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91Ó°ÊÓ

In a random sample of 900 adults, 42 defined themselves as vegetarians. Of these 42,29 were women. a. Give a point estimate of the proportion of all self-described vegetarians who are women. b. Verify that the sample is sufficiently large to use it to construct a confidence interval for that proportion. c. Construct a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of all all self- described vegetarians who are women.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The point estimate is 0.6905. b. The sample is sufficiently large. c. 90% CI is (0.5737, 0.8073).

Step by step solution

01

Point Estimate of Proportion

To estimate the proportion of self-described vegetarians who are women, use the formula:\[\hat{p} = \frac{x}{n}\]where \(x\) is the number of vegetarian women and \(n\) is the total number of vegetarians. Here, \(x = 29\) and \(n = 42\). Thus,\[\hat{p} = \frac{29}{42} \approx 0.6905\]So, the point estimate is approximately 0.6905.
02

Verify Sample Size

To verify if the sample is large enough, we can check the conditions: both \(n \cdot \hat{p}\) and \(n \cdot (1 - \hat{p})\) should be greater than 5.Calculate:\[n \cdot \hat{p} = 42 \cdot 0.6905 \approx 29\]\[n \cdot (1 - \hat{p}) = 42 \cdot (1 - 0.6905) \approx 13\]Both values are greater than 5, confirming that the sample is sufficiently large for constructing a confidence interval.
03

Construct Confidence Interval

Use the formula for the confidence interval for a proportion:\[\text{CI} = \hat{p} \pm Z \cdot \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}}\]For a 90% confidence interval, the critical value \(Z\) is approximately 1.645.\[\hat{p} = 0.6905\]\[\text{CI} = 0.6905 \pm 1.645 \cdot \sqrt{\frac{0.6905 \cdot 0.3095}{42}}\]Calculate the standard error:\[\sqrt{\frac{0.6905 \cdot 0.3095}{42}} \approx 0.0710\]Hence, the margin of error is:\[1.645 \times 0.0710 \approx 0.1168\]The confidence interval is:\[0.6905 \pm 0.1168 = (0.5737, 0.8073)\]The 90% confidence interval is approximately (0.5737, 0.8073).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Proportion Estimation
Proportion estimation involves finding the fraction or percentage of a subset within a larger group.
This is significant in making predictions about that feature in a broader population. When estimating the proportion, the key formula used is:
  • \[ \hat{p} = \frac{x}{n} \]
Here, \(x\) is the number of observations of the property we are interested in, and \(n\) is the total number of observations made. Applying this to the exercise, 29 women were found among the 42 self-identified vegetarian adults.
So, the estimate for the proportion of vegetarian women is:
  • \[ \hat{p} = \frac{29}{42} \approx 0.6905 \]
This means that approximately 69.05% of the self-described vegetarians in the sample are women.
Estimating the proportion is a basic statistical method that helps us understand the characteristics of a group.
Sample Size Verification
Before using sample data to make inferences about a population, it is crucial to verify whether the sample size is adequate. The larger the sample, the more reliable the statistics derived from it will be. In this exercise, we checked whether the sample of 42 self-described vegetarians was large enough to construct a valid confidence interval for the proportion.The conditions to verify sample size are:
  • Both \( n \cdot \hat{p} \) and \( n \cdot (1-\hat{p}) \) must be greater than 5.
In our problem, this involves calculations:
  • \( n \cdot \hat{p} = 42 \times 0.6905 \approx 29 \)
  • \( n \cdot (1-\hat{p}) = 42 \times (1-0.6905) \approx 13 \)
Both these values are indeed above 5, confirming sufficiency of the sample size. Large enough samples ensure that confidence intervals will be accurate in reflecting the variability present within the population.
Point Estimate
A point estimate gives us a single value that serves as our best guess for an unknown population parameter. In the context of this exercise, the point estimate refers to the estimated proportion of vegetarian women in the larger population. By using the formula for proportion estimation, we determined:
  • \[ \hat{p} = 0.6905 \]
This point estimate means that based on the sample, we would expect about 69.05% of the entire population of self-described vegetarians to be women.
It represents a snapshot based on available data and provides a foundation for constructing further analyses, such as confidence intervals, which add a range of certainty to our estimate.
Point estimates are valuable in drawing preliminary conclusions about a population's characteristics from sample data.

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