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A Gallup survey of 2002 adults found that \(46 \%\) of women and \(37 \%\) of men experience pain daily (San Luis Obispo Tribune, April 6,2000 ). Suppose that this information is representative of adult Americans. If an adult American is selected at random, are the events selected adult is male and selected adult experiences pain daily independent or dependent? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The events 'selected adult is male' and 'selected adult experiences pain daily' are not independent.

Step by step solution

01

Defining the problem and understanding the provided information

The problem provides that \(46 \%\) of women and \(37 \%\) of men experience pain daily. In addition, it asks whether the events: 'selected adult is male' and 'selected adult experiences pain daily' are independent. To know this, first, we need to understand the probabilities of these events.
02

Calculating individual probabilities

Assuming that the distribution of men and women in the adult population is roughly equal, we can use the provided information to get the following probabilities: \[ P(\text{Male}) = P(\text{Female}) = 0.5 \]and\[ P(\text{Experiences Pain} | \text{Male}) = 0.37 \]\[ P(\text{Experiences Pain} | \text{Female}) = 0.46 \]
03

Checking for independence

Two events A and B are independent if and only if the probability of A given B, denoted by \( P(A|B) \), is equal to the probability of A, denoted by \( P(A) \), i.e., \( P(A|B) = P(A) \). Therefore, the events 'selected adult is male' and 'selected adult experiences pain daily' would be independent only if the probability of experience daily pain in general, \( P(\text{Experiences Pain}) \), was equal to the probability of a male adult experiencing daily pain, \( P(\text{Experiences Pain} | \text{Male}) = 0.37 \). However, since \( P(\text{Experiences Pain}) = 0.5 * 0.37 + 0.5 * 0.46 = 0.415 \), implying that \( P(\text{Experiences Pain}) \neq P(\text{Experiences Pain}|\text{Male}) \), the events are not independent.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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