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The systolic blood pressure \(X\) of adults in a region is normally distributed with mean \(112 \mathrm{~mm} \mathrm{Hg}\) and standard deviation \(15 \mathrm{~mm}\) Hg. A person is considered "prehypertensive" if his systolic blood pressure is between 120 and \(130 \mathrm{~mm} \mathrm{Hg}\). Find the probability that the blood pressure of a randomly selected person is prehypertensive.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability is approximately 0.183 that a randomly selected person is prehypertensive.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Variables

We are looking at the systolic blood pressure \(X\), which is normally distributed with mean \(\mu = 112\) mm Hg and standard deviation \(\sigma = 15\) mm Hg. We want to find the probability that \(X\) is between 120 and 130 mm Hg.
02

Standardize the Variable

To find probabilities from a normal distribution, we first convert \(X\) to a standard normal variable \(Z\) using:\[Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}.\]We'll compute \(Z\) for both 120 mm Hg and 130 mm Hg.
03

Compute Z for Lower Bound

For the lower bound 120 mm Hg:\[Z_1 = \frac{120 - 112}{15} = \frac{8}{15} \approx 0.53.\]
04

Compute Z for Upper Bound

For the upper bound 130 mm Hg:\[Z_2 = \frac{130 - 112}{15} = \frac{18}{15} = 1.2.\]
05

Use Z-Table to Find Probabilities

Find the probabilities corresponding to \(Z_1 = 0.53\) and \(Z_2 = 1.2\) using a standard normal distribution table:- \(P(Z < 0.53) \approx 0.7019\)- \(P(Z < 1.2) \approx 0.8849\)
06

Calculate the Probability of Being Prehypertensive

The probability that a person's blood pressure \(X\) is between 120 and 130 mm Hg is given by:\[P(120 < X < 130) = P(Z < 1.2) - P(Z < 0.53) = 0.8849 - 0.7019 = 0.1830.\]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Systolic Blood Pressure
Systolic blood pressure is a crucial measure in assessing heart health and interpreting blood pressure readings. It represents the pressure in your blood vessels when your heart beats. A key part of monitoring and diagnosing conditions like hypertension, systolic blood pressure helps in identifying risks to heart health.
  • Measured in millimeters of mercury (mm Hg)
  • Part of the duo systolic and diastolic pressures, often shown as a fraction, e.g., 120/80 mm Hg
  • "Prehypertensive" range indicates an increased risk of developing hypertension in the future and usually lies between normal and high blood pressure levels
Blood pressure varies among individuals and can be influenced by many factors such as age, activity level, and lifestyle. Normal distribution is often used in statistics to model systolic blood pressure, as it allows estimation of probabilities and evaluation of health statuses.
Probability Calculation in Statistics
Calculating probabilities from a normal distribution helps understand how likely certain outcomes are. When we say blood pressure follows a normal distribution, it means most people's blood pressure sits around the average value, with fewer people having very high or low pressure. To solve probability questions, follow these steps:
  • Identify the mean and standard deviation of your data set
  • Convert the data points to z-scores
  • Use the z-table to find probabilities
For our example, we computed the probability that someone's systolic blood pressure would lie between 120 and 130 mm Hg. This process involved calculating the z-scores for these values and then finding the corresponding probabilities using a standard z-table. The result provides insight into the proportion of the population considered prehypertensive.
Understanding the Z-Score
A z-score is a statistical measure that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. It tells us how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. Calculating a z-score enables us to standardize different normal distributions to make them comparable. The formula for finding a z-score is:\[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \] Where:
  • \(X\) is the value being standardized
  • \(\mu\) is the mean
  • \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation
A z-score of zero indicates the value is exactly at the mean. Positive z-scores show values above the mean, while negative z-scores show values below. Using a z-table, these scores help calculate the probability of observing a value within certain thresholds. This probability tells us how common or rare the value might be in the distribution. In our exercise, converting blood pressure values to z-scores allowed us to determine their position relative to the standard normal distribution.

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