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The lengths of time taken by students on an algebra proficiency exam (if not forced to stop before completing it) are normally distributed with mean 28 minutes and standard deviation 1.5 minutes. a. Find the proportion of students who will finish the exam if a 30-minute time limit is set. b. Six students are taking the exam today. Find the probability that all six will finish the exam within the 30-minute limit, assuming that times taken by students are independent.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) 90.82% of students will finish within 30 minutes. b) 60.12% probability all six students will finish within 30 minutes.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

We need to find the proportion of students who finish the exam within 30 minutes. We know the exam times are normally distributed with a mean of 28 minutes and a standard deviation of 1.5 minutes. We will use the properties of the normal distribution to solve this.
02

Standardization

To find this proportion, we will standardize the time limit by converting it to a z-score using the formula: \[ z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \]where \( X \) is 30 minutes, \( \mu = 28 \) minutes, and \( \sigma = 1.5 \) minutes.
03

Calculate the Z-score

Plug in the values into the z-score formula:\[ z = \frac{30 - 28}{1.5} = \frac{2}{1.5} = 1.33 \]
04

Find Proportion using Z-table

We now consult a standard normal distribution table (Z-table) or a calculator to find the proportion of students with a z-score less than 1.33. The area to the left of \( z = 1.33 \) in a Z-table shows this proportion, which is approximately 0.9082.
05

Interpret Proportion

Around 90.82% of students will finish the exam within 30 minutes.
06

Calculate Probability for Multiple Students

Now we need to find the probability that all six independent students finish the exam within the 30-minute limit. Since the probability of one student finishing is 0.9082, for all six finishing:\[ P(\text{all six}) = (0.9082)^6 \]
07

Compute Probability

Calculate \((0.9082)^6\), which equals approximately 0.6012. This is the probability that all six students finish within the time limit.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Z-Score
A z-score, often used in the context of a normal distribution, represents the number of standard deviations a particular value is from the mean. It is a useful way to understand how far, and in what direction, a particular value is from the average observation. For the algebra exam example, the z-score helps us determine how extreme or not the time of 30 minutes is compared to the average time of 28 minutes.

To calculate the z-score, use the formula: \[ z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \]
  • Here, \( X \) is the value you're examining, which is 30 minutes in this case.
  • \( \mu \) is the mean, 28 minutes.
  • \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation, 1.5 minutes.
By applying these values, we find the z-score to be 1.33. This tells us that the 30-minute mark is 1.33 standard deviations above the mean. Understanding this helps us in finding the probability associated with this z-score by looking up the values in a standard normal distribution table.
Exploring Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure that tells us how spread out the values in a dataset are around the mean. In the context of exam times, it helps us understand the variability in the time it takes students to complete the exam. A smaller standard deviation indicates the times are clustered closely around the mean, while a larger one suggests a more spread out distribution. For our algebra exam problem, the standard deviation is 1.5 minutes. This relatively small value suggests that most students finish the exam close to the 28-minute average.
  • Helps determine z-score: It serves as the denominator in the z-score formula, giving us standard units to assess how typical or atypical a score is.
  • Informs about distribution spread: Assists in understanding how much variation there is.
By helping to convert various times to z-scores, the standard deviation plays a crucial role in calculating probabilities in a normal distribution.
Calculating Probability
Probability, in this scenario, refers to the likelihood of an event occurring. When dealing with a normal distribution, such as the exam completion times, we can calculate probabilities using z-scores.Once we have a z-score, we can find how probable it is for an event at that z-score to occur using a Z-table or calculator. In the steps provided, we found that a z-score of 1.33 corresponds to a probability of 0.9082, meaning about 90.82% of students will finish within the 30-minute time limit.

Now, if you want to see the probability of a group of independent events happening together, you multiply the probabilities of the individual events. For the six students, we calculate: \[P(\text{all six finish}) = (0.9082)^6 \]
  • This gives about 0.6012.
  • Interpretation: There's a 60.12% chance that all six students will complete the exam in 30 minutes.
Thus, probability helps in making informed predictions about events and their likelihoods, a critical application in assessing performance scenarios.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The average finishing time among all high school boys in a particular track event in a certain state is 5 minutes 17 seconds. Times are normally distributed with standard deviation 12 seconds. a. The qualifying time in this event for participation in the state meet is to be set so that only the fastest \(5 \%\) of all runners qualify. Find the qualifying time. (Hint: Convert seconds to minutes.) b. In the western region of the state the times of all boys running in this event are normally distributed with standard deviation 12 seconds, but with mean 5 minutes 22 seconds. Find the proportion of boys from this region who qualify to run in this event in the state meet.

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