a brief interpretation of the values of \(a\) and \(b\) calculated in part \(\mathrm{d}\). f. Compute the correlation coefficient \(r\) \(\mathrm{g}\). Predict the daily U.S. crude oil imports for \(x=20\). Comment on this prediction. h. Recalculate the correlation coefficient, ignoring the data for 2006,2007, and \(2008 .\) What happens to the value of the correlation coefficient? Create a scatter diagram of the data with time on the horizontal axis and imports on the vertical axis. Use the diagram to explain what happened to the value of \(r\).

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