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Find the \(p\) -values for the z-tests and determine the significance of the results. A left-tailed test with observed \(z=-1.81\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
Answer: The p-value for the left-tailed z-test with an observed z-score of -1.81 is 0.0351. Since the p-value (0.0351) is less than the significance level (0.05), we can reject the null hypothesis at this significance level, indicating significant evidence supporting the alternative hypothesis.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the context of the problem and identify the type of test

In this problem, we are given an observed z-score of \(-1.81\) and are told it is for a left-tailed test. This means we need to find the probability of getting a test statistic less than or equal to \(-1.81\) under the standard normal distribution.
02

Find the cumulative probability corresponding to the z-score

To find the cumulative probability (p-value) for the z-score, we can use the standard normal distribution table or a calculator. Using either method, we find the cumulative probability for a z-score of \(-1.81\) to be approximately \(0.0351\). So, the p-value for this left-tailed test is \(0.0351\).
03

Determine the significance of the observed z-score

To determine the significance of the result, we need to compare the p-value (\(0.0351\)) with the chosen significance level \(\alpha\). A common significance level is \(0.05\); however, the problem does not explicitly specify it. Therefore, you can either: 1. Choose a significance level that suits your application (for example, in medical research, a more stringent level, such as \(0.01\), might be used), or 2. Report the p-value and let the reader make the decision based on their own significance level. If we compare the p-value with an example significance level of \(0.05\), we can conclude: Since the p-value (\(0.0351\)) is less than the significance level (\(0.05\)), we can reject the null hypothesis at this significance level. This means there is significant evidence supporting the alternative hypothesis when using a significance level of \(0.05\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Left-Tailed Z-Test
When dealing with statistical hypothesis testing, a left-tailed z-test is utilized to determine if the mean of a single sample is significantly less than a known mean of the population. The term 'left-tailed' refers to the area under the left-hand side of the standard normal distribution curve, representing where the extreme values that are lower than the mean lie.

One of the most crucial steps when performing a left-tailed z-test is to calculate the observed z-score, which measures how many standard deviations an element is from the population mean. In our exercise, an observed z-score of \( z = -1.81 \) was given, suggesting that the sample mean is 1.81 standard deviations below the population mean. The result of this test gives us the p-value, which we use to infer whether our observed effect is statistically significant under a specific significance level.
Standard Normal Distribution
The standard normal distribution is the quintessential probability distribution in statistics, often exemplified as a bell curve. It is a special case of the normal distribution with a mean of zero and a standard deviation of one.

Statistical tests, like the z-test, leverage this distribution to understand how unusual a sample statistic is compared to the hypothesis. The area under the curve represents the cumulative probability associated with a given z-score. To find the p-value for a left-tailed z-test, we look up the cumulative probability of our z-score or use software to calculate it directly. A z-score tells us how many standard deviations away a point is from the mean; for instance, a z-score of \( -1.81 \) implies it lies 1.81 standard deviations to the left of the mean. In a standard normal distribution, such negative z-scores will correspond to cumulative probabilities that are less than 0.5.
Significance Level
The significance level, denoted as \( \alpha \), is a threshold that helps us determine the statistical significance of our test result. It is a pre-determined probability, set by the experimenter, to decide whether to reject the null hypothesis.

Commonly, \( \alpha \) is set at 0.05, meaning there's a 5% chance of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true (Type I error). However, different fields may require more stringent levels, like 0.01 or 0.001, to provide a stronger safeguard against false positives.

In the example provided, if we set \( \alpha \) at 0.05 and obtain a p-value of 0.0351, we would reject the null hypothesis because the p-value is smaller than \( \alpha \). This result suggests that our sample provides enough evidence to support the conclusion that the sample mean is significantly different from the population mean, at the 5% significance level.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In a head-to-head taste test of storebrand foods versus national brands, Consumer Reports found that it was hard to find a taste difference in the two. \(^{16}\) If the national brand is indeed better than the store brand, it should be judged as better more than \(50 \%\) of the time. a. State the null and alternative hypothesis to be tested. Is this a one- or a two-tailed test? b. Suppose that, of the 35 food categories used for the taste test, the national brand was found to be better than the store brand in eight categories. Use this information to test the hypothesis in part a with \(\alpha=.01 .\) What practical conclusions can you draw from the results?

A 4-year experiment involving 4532 women was conducted at 39 medical centers to study the benefits and risks of hormone replacement therapy (HRT). Half of the women took placebos and half used a widely prescribed type of hormone replacement therapy. There were 40 cases of dementia in the hormone group and 21 in the placebo group. \({ }^{19}\) Is there sufficient evidence to indicate that the risk of dementia is higher for patients using the HRT? Test at the \(1 \%\) level of significance.

It is reported \(^{l}\) that the average or mean number of Facebook friends is \(155 .\) Suppose that when 50 randomly chosen Facebook users are polled regarding the number of their friends, the average number of their friends was reported to be \(\bar{x}=149\) with a standard deviation of \(s=29.7\). Use this information to answer the questions in Exercises \(13-15 .\) If we were looking to dispute the reported average of \(155,\) how would you express \(H_{0}\) and \(H_{\mathrm{a}}\) ?

A random sample of 100 observations from a quantitative population produced a sample mean of 26.8 and a sample standard deviation of \(6.5 .\) Use the \(p\) -value approach to determine whether the population mean is different from \(28 .\) Explain your conclusions.

A company wants to implement a flextime schedule so that workers can schedule their own work hours, but it needs a minimum mean of 7 hours per day per assembly worker in order to operate effectively. A random sample of 80 workers was asked to submit a tentative flextime schedule. If the mean number of hours per day for Monday was 6.7 hours and the standard deviation was 2.7 hours, do the data provide sufficient evidence to indicate that the mean number of hours worked per day on Mondays, for all of the company's assemblers, will be less than 7 hours? Test using \(\alpha=.05 .\)

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