/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 16 In order to estimate the mean FI... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

In order to estimate the mean FICO credit score of its members, a credit union samples the scores of 95 members, and obtains a sample mean of 738.2 with sample standard deviation 64.2. Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the mean FICO score of all of its members.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 99% confidence interval is (720.91, 755.49).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

We are given a sample mean (\(\bar{x} = 738.2\)), a sample size (\(n = 95\)), and a sample standard deviation (\(s = 64.2\)). Our task is to construct a \(99\%\) confidence interval for the true mean FICO score of all members of the credit union.
02

Identify the Appropriate Formula

The formula for the confidence interval for the mean when the population standard deviation is unknown and the sample size is small (less than 30 generally) is:\[\bar{x} \pm t^* \left(\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\right)\]Where \(t^*\) is the t-distribution critical value for \(99\%\) confidence with \(n-1\) degrees of freedom.
03

Find the Critical Value

Since our sample size is \(n = 95\), our degrees of freedom is \(n - 1 = 94\). Using a t-table, or calculator, find the critical value \(t^*\) for \(99\%\) confidence level: \(t^{*} \approx 2.627\).
04

Calculate the Standard Error

The standard error (SE) is calculated as:\[SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{64.2}{\sqrt{95}} \approx 6.588\]
05

Construct the Confidence Interval

Substitute \(\bar{x} = 738.2\), \(t^* = 2.627\), and \(SE = 6.588\) into the confidence interval formula:\[738.2 \pm 2.627 \times 6.588\]Calculate the margin of error:\[2.627 \times 6.588 \approx 17.290\]Construct the confidence interval:\[(738.2 - 17.290, 738.2 + 17.290) = (720.91, 755.49)\]
06

Interpret the Results

The \(99\%\) confidence interval for the mean FICO score is \((720.91, 755.49)\). This means we are \(99\%\) confident that the true mean FICO score of all credit union members lies within this interval.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

FICO Score
The FICO score is a vital part of financial lending and credit evaluation. It is a type of credit score widely used by financial institutions to determine the creditworthiness of an individual. Imagine it as a report card for your financial trustworthiness.

The score ranges typically from 300 to 850, with a higher score indicating better creditworthiness.
  • A score of 740 or above is generally considered excellent.
  • A score between 670 and 739 is seen as good.
  • Scores between 580 and 669 are seen as fair.
FICO scores can affect your ability to secure loans or credit at favorable interest rates. They are calculated based on factors like payment history, amounts owed, length of credit history, new credit, and credit mix. Knowing your FICO score can provide insight into your credit health and how lenders perceive your financial reliability.
Sample Mean
The sample mean is a crucial concept when working with statistics, especially in constructing confidence intervals. It is the average of a set of observations or data points in a sample.

A sample is a smaller group taken from a larger population to make statistical inferences about the whole. The sample mean (\(\bar{x}\)) serves as an estimate of the actual mean of the population. In our exercise, the sample mean of 738.2 is used as the best point estimate of the true mean FICO score for the credit union's members.
  • It is calculated by summing all the individual scores in the sample and dividing by the sample size.
  • It often provides the central value from which we measure variability or spread.
Understanding the sample mean is essential for estimating the population mean and assessing the accuracy of our estimates with confidence intervals.
T-Distribution
The t-distribution is a fundamental concept in inferential statistics, especially when dealing with small sample sizes and unknown population standard deviations. It is similar to the normal distribution but has heavier tails, which means more data is likely to fall in the tails. This distribution becomes particularly useful when constructing confidence intervals.

In our context, the t-distribution helps determine the critical value (\(t^*\)) used in calculating the confidence interval when the sample standard deviation is known.
  • The shape of a t-distribution depends on the degrees of freedom (number of data points minus one).
  • It approaches the standard normal distribution as the sample size increases.
The t-distribution accounts for additional variability due to estimating the population standard deviation from the sample. Discovering the appropriate t-value is crucial for ensuring that the calculated confidence interval accurately reflects the true population parameter.
Standard Error
The standard error (SE) measures the dispersion or spread of sampling distributions. Essentially, it tells us how much the sample mean would vary if we took multiple samples from the same population. It is a measure of the precision of our sample mean estimate.

Using the formula: \[SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\] where \(s\) is the sample standard deviation and \(n\) is the sample size, we determine how accurately our sample mean estimates the population mean.
  • A smaller standard error suggests that our sample mean is a more reliable estimate of the population mean.
  • Conversely, a larger standard error indicates more variability and less precision.
In the exercise, the standard error enabled us to construct the confidence interval, indicating the potential range for the true mean FICO score. Understanding the standard error aids in recognizing the reliability and precision of our statistical estimates.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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