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A random sample of size 14 is drawn from a normal population. The summary statistics are \(\bar{x}-933\) and \(s=18\). a. Construct an \(80 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean \(\mu\). b. Construct a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean \(\mu\). c. Comment on why one interval is longer than the other.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 80% confidence interval is shorter because it uses a smaller critical value compared to the 90% confidence interval, which results in a narrower range.

Step by step solution

01

Identify Sample Size and Degrees of Freedom

The sample size is given as 14. Degrees of freedom (df) is calculated as the sample size minus one: df = 14 - 1 = 13.
02

Find the t-Distribution Critical Values

To construct confidence intervals for the population mean, we need critical values from the t-distribution for the given confidence levels. For an 80% confidence level, find the critical t-value \( t_{0.1,13} \). For a 90% confidence level, find the critical t-value \( t_{0.05,13} \).
03

Calculate Margin of Errors

The margin of error is calculated using the formula \( ME = t \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \), where \( s \) is the sample standard deviation, \( n \) is the sample size, and \( t \) is the critical t-value. Compute this for both the 80% and 90% confidence intervals.
04

Compute 80% Confidence Interval

Using the sample mean \( \bar{x} = 933 \) and the margin of error obtained for 80% confidence, the confidence interval is given by \( (\bar{x} - ME_{80\%}, \bar{x} + ME_{80\%}) \).
05

Compute 90% Confidence Interval

Using the same sample mean \( \bar{x} = 933 \) and the margin of error obtained for 90% confidence, the confidence interval is given by \( (\bar{x} - ME_{90\%}, \bar{x} + ME_{90\%}) \).
06

Compare Intervals

The length of the confidence interval depends on the critical value \( t \) and hence the desired confidence level. Higher confidence levels require larger critical values, leading to wider intervals. Thus, the 90% confidence interval will be wider than the 80% interval.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

t-distribution
When constructing confidence intervals for a population mean, especially with smaller sample sizes, the t-distribution plays a crucial role. Unlike the normal distribution, which applies to larger sample sizes, the t-distribution is more suitable when dealing with samples where the population standard deviation is unknown. This distribution is characterized by a family of curves depending on the degrees of freedom, which adjust as the sample size increases.

The t-distribution is slightly wider and flatter than the normal distribution. This accounts for the extra variability expected with smaller samples, providing more reliable estimates under these conditions. It ensures that the confidence intervals reflect this extra uncertainty. With more degrees of freedom, the t-distribution gradually approaches the shape of the normal distribution.
  • The t-distribution accounts for small sample sizes and unknown population standard deviations.
  • More degrees of freedom make its shape closer to the normal distribution.
  • It's critical in determining the t-value used in margin of error calculations.
sample size
Sample size is a fundamental component in statistics, especially when estimating parameters like the mean of a population. It is the total number of observations or measurements taken from the population of interest. Sample size affects the precision of statistical estimates; larger samples tend to give more precise and reliable estimates.

In the context of confidence intervals, knowing your sample size helps determine the degrees of freedom in a t-distribution, which affects the critical t-value and consequently the margin of error. The precision of an estimate increases with larger sample sizes, as larger samples tend to reduce sampling variability and provide narrower confidence intervals. Ensuring a large enough sample size is crucial for accurate and meaningful statistical inference.
  • Larger sample sizes lead to more accurate parameter estimates.
  • It influences the degrees of freedom in t-distributions.
  • A larger sample size decreases the margin of error, resulting in narrower confidence intervals.
degrees of freedom
Degrees of freedom is an essential concept in statistical calculations, especially when using the t-distribution. It denotes the number of independent values or quantities which can be assigned to a statistical distribution. For a given sample size, degrees of freedom is calculated as one less than the sample size (n-1). In the given exercise where the sample size is 14, the degrees of freedom is 13.

The degrees of freedom affect the shape of the t-distribution used to find critical t-values. Higher degrees of freedom result in a t-distribution that resembles the normal distribution more closely. Lower degrees of freedom lead to a more spread out distribution, accounting for more variability in smaller samples.
  • Calculated as sample size minus one ( -1).
  • Affects the shape and width of the t-distribution.
  • Important in determining critical t-values for confidence intervals.
margin of error
The margin of error is a measure of the precision of an estimate at the given confidence level. It is the amount added and subtracted from the sample mean to construct a confidence interval. For a t-distribution, the formula for margin of error is given by:

\[ME = t \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \]
where:
  • \( t \) is the critical value from the t-distribution
  • \( s \) is the sample standard deviation
  • \( n \) is the sample size
The margin of error directly influences the width of the confidence interval. A larger margin of error results in a wider interval, reflecting greater uncertainty about the estimate.

The chosen confidence level affects the t-value: higher confidence levels require larger t-values, increasing the margin of error. Therefore, intervals desiring higher confidence (such as 90% compared to 80%) are longer, providing more assurance that the interval contains the true population mean but also indicating more uncertainty about any specific estimate.
  • Calculated using critical t-value, sample standard deviation, and sample size.
  • Determines the width of the confidence interval.
  • A higher confidence level leads to a larger margin of error.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A government agency wishes to estimate the proportion of drivers aged \(16-24\) who have been involved in a traffic accident in the last year. It wishes to make the estimate to within one percentage point and at \(90 \%\) confidence. Find the minimum sample size required, using the information that several years ago the proportion was 0.12 .

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A survey of 50 randomly selected adults in a small town asked them if their opinion on a proposed "no cruising" restriction late at night. Responses were coded 1 for in favor, 0 for ind ifferent, and 2 for opposed, with the results shown in the table. $$ \begin{array}{lllllllllll} 1 & 0 & 3 & 0 & 1 & 0 & 0 & 1 & 1 & 2 \\ 0 & 3 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1 & 0 & 2 & 0 & 0 \\ 0 & 3 & 1 & 3 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 2 & 0 & 1 \\ 0 & 2 & 0 & 2 & 0 & 1 & 0 & 0 & 2 & 0 \\ 1 & 0 & 0 & 1 & 3 & 0 & 0 & 2 & 1 & 2 \end{array} $$ a. Give a point estimate of the proportion of all adults in the community who are indifferent concerning the proposed restriction. b. Assuming that the sample is sufficiently large, construct a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of all adults in the community who are indifferent concerning the proposed restriction.

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