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The authors of the paper "Adolescents and MP3 Players: Too Many Risks, Too Few Precautions" (Pediatrics 12009 ] e953-e958) concluded that more boys than girls listen to music at high volumes. This conclusion was based on data from independent random samples of 764 Dutch boys and 748 Dutch girls age 12 to \(19 .\) Of the boys, 397 reported that they almost always listen to music at a high volume setting. Of the girls, 331 reported listening to music at a high volume setting. Do the sample data support the authors' conclusion that the proportion of Dutch boys who listen to music at high volume is greater than this proportion for Dutch girls? Test the relevant hypotheses using a \(.01\) significance level.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Yes, the sample data does support the authors' conclusion that the proportion of Dutch boys who listen to music at a high volume is greater than for Dutch girls, as the p-value (0.00033) is less than the significance level (0.01).

Step by step solution

01

Find the Proportions

First, calculate the proportions of boys and girls who listen to music at a high volume. The proportion for boys can be calculated as \(397/764 = 0.5196\) and for girls as \(331/748 = 0.4425\)
02

Formulate Hypotheses

Next, formulate the null and alternative hypotheses. The null hypothesis (H0) is that the proportion of Dutch boys who listen to music at a high volume is equal to the proportion of Dutch girls who listen at a high volume. The alternative hypothesis (Ha) is that the proportion of Dutch boys who listen to music at a high volume is greater than the proportion of Dutch girls who listen at a high volume.
03

Calculate Test Statistics

Calculate the combined proportion, \(p\) for the two samples, which is \( \((397+331)/(764+748) = 0.4810\). Calculate the standard error, SE = \(\sqrt{ p * (1 - p) * [(1/764) + (1/748)]} = 0.0226\). Then, calculate the test statistic, Z = \((p1 - p2)/SE\), where \(p1\) is the proportion for boys and \(p2\) is for girls, equals \( (0.5196 - 0.4425) / 0.0226 = 3.4023\)
04

Find the P-Value

The Z value corresponds to a right tail probability (p-value) of 0.00033 (obtained from statistical tables or software). This represents the probability of observing such an extreme test statistic under the null hypothesis.
05

Compare P-Value to Test Significance

The p-value is less than the significance level \(.01\) therefore we reject the null hypothesis. The data supports the authors' conclusion that the proportion of boys who listen to music at a high volume is greater than that for girls.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Proportions
In this exercise, we are interested in knowing how Dutch boys and girls compare when it comes to listening to music at high volume settings. To measure this, we can calculate proportions. Think of proportions like slices of a pie that represent parts of a whole.
A proportion tells us how big each slice is. Here, we find two important proportions:
  • The proportion of boys listening to music at high volumes: Let's consider it a slice of 0.5196, calculated as the number of boys who listen at high volume divided by the total number of boys surveyed, which is \( \frac{397}{764} = 0.5196 \).
  • The proportion for girls is a smaller slice of 0.4425, calculated as \( \frac{331}{748} = 0.4425 \).
By comparing these proportions, we can see the claim that more boys listen at high volume could have some truth. But to ensure these differences are not due to chance, we proceed with hypothesis testing.
Significance Level
In hypothesis testing, we evaluate probabilities using a significance level, denoted by \( \alpha \). It acts like a safety check on our conclusions. Here, the significance level is set at 0.01, or 1% probability.
This number tells us how much uncertainty we can tolerate when deciding on rejecting a hypothesis. If our evidence (the p-value) is within this threshold, we feel confident rejecting the null hypothesis.
A lower significance level means stricter conditions to ensure that our findings are truly significant, allowing us to make trusted conclusions, such as determining whether boys indeed listen to loud music more than girls. By keeping the significance level at 0.01, we limit the chance of falsely rejecting the null hypothesis to only 1%, implying that our conclusion should be reliable if supported by the data.
P-Value
Once we have our proportions and test statistics in place, the next step is to determine the p-value. This value tells us the probability of observing the data, or something more extreme, if the null hypothesis were true. It’s like a thermometer that measures how unusual our findings are under the null hypothesis.
In this scenario, the p-value was found to be 0.00033.
This extremely low number signifies a very small chance that our observed difference in proportions happened by chance alone.
Given that this p-value is much less than our significance level of 0.01, it provides strong evidence against the null hypothesis. By interpreting this, we build confidence in the conclusion that the proportion of boys listening to loud music indeed exceeds that of girls.
Test Statistics
Test statistics are essential for evaluating differences between groups. It gives a standardized way to show whether our observed results differ from what we expect under the null hypothesis.
In this problem, we use a Z-test, which is common for working with proportions. The test statistic here is calculated as a Z-value, derived from the difference in sample proportions of boys and girls.
Calculate this as \( Z = \frac{p_1 - p_2}{SE} \), where \( p_1 = 0.5196 \) and \( p_2 = 0.4425 \), and SE is the standard error, coming out to be about \(3.4023\).
This Z-value represents how many standard errors the boys' proportion is away from the girls'.
A high Z-value, like 3.4023, suggests that there is a significant difference between the two proportions, further pointing towards rejecting the null hypothesis and supporting the alternative hypothesis that more boys listen to music loudly than girls.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The director of the Kaiser Family Foundation's Program for the Study of Entertainment Media and Health said, "It's not just teenagers who are wired up and tuned in, its babies in diapers as well." A study by Kaiser Foundation provided one of the first looks at media use among the very youngest children- those from 6 months to 6 years of age (Kaiser Family Foundation. 2003 , www .kff.org). Because previous research indicated that children. who have a TV in their bedroom spend less time reading than other children, the authors of the Foundation study were interested in learning about the proportion of kids who have a TV in their bedroom. They collected data from two independent random samples of parents. One sample consisted of parents of children age 6 months to 3 years old. The second sample consisted of parents of children age 3 to 6 years old. They found that the proportion of children who had a TV in their bedroom was \(.30\) for the sample of children age 6 months to 3 years and \(.43\) for the sample of children age 3 to 6 years old. Suppose that the two sample sizes were each 100 . a. Construct and interpret a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of children age 6 months to 3 years who have a TV in their bedroom. Hint: This is a one-sample confidence interval. b. Construct and interpret a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of children age 3 to 6 years who have a 'TV in their bedroom. c. Do the confidence intervals from Parts (a) and (b) overlap? What does this suggest about the two population proportions? d. Construct and interpret a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference in the proportion that have TVs in the bedroom for children age 6 months to 3 years and for children age 3 to 6 years. e. Is the interval in Part (d) consistent with your answer in Part (c)? Explain.

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