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Standard Normal Probabilities I Let \(z\) be a standard normal random variable with mean \(\mu=0\) and standard deviation \(\sigma=1 .\) Use Table 3 in Appendix \(I\) to find the probabilities. $$ P(z<2.33) $$

Short Answer

Expert verified
Answer: The probability that a standard normal random variable z is less than 2.33 is approximately 0.9901 or 99.01%.

Step by step solution

01

Locate the value 2.33 on the standard normal table

To find the probability \(P(z < 2.33)\), first look for the value 2.33 in the standard normal table. You will find that the value is split into two parts: the row value (2.3) and the column value (0.03). This corresponds to the intersection of the row and column with these values in the table.
02

Find the area to the left of 2.33

Now find the value at the intersection of the row with 2.3 and the column with 0.03. This value represents the area to the left of the \(z\)-score 2.33, which is the probability we are looking for. In the standard normal table, the value corresponding to this intersection is usually given as a decimal. You should find that the value is approximately 0.9901.
03

Interpret the result

The value 0.9901 represents the probability that a standard normal random variable \(z\) is less than 2.33. In other words, \(P(z < 2.33) = 0.9901\). This means that there is a 99.01% chance that a value from a standard normal distribution will be less than 2.33.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Normal Distribution
The standard normal distribution is a critical concept in statistics that underpins many aspects of inferential statistics. It's a special type of normal distribution that is standardized. What makes it 'standard' is its mean, \( \mu = 0 \) and standard deviation, \( \sigma = 1 \. This means that it provides a reference framework against which any normal distribution can be compared by converting it into this standard format through a process called standardization.

Imagine a bell-shaped curve that is perfectly symmetrical around its central value, zero. This curve represents the probability density function of the standard normal distribution. The probabilities under this curve help us to understand how data is distributed about the mean. The total area under the curve equals 1 or 100%, reflecting all possible outcomes. The standard normal distribution is used because it enables us to easily calculate probabilities and critical values using the Z-score, which brings us to our next concept.
Z-Score
A Z-score, also known as a standard score, is a numerical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values, measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean. It is a way of standardizing scores on a single common scale.

Mathematically, if you have a random variable \(X\) with a mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma\), the z-score \(z\) for a data point \(x\) is calculated using the formula: \[ z = \frac{(x - \mu)}{\sigma} \.

For the standard normal distribution, since \(\mu = 0\) and \(\sigma = 1\), the z-score for a value \(x\) is simply \(x\) itself. This score can then be used to find probabilities, such as the likelihood of a random variable falling below, above, or between certain values. In essence, the z-score helps to identify how many standard deviations a data point is from the mean of a distribution.
Normal Probability Table
A normal probability table, often called a Z-table, is a mathematical table that allows us to find the probability of a Z-score occurring within a standard normal distribution. Basically, it tells us what percentage of data falls below a given Z-score.

The table is comprised of a grid with z-scores along the edges, typically broken down into the tens place along the side (e.g., 1.2) and the hundredths place along the top (e.g., 0.03), allowing you to pinpoint a Z-score to two decimal places, like 1.23. In our exercise, for example, to find the area under the curve to the left of the Z-score 2.33, we follow the row corresponding to 2.3 and column corresponding to 0.03 to where they intersect.

The value found at this intersection represents the cumulative probability. So, when dealing with standard normal probabilities, you refer to the table to find the probability that the standard normal variable \(Z\) will be less than a certain value. Remember, the table can show the area to the left of the Z-score (cumulative from left) or to the right (cumulative from right), depending on the version of the table you're using. Understanding this table is crucial for various statistical applications, including hypothesis testing and confidence interval estimation.

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