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The Biology Data Book reports that the gestation time for human babies averages 278 days with a standard deviation of 12 days. \(^{3}\) Suppose that these gestation times are normally distributed. a. Find the upper and lower quartiles for the gestation times. b. Would it be unusual to deliver a baby after only 6 months of gestation? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Answer: The lower and upper quartiles for gestation times are approximately 269.9 days and 286.1 days, respectively. Yes, it is unusual to deliver a baby after only 6 months of gestation as the z-score is far from zero (-8.17).

Step by step solution

01

Find the z-scores for the lower and upper quartiles

Use the standard normal distribution table or a calculator to find the z-scores corresponding to the 25th percentile (lower quartile) and 75th percentile (upper quartile). For the 25th percentile (0.25), the z-score is -0.674. For the 75th percentile (0.75), the z-score is 0.674.
02

Calculate the lower and upper quartiles gestation times

Using the average gestation time (278 days) and standard deviation (12 days), calculate the lower and upper quartile gestation times using the formula: Value = mean + (z-score * standard deviation) For the lower quartile, value_lower = 278 + (-0.674 * 12) = 278 - 8.088 ≈ 269.9 days For the upper quartile, value_upper = 278 + (0.674 * 12) = 278 + 8.088 ≈ 286.1 days The lower and upper quartiles for gestation times are approximately 269.9 days and 286.1 days, respectively.
03

Find the z-score for a gestation time of 6 months (180 days)

First, convert the given 6 months of gestation time to days: 6 months * 30 days per month = 180 days Next, calculate the z-score using the formula: z-score = (X - mean) / standard deviation z-score = (180 - 278) / 12 = -98 / 12 ≈ -8.17
04

Determine if 180 days gestation time is unusual

A z-score of -8.17 is far from zero, which signifies that it is extremely unusual for a baby to be born after only 180 days (6 months) of gestation. This means that delivering a baby at 6 months is indeed unusual.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Normal Distribution
In statistics, the normal distribution is a bell-shaped curve that represents the way many datasets are spread out, including various biological, social, and physical phenomena. It is symmetrical, with most of the observations clustering around the central peak and probabilities for values further away from the mean tapering off equally in both directions.

In the case of gestation times for human babies, if we assume a normal distribution, we would expect most births to occur near the average of 278 days, with fewer and fewer births as the gestation times deviate further from the mean. The property that half of the values lie below the mean and half above in a normal distribution make it a powerful tool in understanding and predicting outcomes.
Quartiles
Quartiles are statistical values that divide a set of observations into four equal parts, or quarters, when the data is sorted in ascending order. The first quartile (Q1), also known as the lower quartile, is the value below which 25% of the data can be found. The second quartile (Q2), or median, divides the data set in half. The third quartile (Q3), or upper quartile, is the value below which 75% of the observations may be found.

For gestation times, finding the quartiles helps us understand the spread and the central tendency of the data by showing the range where the middle 50% of the data lies (between Q1 and Q3). This is useful for identifying the gestation period band which most pregnancies are likely to fall within.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. A low standard deviation indicates that the data points tend to be close to the mean, while a high standard deviation indicates that the data points are spread out over a wider range of values.

In the context of gestation times, the standard deviation of 12 days tells us about the variability of the gestation period around the average. It quantifies the typical 'distance' an individual pregnancy's length is expected to be from the average of 278 days. This metric helps health professionals and researchers understand the regularity and predictability of pregnancy lengths.
Z-score
A z-score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values, measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean. A z-score of 0 indicates that the value is exactly at the mean, while a positive or negative z-score indicates the number of standard deviations the value is above or below the mean, respectively.

When assessing gestation time, calculating the z-score for a specific gestation period (like 6 months of gestation) helps determine how unusual that time frame is within the given distribution. A high positive or negative z-score, as we saw with the -8.17 for a 6-month gestation period, suggests that the event is rare within the normal distribution of gestation times.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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