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Suppose that in a certain metropolitan area, 9 out of 10 households have a VCR. Let \(x\) denote the number among four randomly selected households that have a VCR, so \(x\) is a binomial random variable with \(n=4\) and \(\pi=.9\). a. Calculate \(p(2)=P(x=2)\), and interpret this probability. b. Calculate \(p(4)\), the probability that all four selected households have a VCR. c. Determine \(P(x \leq 3)\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
This exercise involves calculating the binomial probabilities individually based on the given parameters, and then summing them up, if required. The final results are to be obtained after computing the values from the binomial formula for each case.

Step by step solution

01

Calculation of \(P(x=2)\)

The probability \(P(x=k)\) in a binomial distribution is given by: \[P(x=k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot (\pi)^(k) \cdot (1-\pi)^(n-k)\]. The binomial coefficient \(\binom{n}{k}\) can be interpreted as the number of ways to choose \(k\) successes out of \(n\) trials. Substituting for \(n=4,k=2,\pi=0.9\) gives: \[P(x=2) = \binom{4}{2} \cdot (0.9)^2 \cdot (0.1)^2.\] Calculate this probability.
02

Calculation of \(P(x=4)\)

For \(P(x=4)\), substitute \(k=4\) in the binomial probability formula: \[P(x=4) = \binom{4}{4} \cdot (0.9)^4 \cdot (0.1)^0.\] Calculate this probability.
03

Calculation of \(P(x

Because \(P(x <= 3)\) means the probability that \(x\) is less than or equal to 3, we have to calculate the probabilities for \(x=0, x=1, x=2, x=3\) and then add these probabilities. Using the binomial probability formula for each case and add all the results: \[P(x <= 3) = P(x=0) + P(x=1) + P(x=2) + P(x=3).\] Calculate this cumulated probability.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability
In simple terms, probability is about measuring how likely an event is to occur. Imagine you have a jar of different colored marbles, and you want to know the chance of picking a red one. That's probability!
In mathematics, probability ranges from 0 to 1.
  • A probability of 1 means an event is certain to happen.
  • A probability of 0 means it will not happen at all.
When dealing with problems such as the probability of how many households have a VCR in our example, the binomial distribution helps calculate this. The binomial probability formula, \[ P(x=k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot (\pi)^k \cdot (1-\pi)^{n-k} \], finds the exact probability of obtaining \(k\) successes in \(n\) trials.
Understanding probability helps answer questions about chance and risk in daily activities, like games, weather forecasts, and even insurance.
Random Variable
A random variable is like a placeholder for numbers that can change based on different outcomes. It’s a mathematical way to talk about uncertain situations.
In our example, the random variable \(x\) represents the number of households with a VCR.
  • \(x\) can be any whole number from 0 to \(n\) (which is 4 in this case).
  • It describes the outcome of this random event—how many households have a VCR among those selected.
Random variables can be discrete or continuous.
  • Discrete random variables are countable, like the number of VCRs, where results are separated by breaks.
  • Continuous random variables can take on any value within a range, like time or weight.
Working with random variables allows us to model real-world problems and analyze possible outcomes with statistics.
Binomial Coefficient
The binomial coefficient is part of the binomial probability formula and represents the number of ways to choose \(k\) successes in \(n\) trials. That's like asking how many ways you can pick 2 apples from a basket with 4 apples in total!
The binomial coefficient is written as \(\binom{n}{k}\) and is calculated using the formula: \[ \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \]
where \(!\) denotes factorial, meaning you multiply a series of descending natural numbers. For example, \(4! = 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1 = 24\).
In the context of our binomial distribution problem, it tells us the number of different ways we can have exactly \(k\) successes when we make \(n\) tries under the condition that each trial has the same probability of success.
Knowing how to compute the binomial coefficient is vital for solving binomial distribution problems, as it provides the weight each possible outcome contributes to the total probability.

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