/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 9 Let \(y\) denote the number of b... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Let \(y\) denote the number of broken eggs in a randomly selected carton of one dozen eggs. Suppose that the probability distribution of \(y\) is as follows: $$ \begin{array}{lrrrrl} y & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 \\ p(y) & .65 & .20 & .10 & .04 & ? \end{array} $$ a. Only \(y\) values of \(0,1,2,3\), and 4 have positive probabilities. What is \(p(4)\) ? b. How would you interpret \(p(1)=.20 ?\) c. Calculate \(P(y \leq 2)\), the probability that the carton contains at most two broken eggs, and interpret this probability. d. Calculate \(P(y<2)\), the probability that the carton contains fewer than two broken eggs. Why is this smaller than the probability in Part (c)? e. What is the probability that the carton contains exactly 10 unbroken eggs? f. What is the probability that at least 10 eggs are unbroken?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. \(p(4) = .01\), b. The probability that a randomly selected carton of eggs has exactly one broken egg is .20 or 20%. c. \(P(y ≤ 2) = .95\) or 95%, d. \(P(y < 2) = .85\) or 85%, this is lower because it doesn't include p(2). e. The probability that the carton contains exactly 10 unbroken eggs is 0.10 or 10%, f. The probability that at least 10 eggs are unbroken is .95 or 95%.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate p(4)

The probabilities of all possible outcomes must add up to 1. Since the probabilities for y = 0, 1, 2, and 3 are provided, the remaining probability for y = 4 can be calculated by subtracting the sum of these probabilities from 1. Hence, \(p(4) = 1 - (.65 + .20 + .10 + .04) = .01\).
02

Interpret p(1)=.20

Probability of an event is a measure of the likelihood of that event happening. Given p(1)=.20, it can be interpreted as the probability that a randomly selected carton of eggs has exactly one broken egg is .20 or 20%.
03

Calculate P(y ≤ 2)

This is the probability that the carton contains at most two broken eggs. It involves adding the probabilities of y values from 0 up to 2. So, \(P(y ≤ 2) = p(0) + p(1) + p(2) = .65 + .20 + .10 = .95 or 95%.\)
04

Calculate P(y < 2)

This is the probability that the carton contains fewer than two broken eggs. It involves adding the probabilities of y values less than 2. So, \(P(y < 2) = p(0) + p(1) = .65 + .20 = .85 or 85%. The reason this is smaller than the probability in Part (c) is due to not including p(2).\)
05

Calculate the probability that the carton contains exactly 10 unbroken eggs

If the carton contains exactly 10 unbroken eggs, it means it has exactly 2 broken eggs. Hence, this is equivalent to p(y=2), which is 0.10 or 10%.
06

Calculate the probability that at least 10 eggs are unbroken

If the carton contains at least 10 unbroken eggs, it means it contains 2,1, or 0 broken eggs. Hence, this is equivalent to P(y ≤ 2), which was calculated in Step 3 as .95 or 95%.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Discrete Random Variable
A discrete random variable is a type of random variable that can take on only specific, distinct values within a given range. In this context, the variable is often used to describe outcomes in scenarios where only integer values make sense.
For the exercise given, let’s denote the discrete random variable as \(y\), which represents the number of broken eggs in a carton of a dozen eggs. Here, \(y\) can only take on values like 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4, because you can't break a fraction of an egg in discrete terms.

Discrete random variables are crucial because they help in modeling different real-world phenomena accurately. By representing specific, countable outcomes, they allow us to use probability distributions to predict events like the one described in the problem. Such applications include quality control in manufacturing or predicting the occurrence of certain events in given trials.
Probability Mass Function
A Probability Mass Function (PMF) is an essential concept in probability theory. It gives the probability that a discrete random variable is exactly equal to some value. The PMF is denoted as \(p(y)\) for a discrete variable \(y\).
In the context of the exercise, the PMF is used to describe the probability distribution of broken eggs in a carton. For example, \(p(1) = 0.20\) indicates that the probability of finding exactly one broken egg in a carton is 20%.
  • The PMF fulfills one key rule: the sum of all probabilities \(p(y)\) must equal 1. This is because one of the possible outcomes must surely happen.
  • In the given example, notice how probabilities add up to 1 once we find \(p(4)\).


Keep in mind the PMF provides probabilities for specific values of \(y\), making it different from continuous distributions, where probabilities are defined over ranges of values.
Cumulative Distribution Function
The Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) for a discrete random variable represents the probability that the variable will take a value less than or equal to a certain number. Notated as \(P(y \leq k)\), it sums the probabilities given by the PMF for all values up to \(k\).
For the egg carton problem, calculating \(P(y \leq 2)\) involves summing up the probabilities for \(y = 0\), \(1\), and \(2\), resulting in a total probability of 0.95 or 95%. This indicates that there is a 95% chance that the carton contains 2 or fewer broken eggs.

The CDF is crucial for understanding how probabilities accumulate as you move through the range of a variable. It helps to answer questions about the likelihood of an event happening at or below a certain threshold compared to PMF, which provides probabilities for exact values.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The article "The Distribution of Buying Frequency Rates" (Journal of Marketing Research \([1980]: 210-216)\) reported the results of a \(3 \frac{1}{2}\) -year study of dentifrice purchases. The investigators conducted their research using a national sample of 2071 households and recorded the number of toothpaste purchases for each household participating in the study. The results are given in the following frequency distribution: $$ \begin{array}{cc} \begin{array}{l} \text { Number of } \\ \text { Purchases } \end{array} & \begin{array}{l} \text { Number of House- } \\ \text { holds (Frequency) } \end{array} \\ \hline 10 \text { to }<20 & 904 \\ 20 \text { to }<30 & 500 \\ 30 \text { to }<40 & 258 \\ 40 \text { to }<50 & 167 \\ 50 \text { to }<60 & 94 \\ 60 \text { to }<70 & 56 \\ 70 \text { to }<80 & 26 \\ 80 \text { to }<90 & 20 \\ 90 \text { to }<100 & 13 \\ 100 \text { to }<110 & 9 \\ 110 \text { to }<120 & 7 \\ 120 \text { to }<130 & 6 \\ 130 \text { to }<140 & 6 \\ 140 \text { to }<150 & 3 \\ 150 \text { to }<160 & 0 \\ 160 \text { to }<170 & 2 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ a. Draw a histogram for this frequency distribution. Would you describe the histogram as positively or negatively skewed? b. Does the square-root transformation result in a histogram that is more symmetric than that of the original data? (Be careful! This one is a bit tricky, because you don't have the raw data; transforming the endpoints of the class intervals will result in class intervals that are not necessarily of equal widths, so the histogram of the transformed values will have to be drawn with this in mind.)

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